The Western Michigan Broncos and Toledo Rockets meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Glass Bowl. Here’s a Toledo vs. Western Michigan Prediction. This article will include a Toledo vs. Western Michigan Pick.
Western Michigan Broncos Betting Preview
The Western Michigan Broncos beat Central Michigan and Kent State, and play Bowling Green next. The Western Michigan Broncos have won 5 of their last 6 games. Broc Lowry is completing 68 percent of his passes for 1,044 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Aveion Chenault and Baylin Brooks have combined for 475 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Nate Levicki has 12 receptions.
The Western Michigan Broncos’ ground game is averaging 164.7 yards per contest, and Jalen Buckley leads the way with 542 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Western Michigan is allowing 16.9 points and 336.3 yards per game. Justyce Betts leads the Western Michigan Broncos with 51 tackles, Dillon Moore has 3.5 sacks, and Gabe Welch has 1 interception.
Toledo Rockets Betting Preview
The Toledo Rockets lost to Buffalo, beat Eastern Michigan, and they play Sacramento State next. The Toledo Rockets have won 5 of their last 6 games. John Alan Richter is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 1,852 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Adjatay Dabbs and Bryson Hammer have combined for 835 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Terrell Crosby has 20 receptions.
The Toledo Rockets’ ground game is averaging 185.6 yards per contest, and CJ Miller leads the way with 426 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 23.6 points and 322 yards per game. Julian Fox leads the Toledo Rockets with 56 tackles, Andrew Zock has 7 sacks, and Isaac Zay has 2 interceptions.
Why the Toledo Rockets will win
- The favorite has won each of Western Michigan’s last 17 games.
- Western Michigan has lost each of its last 14 games as a road underdog.
- Western Michigan has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The home team has covered the spread in five of Western Michigan’s last six games.
- Toledo has won the first quarter in each of its last four home games against Western Michigan.
- Western Michigan has lost the first half in 10 of its last 11 games as a road underdog.
Why the Western Michigan Broncos will win
- Western Michigan has won each of its last eight games against conference opponents.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last four games between Western Michigan and Toledo.
- Toledo has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight October games as a favorite.
- Western Michigan has won the first quarter in six of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Western Michigan has won the first half in eight of its last nine games in October.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Toledo’s last four games as a favorite against teams from Michigan have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Western Michigan’s last six games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Toledo Rockets Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, John Alan Richter ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.4%) this season.
Western Michigan Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Jalen Buckley leads Western Michigan for touchdowns (7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Toledo ranks 131st among FBS teams for sacks this season (3.0).
- Toledo ranks 14th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (18.3).
- Western Michigan ranks 129th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (157.6).
- Western Michigan ranks 13th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (7.1).
Toledo vs Western Michigan Prediction
Toledo is the more talented team and should win, but I’m not running to the window to lay points with the Rockets. We haven’t forgotten Toledo scoring 8 points and losing to Buffalo as near three touchdown favorites. Toledo also gave up points to Ball State in a similar role. Western Michigan hasn’t covered numbers lately, but it’s a team that plays hard and gets after it defensively. At some point a positive result will happen for Western Michigan. We’re getting a hook on top of a key number. I’ll grab the points with the Broncos.
