UCLA vs Nevada Prediction
Nevada has made bettors money this season with a 5-2 ATS record, but it doesn’t get better than UCLA and its 7-0 ATS record. UCLA has covered eight straight games overall. You’d have to go back to November of last year for the last time the Bruins didn’t cash a ticket. UCLA is the only team in college football that is undefeated against the spread. Nevada is extremely limited offensively and is 100th in rush defense. It’s not an ideal recipe to compete on the road.
This balanced UCLA offense that’s 38th in scoring should have a field day against this Nevada defense. UCLA is also 10th in total defense and 13th in scoring defense. The Wolf Pack will have their work cut out for them on both sides of the ball. It’s a big number, and I’m never a fan of laying more than three touchdowns. UCLA has still been the safest bet in college football. Until that changes, I’m on the Bruins bandwagon. I’ll lay the points with UCLA.
Why the UCLA Bruins will win
- UCLA has won each of its last seven games.
- Nevada has lost seven of its last eight road games against non-conference opponents.
- UCLA has covered the spread in each of its last eight games.
- Nevada has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-conference opponents.
- UCLA has won the first half in each of its last nine October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UCLA has won the first quarter in three of its last four home games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win
- Nevada has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 games in California.
- UCLA has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
- Nevada has won the first quarter in three of its last four games as an underdog against teams from California.
- UCLA has lost the first half in each of its last five games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UCLA’s last seven October games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Nevada’s last six games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
UCLA Bruins Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Ta’Shawn James ranks T3rd amongst FBS players for interceptions (4) this season.
Nevada Wolf Pack Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Herschel Turner leads the Mountain West Conference for yards per carry (6.8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UCLA ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.9).
- UCLA ranks 1st among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+8.7).
- Nevada ranks 137th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.9).
- Nevada ranks 137th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (85.7).
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
The Nevada Wolf Pack lost to North Dakota State, beat San Jose State, and they play New Mexico next. Nevada has lost 4 of its last 6 games. Carter Jones is completing 59.6 percent of his passes for 654 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Gary Givens III and Damien Morgan have combined for 484 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Marshaun Brown has 13 receptions.
The Nevada Wolf Pack ground game is averaging 181.6 yards per contest, and Dominic Kelley leads the way with 582 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 22 points and 320.3 yards per game. EJ Smith leads the Nevada Wolf Pack with 76 tackles, Dylan LaBarbera has 4 sacks, and Bryson Snelling has 1 interception.
UCLA Bruins Betting Preview
The UCLA Bruins beat Wisconsin and Michigan State, and they play Minnesota next. UCLA has won 7 straight games. Nico Iamaleava is completing 62.1 percent of his passes for 982 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Semaj Morgan and Brian Rowe Jr. have combined for 666 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Aidan Mizell has 7 receptions.
The UCLA Bruins’ ground game is averaging 233 yards per contest, and Wayne Knight leads the way with 627 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, UCLA is allowing 15.3 points and 272.9 yards per game. Jalen Woods leads the UCLA Bruins with 59 tackles, Sammy Omosigho has 5.5 sacks, and Ta’Shawn James has 4 interceptions.