In this article we will formulate a San Diego State vs Colorado State prediction for this College Football game on Friday, October 3rd at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 6 matchup.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs are 3-1 (0-0) this year after they defeated Northern Illinois by a score of 6-3 in their last game. San Diego State trailed 3-0 after the first quarter, but they tied the game in the second quarter and won it at the end of regulation with a field goal. The Aztecs out gained NIU by a total of 266-179, went 5-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Jayden Denegal went 13-20 for 110 yards and two interceptions, while Lucky Sutton rushed 17 times for 88 yards. Jordan Napier led the receivers with six receptions for 52 yards in the game. The SDSU defense recorded two sacks and four tackles for loss in the victory.
In their first three games, San Diego State defeated Stony Brook, lost to Washington State, and defeated California. The Aztecs are averaging 24.3 points per game with 167.5 passing yards and 149.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 9.8 points against per game this season. Jayden Denegal has completed 60.2% of his passes for 636 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jordan Napier has 25 receptions for 290 yards and one touchdown. Lucky Sutton has led the rushing attack with 337 yards and three scores on 67 carries this year.
Colorado State Rams Betting Preview
The Colorado State Rams are 1-3 (0-0) this season after they lost to Washington State by a score of 20-3 last week. Colorado State led 3-0 in the first quarter, but allowed the last 20 points in the game for the loss. The Rams were out gained by a total of 347-334, went 5-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 1-0 in the game. Jackson Brousseau went 19-28 for 188 yards, while Jalen Dupree rushed 13 times for 68 yards. Tommy Maher was the leading receiver for Colorado State with five catches for 51 yards in the loss. The CSU defense recorded one sack and three tackles for loss in the game.
In their first three games, Colorado State lost to Washington, defeated Northern Colorado, and lost to UTSA. The Rams are averaging 15.3 points per game with 190.8 passing yards and 153.5 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 23.0 points against per game this season. The Colorado State quarterback situation is up in the air, so we may see Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi or Jackson Brousseau under center. Jalen Dupree has carried the ball 53 times for 267 yards and one touchdown, while Armani Winfield has 11 receptions for 156 yards this season.
Why San Diego State will beat Colorado State
- Colorado State has lost each of its last 10 games as an underdog.
- The favorite has won 16 of Colorado State’s last 17 games.
- San Diego State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games in October.
- Colorado State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games in California.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of San Diego State’s last eight games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Colorado State’s last six games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Diego State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- San Diego State ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (1.8).
- Colorado State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
- Colorado State ranks T134th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (2.5).
San Diego State vs Colorado State Prediction
San Diego State has been very inconsistent with their play from week to week, but they are 3-1 and will be at home here. The Aztecs only managed six points last week, but did score 34 against Cal the week prior. Colorado State is 0-3 against FBS opponents this season and the offense is a major concern. We will most likely see a lower scoring game in this matchup, but I have to side with San Diego State, as their defense should be the difference in this game.
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