The Boise State Broncos and the San Diego State Aztecs meet in week 4 college football action from Snapdragon Stadium on Friday night.
Broncos Get First Win Vs. North Dakota
The Boise State Broncos finally managed to get in the win column after emerging with a 42-18 win over North Dakota in their last game. Taylen Green has thrown for 576 yards, 3 touchdowns and 4 INTs on 52.9% passing while Ashton Jeanty has a team-high 202 rushing yards with 4 touchdowns. Eric McAlister has a team-high 15 grabs for 238 yards and 2 TDs while Jeanty has 236 receiving yards with a pair of scores and Stefan Cobbs has 131 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Marco Notarainni has a team-high 20 total tackles with a pair of sacks while Boise State’s defense as a whole has 8 sacks and a pair of interceptions.
Boise State Broncos Team Facts
Boise State has won eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
Boise State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games in September.
Boise State has won the first half in five of its last six road games against conference opponents.
Seven of Boise State's last eight road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Aztecs Lose Back-To-Back Vs. Pac-12
The San Diego State Aztecs dropped their second straight game against a Pac-12 foe after a 26-9 loss to Oregon State last time out. Jalen Mayden has thrown for 701 yards, 3 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60.3% passing while also rushing for 193 yards and 2 scores. Jaylon Armstead has a team-high 195 rushing yards with a pair of scores and Kenan Christon has 126 rushing yards as well. Mark Redman has a team-high 179 receiving yards on 16 receptions with a pair of TDs while Mekhi Shaw has 104 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Zyrus Fiaseu has a team-high 25 total tackles with a pair of sacks while Cedarious Barfield has 3 interceptions. As a team, San Diego State’s defense has 7 sacks and 8 interceptions this season.
San Diego State Aztecs Team Facts
The underdog has won three of the last four games between Boise State and San Diego State.
San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in 15 of its last 18 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
San Diego State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
Four of San Diego State's last five games as a home underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
San Diego State ranked T7th among FBS teams for H1 win percentage last season (.769).
San Diego State ranked 13th among FBS teams for H1 points allowed per game last season (8.7).
Boise State ranked T9th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game last season (9.7).
Boise State ranked T10th among FBS teams for H2 win percentage last season (.714).
I’m going to side with the Broncos here. I get why it’s a tempting look to take points with a home dog like San Diego State, but I haven’t loved what I’ve seen from the Aztecs. I get it, it’s against top teams like Oregon State in Corvallis and UCLA, but as bad as Boise State looked offensively against Washington and UCF, the defense played extremely well against UCF and I think the Broncos’ defense travels here. I’m not rushing to bet this one, but I think Boise State has more upside here and I think the line is telling us where we need to be. Give me Boise State here.