In this article, we will formulate a Texas Tech vs Houston Prediction for this College Football Week 6 game on Saturday, October 4th at the Rice Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Houston Preview
Houston has a 4-0 record this season and is sitting on the 4th place of the Big 12. They are 3-1 ATS, 3-1 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 away record and 2-0 home record. The Cougars are coming off a 27-24 road win at Oregon State and are playing Oklahoma State and Arizona next.
Offensively, the Cougars average 31.2 points per game, which ranks 60th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 13.2 points per game, which is 14th. Houston averages 379.5 total yards per game, with 171.5 rushing yards and 208.0 passing yards per game. They allow 265.5 total yards per game, with 125.3 rushing and 140.3 passing yards per game.
Conner Weigman leads the Cougars with 839 passing yards and 61.3% completed passes. Dean Connors leads the team in rushing yards, with 324, while Stephon Johnson Jr. has a team-high 23 caught passes for 234 receiving yards, and has 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Carlos Allen has a team-high 31 total tackles, 10 of them solo. Corey Platt Jr. leads the Cougars in sacks, with 2.5, while Wrook Brown has one interception.
Texas Tech Preview
Texas Tech has a 4-0 record this season and is sitting on the 5th place of the Big 12. They are 3-1 ATS, 2-2 in Over/Under and have a 1-0 away record and 3-0 home record. The Red Raiders are coming off a 34-10 road win at Utah and are playing Kansas and Arizona State next.
Offensively, the Red Raiders average 52.0 points per game, which ranks 2nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 11.2 points per game, which is 8th. Texas Tech averages 573.0 total yards per game, with 204.5 rushing yards and 368.5 passing yards per game. They allow 238.8 total yards per game, with 56.3 rushing and 182.5 passing yards per game.
Behren Morton leads the Red Raiders with 1065 passing yards and 69.0% completed passes. Cameron Dickey leads the team in rushing yards, with 232, while Caleb Douglas has a team-high 14 caught passes for 260 receiving yards, and has 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Jacob Rodriguez has a team-high 28 total tackles, 11 of them solo. David Bailey leads the Red Raiders in sacks, with 3.5, while Jacob Rodriguez has one interception.
Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Houston Cougars Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Houston Cougars will win
- Texas Tech has lost four of its last five October games as a favorite.
- Houston has won three of its last four games as an underdog in Texas.
- Houston has covered the spread in each of its last four October games as a home underdog.
- Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October games as a favorite.
Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win
- Houston has lost 15 of its last 17 games against AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won each of Houston’s last seven games.
- Texas Tech has covered the spread in each of its last five road games against conference opponents.
- Houston has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three home games after coming off overtime.
- Texas Tech has won the first quarter in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Texas Tech has won the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas Tech’s last six games against teams from Texas have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Houston’s last eight home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Houston Cougars Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Stephon Johnson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (29.4) this season.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Cameron Dickey leads the Big 12 Conference for rushing touchdowns (6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Houston ranks 3rd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (12.5).
- Houston ranks 6th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.8).
- Texas Tech has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- Texas Tech has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
Texas Tech vs Houston Prediction
In their previous meeting in 2023, Texas Tech won 49-28 at home, and have won their last six meetings against Houston, having covered the spread in all. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Texas Tech vs Houston Prediction, Texas Tech is coming as -12-point road favorites, with the total set at 50.5 points. Both teams have been excellent this season and are both undefeated so far. They are both 3-1 against the spread, but the Red Raiders are on another level, as they boast the second-best offense in the nation, and the 8th-best defense, winning by an average of 40.8 points per game. Texas Tech has also been dominating Houston in their recent meetings, so I expect them to get the job done on the road today. Take Texas Tech and lay the -12 points in this one.