In this article we will formulate a Tennessee vs Arkansas prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 11th at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 7 matchup.
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers are 4-1 (1-1) this year after they defeated Mississippi State in overtime by a score of 41-34 in their last game. Tennessee was tied at 17 at halftime, but they needed a late score to send the game to overtime, where they eventually got the win. The Volunteers out gained Mississippi State by a total of 466-378, went 5-14 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-2 in the game. Joey Aguilar went 24-40 for 335 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while DeSean Bishop carried the ball 11 times for 72 yards and one score. Mike Matthews led the receivers with six receptions for 118 yards in the win. The Tennessee defense recorded six sacks and 11 tackles for loss in the game.
Prior to that win, Tennessee defeated UAB, lost to Georgia in overtime, defeated ETSU, and defeated Syracuse. The Volunteers are averaging 51.0 points per game with 337.2 passing yards and 199.2 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 29.0 points against per game this season. Joey Aguilar has completed 65% of his passes for 1,459 yards, 13 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Chris Brazzell II has 31 receptions for 531 yards and seven scores. DeSean Bishop is the leading rusher for Tennessee with 49 carries for 335 yards and four touchdowns this year.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview
The Arkansas Razorbacks are 2-3 (0-1) this season after they lost to Notre Dame by a score of 56-13 in their last game. Arkansas cut the deficit to 14-10 in the second quarter, but they allowed 42 of the last 45 points in the blowout loss. The Razorbacks were out gained by a total of 641-365, went 7-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 2-0 in the game. Taylen Green went 17-32 for 207 yards and one interception, while also rushing for 81 yards on 10 carries. O’Mega Blake led the receivers with six receptions for 73 yards in the loss. The Arkansas defense recorded one sack and four tackles for loss in the game.
Prior to that ugly loss, Arkansas lost to Memphis and Ole Miss, but did start the season with wins over Arkansas State and Alabama A&M. The Razorbacks are averaging 37.4 points per game with 300.8 passing yards and 213.8 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 30.0 points against per game this season. Taylen Green has completed 62% of his passes for 1,398 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while also leading the ground game with 441 yards and two touchdowns on 54 carries. O’Mega Blake is the leading receiver with 30 receptions for 399 yards and three scores this season.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won each of its last 22 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Neyland Stadium.
- Arkansas has lost each of its last seven October road games against AP-ranked teams.
- Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
- Tennessee has covered the spread in five of its last six home games in October.
- Arkansas has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Tennessee has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Tennessee’s last nine games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Arkansas’ last four games have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for points per game this season (51.0).
- Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (18.6).
- Arkansas ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (16.0).
- Arkansas ranks T3rd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (27.0).
Tennessee vs Arkansas Prediction
Arkansas comes into this matchup trying to snap their three game losing streak, but they have allowed 56, 32, and 41 points in those three losses. The Razorbacks are definitely trending in the wrong direction and will be on the road, where they are 0-2. Tennessee hasn’t played very strong defense this year, but they have scored 41+ points in five straight games and should have another massive day against this Arkansas defense. I think we will see plenty of points, but I have to fade Arkansas in this spot. Take Tennessee to cover.
David Racey is 58-44 (57%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!