In this article, we will formulate a Purdue vs Northwestern prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 2nd at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 10 matchup.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers are 1-6 (0-4) this season after they lost to Oregon by a score of 35-0 in their last game. Purdue trailed 21-0 at halftime and never put any pressure on Oregon. The Boilermakers were outgained by a total of 421-301, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 4-12 on third down in the game. Ryan Browne threw for 93 yards and one interception, while Reggie Love III rushed for 93 yards on 11 carries.
Prior to that game, the Boilermakers lost to Illinois, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Oregon State, and Notre Dame. The Purdue offense has scored 20.3 points per game with 170.9 passing yards and 163.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 38.4 points per game this season. The Boilermakers have gone 33.3% on third down and 1-8 on fourth down so far this season. Ryan Browne has completed 60.7% of his passes for 458 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Max Klare has caught 24 passes for 384 yards and two scores.
Northwestern Wildcats Betting Preview
The Northwestern Wildcats are 3-5 (1-4) this year after they lost to Iowa by a score of 40-14 in their last game. Northwestern led 7-3 in the second quarter, but they allowed the next 37 points for the loss. The Wildcats were outgained by a total of 355-163, lost the turnover battle 3-1, and went 2-12 on third down in the game. Jack Lausch threw for 62 yards and two interceptions, while Cam Porter rushed for 50 yards on 13 carries.
Prior to that game, the Wildcats lost to Wisconsin by a score of 23-3 but did beat Maryland by a score of 37-10 before that. The Northwestern offense has scored 18.4 points per game with 160.3 passing yards and 110.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.1 points per game this season. The Wildcats have gone 25.5% on third down and 5-10 on fourth down through eight games. Jack Lausch has completed 51% of his passes for 870 yards, four touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Cam Porter has rushed for 370 yards and five scores.
Why Purdue will cover
- Purdue has won four of its last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Northwestern has lost 12 of its last 15 road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Northwestern has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
- Purdue has covered the spread in five of its last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Northwestern has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Why Northwestern will cover
- The favorite has won each of Purdue’s last nine games.
- Purdue has lost each of its last six games.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Purdue’s last four games at Ross-Ade Stadium.
- Purdue has lost the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Purdue’s last seven November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of Northwestern’s last 10 games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Purdue ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.0).
- Purdue ranks 134th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (5.3).
- Northwestern ranks 133rd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (25.5).
- Northwestern ranks 132nd among FBS teams for yards per game this season (271.1).
Purdue vs Northwestern Prediction
Purdue comes into this matchup looking for their first Big Ten win of the season, but they have allowed 35+ points in four of their last five games. The Boilermakers don’t get many stops on defense and their offense is also struggling, as they have scored 10 points or fewer in three of their last four. Northwestern has lost by double-digits in three of their last four games, but they do have a blowout win on the road against Maryland. Both of these teams have been awful this season and I think points are going to be at a premium, so give me the under here.