The Boise State Broncos and the San Diego State Aztecs meet in week 12 college football action from Snapdragon Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs prediction.
Boise State Broncos Recap
The Boise State Broncos come into this game looking to bounce back from a 30-7 loss at the hands of Fresno State prior to last week’s bye week to sit at 6-3 this season. After this game, Boise State will head home for a game against Colorado State.
Broncos Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped
Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,994 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 INTs on 59.6% passing while Dylan Riley leads the Broncos on the ground with 745 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns while Sire Gaines has 473 rushing yards and 5 TDs and Malik Sherrod has 317 rushing yards with 2 TDs. Chris Marshall leads Boise State’s receiving group with 467 receiving yards and 2 TDs while Latrell Caples has 26 catches for 351 yards and 3 TDs and Ben Ford has 325 receiving yards with 5 TDs. Matt Lauter has 232 receiving yards and another five Broncos have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. As a team, Boise State is averaging Ty Benefield has a team-high 66 total tackles along with a pair of interceptions while A’Marion McCoy has a team-high 4 interceptions and Braxton Fely has a team-high 5 sacks. As a unit, Boise State has combined for 18 sacks and 11 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last eight road games against conference opponents.
- San Diego State has lost six of its last seven games in November.
- San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against teams from Idaho.
- Boise State has covered the spread in six of its last eight games.
San Diego State Aztecs Recap
The San Diego State Aztecs come into this game looking to rebound from a 38-6 loss at the hands of Hawaii last time out to sit at 7-2 this season. After this game, San Diego State will take on San Jose State at home.
Aztecs Have Six-Game Win Streak Snapped
Jayden Denegal has thrown for 1,547 yards, 8 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 59.6% passing while Lucky Sutton leads the Aztecs in rushing with 898 yards and 8 touchdowns this season. Jordan Napier leads the Aztecs in receiving with 47 grabs for 631 yards and 2 TDs while Donovan Brown has 320 receiving yards and three more Aztecs have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Owen Chambliss has 84 total tackles to lead San Diego State along with 4 sacks while Trey White has a team-high 6 sacks and Ryan Henderson also has 4 sacks. Chris Johnson also has 3 interceptions as well this season. As a unit, San Diego State’s defense has combined for 21 sacks and 11 interceptions so far this season.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- Boise State has lost each of its last eight games as an underdog.
- San Diego State has won each of its last five games in California.
- San Diego State has covered the spread in each of its last five games in California.
- Boise State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games in California.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Diego State’s last eight November games as a home favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Boise State’s last four games in California have gone OVER the total points line.
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs Prediction
I’m on San Diego State here. I just think the Broncos are not the same team from last year that made the playoffs and the Aztecs had a flop in Hawaii but a lot of teams have gone to the island and fallen flat. I think getting back home pays dividends here, and I think the Aztecs get it done. Give me San Diego State here.