Oklahoma Sooners (5-0) vs. Texas Longhorns (3-2)
October 11, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Longhorns -3.5; Over/Under:
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The Oklahoma Sooners and the Texas Longhorns meet Saturday in college football action from the Cotton Bowl. Here’s a Texas vs Oklahoma prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texas vs Oklahoma pick.
Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview
Oklahoma had a couple of relatively close calls across their first four games this year, but ultimately emerged from that quartet unscathed. The Sooners blew out Illinois State 35-3 in their opener, then took care of Michigan 24-13. Game three was a blowout win over Temple 42-3, then came a 24-17 win over Auburn. In the victory versus the Tigers, Oklahoma held the opposition to 287 yards (220 passing), 18 first downs and 3-of-15 on third-down tries. Auburn’s 13 penalties for 85 yards certainly didn’t hurt matters, though.
In last weekend’s meeting with Kent State, Oklahoma didn’t have any issues at all. The Sooners were up 23-0 by halftime, then added 21 unanswered points in the third quarter along the way to a 44-0 blowout shutout victory at home. QB Michael Hawkins was 14-of-24 for 162 yards and three touchdowns, and leading rusher Tory Blaylock carries 15 times for 78 yards. Hawkins Also had 33 rush yards with a score, while leading receiver Isaiah Sategna caught four balls for 75 yards and two touchdowns in the big win.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
Over on the Texas side, they took a tough opener loss on the road versus Ohio State 14-7, then breezed past San Jose State 38-7 in game two ahead of a 27-10 win versus UTEP. On September 20 Texas took on Sam Houston and didn’t have too many issues in a 55-0 blowout victory. Along the way the Longhorns gathered 607 total yards (343 passing), 8.8 yards per play, 26 first downs and 7-of-11 on third-down tries. Texas didn’t help their cause with nine penalties, but the defense held Sam Houston to just 113 total yards in the blowout win.
Matched up against Florida last weekend, the Longhorns suffered a crippling setback. Texas was in trouble from the very beginning, carrying a 19-7 deficit into the locker room. The Longhorns posted a couple of touchdowns after the break, but it wasn’t enough in a 29-21 road upset. QB Arch Manning was 16-of-29 for 263 yards, two TDs and two picks while also leading the team in rushing with 15 carries for 37 yards. DeAndre Moore caught three balls for 75 yards, and Ryan Wingo had four catches for 73 yards and a touchdown in the loss.
Oklahoma Sooners @ Texas Longhorns Betting Trends: Week 7
Texas Longhorns Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Jelani McDonald leads the Southeastern Conference for interceptions (2) this season.
Oklahoma Sooners Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Grayson Miller ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (49.8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- Texas ranks 2nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (11.1).
- Oklahoma ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (1.4).
- Oklahoma ranks 1st among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (193.0).
Texas vs Oklahoma Prediction
I’ll stay with Oklahoma, and at least some of that is due to Texas’ loss last weekend. We’ll get to that in a second, though. The Sooners didn’t have any issues in their latest outing versus a vastly overmatched Kent State team, posting 355 yards, 5.2 yards per play, 23 first downs and a 7-of-13 success rate on third downs. The defense was even better with 135 total yards, 2.6 yards per play, seven first downs and two takeaways. The Sooners have scored 24 or more points in every game so far, but you could also argue that they haven’t really played anyone yet outside of Michigan in game two.
As for Texas, they weren’t great on either side in the Florida loss. The Longhorns mustered 341 total yards, 5.9 yards per play, 16 first downs, 3-of-11 on third-down tries and a couple of interceptions. The 10 penalties for 70 yards didn’t help, nor did the defense’s 457 yards and 7.0 yards per play allowed (though they did come up with two takeaways). It was Texas’ ugliest game of the year, that’s for sure. The good news is that there are a couple of winnable games coming up, but the Longhorns have to get through this weekend first.
