Texas vs Kansas Prediction Football Picks 9-30-23
Texas Longhorns (4-0) vs Kansas Jayhawks (4-0)
2023-09-30 15:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas Longhorns -16.5 -- Over/Under: 63.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Kansas Jayhawks and the Texas Longhorns meet in week 5 college football action from DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Jayhawks Remain Unbeaten
The Kansas Jayhawks took down BYU last time out by a final score of 38-27 to improve to 4-0 on the year. Jalon Daniels has thrown for 705 yards, 5 touchdowns and an INT on 74.7% passing while Devin Neal leads Kansas’ running backs with 394 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns and Daniel Hishaw Jr. has 235 rushing yards and 3 TDs as well. Lawrence Arnold leads Kansas with 18 catches for 246 receiving yards while another four Jayhawk receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Kenny Logan Jr. leads Kansas with 23 total tackles while Jereme Robinson and Austin Booker each have a team-high 3.5 sacks as well this season. Cobee Bryant and Kwinton Lassiter each have a pair of interceptions as well on the season.
Kansas Jayhawks Team Facts
Kansas has won each of its last eight games in September.
Kansas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games as an underdog.
Kansas has lost the first half in 29 of its last 32 road games against conference opponents.
Each of Kansas’ last 10 September games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Texas Unbeaten As Well
The Texas Longhorns took out Baylor last time out by a final score of 38-6 to also sit at 4-0 on the year. Quinn Ewers has thrown for 1,033 yards and 9 touchdowns on 64.3% passing while Jonathon Brooks has rushed for a team-high 379 yards and 3 touchdowns. Ja’Tavion Sanders has a team-high 268 receiving yards while Xavier Worthy leads the Longhorns with 19 grabs for 252 yards and 3 TDs. Adonai Mitchell and Jordan Whittington each have 100+ receiving yards as well with Mitchell adding 180 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. On defense, Jaylan Ford has a team-high 25 total tackles and 2 interceptions while Byron Murphy II has a team-high 2.5 sacks. Jerrin Thompson also has a pair of INTs while Anthony Hill Jr. and Ethan Burke each have a pair of sacks. As a group, Texas’ defense has combined for 13 sacks and 6 interceptions.
Texas Longhorns Team Facts
Texas has won each of its last 12 September games as a home favorite.
Texas has covered the spread in seven of its last eight September games against AP-ranked teams.
Texas has won the first half in eight of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
Texas has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
Each of Texas’ last six games against AP-ranked teams at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
Texas ranked T5th among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.769).
Texas was one of only eight FBS teams to lose 3+ games when leading after Q3 last season.
Kansas ranked 21st among FBS teams for points per game last season (35.6).
Kansas ranked T21st among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.615).
Chris’ Pick
I’m siding with Kansas here. I initially thought I was going to back Texas here as I just hadn’t been overly impressed with Kansas the last couple of weeks and last year, when Kansas was actually playing well, they were demolished by the Longhorns. However, I think last year was just a Jayhawks team that was in over their heads at that point, but I look for Kansas to be a lot more focused this time around. Kansas had been a thorn in Texas’ side even when they were at their worst, and I think at the absolute worst for Kansas, this is a two-touchdown win for the Longhorns. Give me Kansas and the points.