In this article we will formulate a Troy vs Memphis prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 13th at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 3 matchup.
Troy Trojans Betting Preview
The Troy Trojans are 1-1 this year after they lost to Clemson by a score of 27-16 last week. Troy led 16-0 late in the second quarter, but they allowed the last 27 points in the game for the loss. The Trojans may have lost the game, but they played well and had one of the top teams in the country on the ropes for a while. Troy was out gained by a total of 316-301, went 5-13 on third down, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-2. Goose Crowder went 19-31 for 223 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions, while Tray Taylor caught four passes for 69 yards and one score in the game. The Troy rushing attack was led by Tae Meadows, who had 76 yards on 16 carries in the loss.
Troy opened the season with a win over Nicholls by a score of 38-20 in week one. Troy is averaging 27.0 points per game with 183.5 passing yards and 175.0 rushing yards per game, while the defense is allowing 23.5 points against per game this season. Goose Crowder has completed 60% of his passes for 367 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Tae Meadows has rushed for 262 yards and one score on 39 carries. Tray Taylor has led the receivers with five catches for 97 yards and two scores, while Ethan Conner has caught seven passes for 73 yards and one touchdown this year.
Memphis Tigers Betting Preview
The Memphis Tigers are 2-0 this season after they defeated Georgia State by a score of 38-16 last week. Memphis trailed 9-7 after the first quarter, but they did claw back and led 17-16 at the half. The Tigers pitched a shutout in the second half and added 21 points to pull away with the big victory. Memphis out gained Georgia State by a total of 401-389, went 5-10 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0. Brendon Lewis went 16-20 for 196 yards in the game, while Sutton Smith rushed for 74 yards and one touchdown on 14 carries. Jamari Hawkins caught three passes for 79 yards, while Smith added four catches for 43 yards.
Memphis defeated Chattanooga by a score of 45-10 to open the season in week one. The Tigers are averaging 41.5 points per game with 197.5 passing yards and 219 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 13 points against per game this season. Brendon Lewis has completed 79.2% of his passes for 395 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while also rushing for 149 yards and two scores on 19 carries. Sutton Smith has rushed for 134 yards and two touchdowns on 23 carries, while Jamari Hawkins has caught six passes for 121 yards this season.
Why Memphis will beat Troy
- Memphis has won each of its last 12 games against opponents from the Sun Belt Conference.
- Troy has lost four of its last five games in September.
- Memphis has covered the spread in each of its last six games against teams from Alabama.
- Troy has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents at Veterans Memorial Stadium.
- Memphis has won the first half in each of its last eight games against opponents from the Sun Belt Conference.
- Memphis has won the first quarter in six of its last seven road games against opponents from the Sun Belt Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Troy’s last eight games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Memphis’ last five games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Troy ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Troy ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Memphis ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Memphis has won the third quarter in each of its last five games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
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Troy vs Memphis Prediction
Memphis rolls into this matchup looking to start the season with three straight wins, but they will have a tricky road game here. The Tigers have scored 38 and 45 points in their first two games and their rushing attack has been very strong. Troy didn’t look great against Nicholls, but they gave Clemson a big scare last week. I think this is a pretty decent Troy team that will compete in the Sun Belt, but they don’t have the defense to slow down this Memphis attack. Take the Tigers to cover on the road.