In this article, we will formulate an UCF vs BYU Prediction for this College Football Week 14 game on Saturday, November 29th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
BYU Cougars Preview
BYU has a 10-1 record this season and is sitting 2nd in the Big 12. They are coming off a 26-14 road win against Cincinnati. Offensively, BYU averages 33.4 points per game, ranking 30th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 17.5 points per game, which is 14th. BYU averages 414.6 total yards per game (213.2 passing and 201.5 rushing), while allowing 327.2 total yards per game (126.0 rushing and 201.2 passing).
Bear Bachmeier leads BYU with 2,304 passing yards with 63.0% completed passes and 13 touchdowns. LJ Martin leads the team in rushing yards with 1,134, while Chase Roberts has a team-high 44 receptions for 713 receiving yards. Defensively, Faletau Satuala has a team-high 69 total tackles (41 of them solo), while Jack Kelly leads the team in sacks, with 7.0, and Tanner Wall leads the team with 4 interceptions.
UCF Knights Preview
UCF has a 5-6 record this season and is sitting 14th in the Big 12. They are coming off a 17-14 home win against Oklahoma State. Offensively, UCF averages 24.6 points per game, ranking 89th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 22 points per game, which is 45th. UCF averages 386.3 total yards per game (217.7 passing and 168.5 rushing), while allowing 329.3 total yards per game (153.6 rushing and 175.6 passing).
Tayven Jackson leads UCF with 1,919 passing yards with 64.4% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Myles Montgomery leads the team in rushing yards with 676, while Duane Thomas Jr. has a team-high 49 receptions for 454 receiving yards. Defensively, Lewis Carter has a team-high 80 total tackles (44 of them solo), while Malachi Lawrence leads the team in sacks, with 7.0, and Phillip Dunnam leads the team with 3 interceptions.
UCF Knights @ BYU Cougars Betting Trends: Week 14
Why the BYU Cougars will win
- BYU has won each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UCF has lost each of its last eight road games.
- UCF has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games in November.
- BYU has covered the spread in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UCF has lost the first half in each of its last six road games against conference opponents.
Why the UCF Knights will win
- UCF has covered the spread in four of its last five November games against AP-ranked teams.
- BYU has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Six of BYU’s last seven November home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of UCF’s last six road games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
BYU Cougars Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 14, LJ Martin ranks 7th amongst FBS players for rushing yards (1134) this season.
UCF Knights Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 14, Cameron Fancher has the most pass attempts without a passing touchdown this season (72).
Matchup/League Facts
- BYU ranks T5th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+5.3).
- BYU ranks T5th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (70.0).
- UCF ranks 12th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.5).
- UCF ranks 125th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (32.9).
UCF vs BYU Prediction
In this UCF vs BYU Prediction, BYU is coming as -17.5-point home favorites. BYU has been the far better team this season and almost perfect, with just one loss in their 11 games played. They have been undefeated at home and have been excellent against the spread with a 7-3 record, while on the flip side, UCF has been winless on the road and in terrible form lately, with a 2-6 record in its last 8 games. BYU is a top-30 team in the country both offensively and defensively and I expect them to win this one comfortably. Take BYU and lay the big number at home.