In this article we will formulate a UAB vs Navy prediction for this College Football game on Friday, September 25th at Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4 matchup.
UAB Blazers Betting Preview
The UAB Blazers are 1-2 (0-0) this season after they lost to Louisiana by a score of 21-14 last week. UAB trailed 21-7 at halftime, but they cut the deficit to 21-14 in the fourth quarter, before falling short for the loss. The Blazers were out gained by a total of 335-218, went 2-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Ryder Burton threw for 144 yards and one interception, while Ty Mims caught four passes for 57 yards. Rod Robinson II rushed 13 times for 52 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, UAB defeated ULM by a score of 26-20, but lost to Illinois by a score of 42-23 before that. The Blazers have scored 21.0 points per game with 159.3 passing yards and 178.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.7 points against per game this season. Ryder Burton has thrown for 478 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions this season.
Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview
The Navy Midshipmen are 1-1 (0-1) this year after they lost to FAU by a score of 38-30 in their last game. Navy trailed 31-7 at halftime, but they cut the deficit to 38-30 late in the fourth, before losing the game. The Midshipmen out gained FAU by a total of 393-378, went 3-11 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Jackson Gutierrez threw for 100 yards and two touchdowns, while Jordan Collins caught two passes for 68 yards and one score. Braxton Woodson led the team in rushing with 96 yards and one touchdown, but he was injured.
Prior to that game, Navy defeated Towson by a score of 42-15 in their first game. The Midshipmen have scored 36.0 points per game with 84.0 passing yards and 376.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.5 points against per game this season. Braxton Woodson is the starting QB, but he was injured against FAU, so we will probably see Jackson Gutierrez under center.
Why the UAB Blazers will win
- UAB has won 10 of its last 12 home games in September.
- Navy has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite.
- The underdog has covered the spread in five of Navy’s last six games.
- Navy has lost the first half in each of its last four road games against conference opponents.
Why the Navy Midshipmen will win
- UAB has lost each of its last nine September games as an underdog.
- Navy has won 14 of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UAB has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Navy has covered the spread in six of its last seven road games in September.
- Navy has won the first quarter in three of its last four games.
- UAB has lost the first half in each of its last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Navy’s last 10 games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of UAB’s last six home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
UAB Blazers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Jonah Delange ranks T3rd amongst FBS players for made field goals (7) this season.
Navy Midshipmen Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Braxton Woodson ranks 12th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (8.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Two of UAB’s three games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
- UAB ranks 134th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-8.3).
- Navy ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Navy has won the fourth quarter in each of its last five games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
UAB vs Navy Prediction
Navy comes into this matchup after having a bye last week, but they lost a heartbreaker to FAU before that. The Midshipmen are really going to miss Woodson under center if he can’t play, but Gutierrez played pretty well after the injury. UAB is just 1-2, but they have played decently well in all three games. The Blazers will need to stop the run in this game, as Navy is second in the FBS in rushing yards per game. I think UAB could win this game, so I will take them with the points.