In this article we will formulate a ULM vs FAU prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 26th at Malone Stadium in Monroe, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4 matchup.
ULM Warhawks Betting Preview
The ULM Warhawks are 0-3 this year after they lost to SELA by a score of 38-35 last week. ULM trailed 24-13 at halftime and 38-20 in the fourth, but they scored the last 15 points to make it closer in the loss. The Warhawks out gained SELA by a total of 511-279, went 9-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Austin Carlisle threw for 183 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Parker Fulghum caught five passes for 88 yards and one score. Derrick Jameson rushed nine times for 85 yards and two touchdowns in the loss.
Prior to that game, ULM lost to UAB by a score of 26-20 and Mississippi State by a score of 62-13. The Warhawks have scored 22.7 points per game with 175.7 passing yards and 173.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 42.0 points against per game this season. We should expect to see Austin Carlisle and Aidan Armenta at quarterback for this game.
FAU Owls Betting Preview
The FAU Owls are 2-1 this season after they defeated FIU by a score of 16-10 in their last game. FAU led 10-7 at halftime and scored the first six points in the second half to get the low scoring win. The Owls were out gained by a total of 357-258, went 6-16 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-0 in the game. Caden Veltkamp threw for 202 yards, while Easton Messer caught seven passes for 83 yards. Ethan Ervin rushed 13 times for 36 yards in the game.
Prior to that win, FAU defeated Navy by a score of 38-30, but lost to Florida by a score of 66-21 before that. The Owls have scored 25.0 points per game with 288.0 passing yards and 72.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 35.3 points against per game this season. Caden Veltkamp has thrown for 864 yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions, while Easton Messer has 22 receptions for 335 yards and two scores this season.
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- Florida Atlantic has lost each of its last 12 road games against non-conference opponents.
- Louisiana-Monroe has won four of its last five September games as a home underdog.
- Louisiana-Monroe has covered the spread in each of its last five September games as a home underdog.
- Florida Atlantic has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games against non-conference opponents.
- Florida Atlantic has lost the first half in seven of its last eight road games against non-conference opponents.
- The home team has won the first quarter in eight of Florida Atlantic’s last 10 games.
Why the Florida Atlantic Owls will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 11 games.
- Florida Atlantic has won each of its last six games as a favorite.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games.
- Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite.
- Florida Atlantic has won the first quarter in each of its last five games as a favorite.
- Florida Atlantic has won the first half in 18 of its last 19 September games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida Atlantic’s last four games against teams from Louisiana have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of Louisiana-Monroe’s last seven home games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Marcellus Jackson ranks T2nd in the Sun Belt Conference for receptions (16) this season.
Florida Atlantic Owls Player Prop Facts
- Easton Messer has recorded 50+ receiving yards in nine consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 4.
Matchup/League Facts
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 136th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (245.0).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 135th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (42.0).
- Florida Atlantic ranks 138th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-11.0).
- Florida Atlantic has lost the fourth quarter in each of its last three games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
ULM vs FAU Prediction
ULM comes into this matchup looking for their first win of the season, but they are coming off of a bad loss to a FCS school. The Warhawks have allowed 38, 26, and 62 points in their first three games and they have scored just 33 points against their FBS opponents. FAU has won two in a row, including a very nice win over Navy in week two. The Owls have the better quarterback in this game, but this is a lot of points to cover on the road, especially with their struggles last week. Take ULM to cover at home.