Syracuse vs NC State Prediction
In this Syracuse vs NC State prediction for this College Football Week 11 matchup on Saturday, November 14th, Syracuse is coming as -2.5 road favorites. Both teams have identical overall records this season but NC State is 1-3 both straight up and against the spread in its last 4 games, while Syracuse has won two of its last three and is 4-1 against the spread in its last 5 games, while having better numbers both offensively and defensively, so I like them as small road favorites in this spot. Take Syracuse and lay the small number.
NC State Wolfpack Preview
NC State has a 4-5 record and a 2-4 conference record, sitting on the 10th place of the ACC, while having a 4-2 home record and a 0-3 away record. They are coming off a 3-41 home loss against Duke, following a 31-10 home win against California and a 28-31 road loss against Stanford, and will face Florida State and North Carolina next.
Offensively, NC State averages 28.9 points per game, while defensively, they allow 27.6 points per game. NC State averages 387 total yards per game (242.2 passing and 144.8 rushing), while allowing 376.7 total yards per game (142.9 rushing and 233.8 passing). They average 67.9 plays per game and 5.7 yards per play on offense, while allowing 63.6 plays per game and 5.9 yards per play on defense. NC State averages 20.7 first downs per game on offense and 19.4 first downs per game on defense. They average 7.5 yards per pass attempt and 4.1 yards per rush attempt. NC State has scored 33 touchdowns this season (15 passing and 18 rushing). They are converting 48.09% of their third downs and 53.33% of their fourth downs. They have thrown 4 interceptions this season, while their defense has intercepted 4 passes.
CJ Bailey leads NC State with 2,078 passing yards with 63.8% completed passes and 13 touchdowns. Davion Gause leads the team in rushing yards with 378, while Keenan Jackson has a team-high 477 receiving yards and 31 receptions. Defensively, Popo Aguirre has a team-high 84 total tackles (36 of them solo), while Elijah Satchell leads the team with 5 sacks.
Syracuse Orange Preview
Syracuse has a 4-5 record and a 2-5 conference record, sitting on the 16th place of the ACC, while having a 2-3 home record and a 2-2 away record. They are coming off a 13-18 home loss against Clemson, following a 30-27 home win against SMU and a 31-30 road win against North Carolina, and will face Boston College and Notre Dame next.
Offensively, Syracuse averages 29.3 points per game, while defensively, they allow 25.4 points per game. Syracuse averages 430.2 total yards per game (274 passing and 156.2 rushing), while allowing 348.2 total yards per game (129.9 rushing and 218.3 passing). They average 79.2 plays per game and 5.4 yards per play on offense, while allowing 63.3 plays per game and 5.5 yards per play on defense. Syracuse averages 25 first downs per game on offense and 19.1 first downs per game on defense. They average 7.2 yards per pass attempt and 3.8 yards per rush attempt. Syracuse has scored 32 touchdowns this season (18 passing and 13 rushing). They are converting 39.31% of their third downs and 60.71% of their fourth downs. They have thrown 10 interceptions this season, while their defense has intercepted 5 passes.
Steve Angeli leads Syracuse with 1,450 passing yards with 54.7% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Tylik Hill leads the team in rushing yards with 531, while Umari Hatcher has a team-high 964 receiving yards and 62 receptions. Defensively, Chris D’Appolonia has a team-high 62 total tackles (28 of them solo), while Keyshawn Johnson leads the team with 7 sacks.
Syracuse Orange @ NC State Wolfpack Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- NC State has won three of its last four November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Syracuse has lost 12 of its last 14 games against conference opponents.
- NC State has covered the spread in six of its last seven November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Syracuse has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 12 road games in November.
- Syracuse has lost the first half in five of its last six road games against conference opponents.
Why the Syracuse Orange will win
- The favorite has won each of the last five games between Syracuse and NC State.
- NC State has lost three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- The favorite has covered the spread in four of the last five games between Syracuse and NC State.
- NC State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Syracuse’s last five November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of NC State’s last three home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
NC State Wolfpack Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Keenan Jackson leads NC State for receptions (31) this season.
Syracuse Orange Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Umari Hatcher leads the Atlantic Coast Conference for targets (100) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- NC State ranks T119th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (7.8).
- NC State ranks T26th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+4.2).
- Syracuse has played in the equal-highest number of games that went to overtime this season (2).
- Syracuse ranks 5th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+8.0).