Texas vs Oklahoma Prediction Football Picks 10-7-23
Texas Longhorns (5-0) vs Oklahoma Sooners (5-0)
2023-10-07 12:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas Longhorns -6.5 -- Over/Under: 60.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma Sooners and the Texas Longhorns meet in week 6 college football action from the Cotton Bowl on Saturday afternoon.
Oklahoma Remains Unbeaten
The Oklahoma Sooners come into this one 5-0 on the year after picking up a 50-20 win over Iowa State last time out. Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 1,593 yards, 15 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 75.2% passing while Marcus Major leads Oklahoma’s ground attack with 199 rushing yards and Tawee Walker has 193 rushing yards. Andrei Anthony leads Oklahoma in receiving with 387 receiving yards, while Jalil Farooq has 285 receiving yards, Nic Anderson has 279 receiving yards with a team-high 5 TDs and Drake Stoops has a team-high 25 receptions for 203 yards and 4 touchdowns. On defense, Danny Stutsman has a team-high 49 total tackles and 2 sacks while Oklahoma’s defense as a whole has combined for 8 sacks and 10 interceptions this season.
Oklahoma Sooners Team Facts
The team ranked 12th in the AP Poll has won each of its last 14 games.
Oklahoma has covered the spread in each of its last six games.
Oklahoma has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
Oklahoma has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
Nine of Oklahoma’s last 10 October games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Texas Also Coming In Undefeated
The Texas Longhorns come into the Red River Rivalry undefeated at 5-0 as well after a 40-14 beatdown win over Kansas last time out. Quinn Ewers has thrown for 1,358 yards, 10 touchdowns and an interception on 66% passing while Jonathon Brooks has rushed for a team-high 597 yards and 5 touchdowns. Xavier Worthy leads Texas’ receiving group with 26 grabs for 345 yards and 3 TDs while Adonai Mitchell has 321 receiving yards with 4 scores and Ja’Tavion Sanders has 278 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jaylan Ford has a team-high 32 total tackles and 2 interceptions while Byron Murphy II has a team-high 2.5 sacks. Jerrin Thompson also has a pair of INTs while Anthony Hill Jr. and Ethan Burke each have a pair of sacks. As a group, Texas’ defense has combined for 13 sacks and 6 interceptions.
Texas Longhorns Team Facts
Texas has won seven of its last eight games.
Texas has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against AP-ranked teams at Cotton Bowl.
Texas has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
Texas has won the first half in nine of its last 11 games against conference opponents.
Each of Texas’ last five games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
Texas ranked T5th among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.769).
Texas was one of only eight FBS teams to lose 3+ games when leading after Q3 last season.
Oklahoma ranked 6th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game last season (10.2).
Oklahoma was one of only 14 FBS teams to lose 3+ games when leading at HT last season.
Chris’ Pick
I’m looking at Oklahoma here. More often than not, the Sooners have had Texas’ number in the Red River Rivalry in recent years, and this Sooners team looks far better than the one that stumbled into last year’s matchup and lost to Texas 49-0. I have to think that result has stuck with Oklahoma for a year, and they’ve had this game circled on their calendars. That’s not to say Texas hasn’t as well, but Oklahoma’s been solid so far and I think they at worst keep this close but I think the Sooners are a live dog here.