Southern Mississippi vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction
In this Southern Mississippi vs Louisiana-Monroe prediction, Southern Mississippi is coming as -3.5 road favorites. Both teams have been bad this season but both are coming off rare wins in the previous week. Both have been terrible offensively this season, allowing 69.7 points per game combined, sitting on the bottom-15 of the nation. As a result, they are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games combined and the last two head-to-head meetings have also gone over the total. I expect a high-scoring affair today, so take the over 55.5 points in this one.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Preview
Louisiana-Monroe has a 1-6 record and a 1-2 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 14-21 road loss against Troy and will face Arkansas State and Louisiana next.
Offensively, Louisiana-Monroe averages 20.1 points per game, ranking 122nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 37.3 points per game, which is 134th. Louisiana-Monroe averages 328.3 total yards per game (211.6 passing and 116.7 rushing), while allowing 442.7 total yards per game (218.7 rushing and 224 passing).
Aidan Armenta leads Louisiana-Monroe with 1,121 passing yards with 62.7% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Austin Carlisle leads the team in rushing yards with 237, while Marcellus Jackson has a team-high 265 receiving yards and 32 receptions. Defensively, Noah Flemmings has a team-high 66 total tackles (26 of them solo), while Kevontay Wells leads the team with 3 sacks.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Preview
Southern Mississippi has a 2-5 record and a 1-2 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 35-31 home win against Louisiana and will face James Madison and Louisiana Tech next.
Offensively, Southern Mississippi averages 25.7 points per game, ranking 91st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 32.4 points per game, which is 124th. Southern Mississippi averages 402.4 total yards per game (247 passing and 155.4 rushing), while allowing 442.9 total yards per game (232.9 rushing and 210 passing).
Landry Lyddy leads Southern Mississippi with 1,196 passing yards with 59.4% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Steven Robinson leads the team in rushing yards with 577, while Mario Sanders II has a team-high 569 receiving yards and 40 receptions. Defensively, Michael Robinson III and Mathias Haygood have a team-high 63 total tackles, while Jameer Lewis leads the team with 4 sacks.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Betting Trends: Week 9
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- Southern Miss has lost four of its last five games as a favorite.
- The home team has won each of the last three games between Southern Miss and Louisiana-Monroe.
- Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the last three games between Southern Miss and Louisiana-Monroe.
- Louisiana-Monroe has won the first quarter in three of its last four home games against teams from Mississippi.
- Southern Miss has lost the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost 14 of its last 15 games.
- Southern Miss has won each of its last seven games as a favorite against teams from Louisiana.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games as a home underdog.
- Southern Miss has covered the spread in each of its last seven games as a favorite against teams from Louisiana.
- The favorite has won the first quarter in seven of Southern Miss’ last eight games.
- Southern Miss has won the first half in each of its last nine games as a favorite against teams from Louisiana.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Southern Miss’ last four games in Louisiana have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Louisiana-Monroe’s last five home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Derrick Jameson leads Louisiana-Monroe for touchdowns (3) this season.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Mario Sanders II leads the Sun Belt Conference for targets (61) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 136th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (21.1).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 136th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (29.2).
- Southern Miss ranks 137th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-7.7).
- Southern Miss ranks 137th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (25:43).