ULM vs Louisiana Prediction
Louisiana comes into this matchup after alternating wins and losses over their last five games and they have scored 28+ points in four straight. The Ragin’ Cajuns have been solid at home, but they are 0-2 in their last two road games. ULM has lost three of their last five games and they have scored 21 points or fewer in four straight. The Warhawks are very low scoring, but they also play pretty solid defense. I don’t love either side here, but I will take ULM at home, as Louisiana has had troubles on the road.
ULM Warhawks Betting Preview
The ULM Warhawks are 2-7 (2-3) this year after they defeated Arkansas State by a score of 19-17 in their last game. ULM trailed 14-9 at halftime, but they held their opponent to just three points in the second half to get the narrow win. The Warhawks out gained Arkansas State by a total of 389-313, went 9-14 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Aidan Armenta threw for 90 yards and two interceptions, while Austin Carlisle threw for 31 yards. Carlisle led the rushing attack with 111 yards on 19 carries, while Bryson Roland caught three passes for 35 yards in the game.
Prior to that win, ULM lost to Southern Miss by a score of 35-21, but did defeat Troy by a score of 21-14 before that. The Warhawks have scored 20.1 points per game with 200.4 passing yards and 138.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 34.8 points against per game this season. Aidan Armenta has thrown for 1,413 yards with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions, while Marcellus Jackson has 35 receptions for 370 yards and one score. Austin Carlisle has thrown for 391 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions, while also rushing for 363 yards and one touchdown on 65 carries this year.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Preview
The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns are 6-3 (3-2) this season after they defeated South Alabama by a score of 28-26 in their last game. Louisiana led 21-17 at halftime and they were able to win, despite being outscored 9-7 in the second half. The Ragin’ Cajuns out gained South Alabama by a total of 459-369, went 8-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Lunch Winfield threw for 147 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Trenton Chaney caught two passes for 46 yards. JJ Garner rushed 10 times for 136 yards and one score in the win.
Prior to that game, Louisiana lost to Southern Miss by a score of 35-31, but did defeat Troy by a score of 33-6 before that. The Ragin’ Cajuns have scored 29.9 points per game with 187.7 passing yards and 203.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 21.8 points against per game this season. Lunch Winfield has thrown for 1,599 yards with seven touchdowns and six interceptions, while also rushing 129 times for 567 yards and 10 scores. KeDarius Wade has led the receivers with 16 catches for 300 yards and two touchdowns this season.
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- The home team has won each of Louisiana’s last five games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in four of Louisiana’s last five games.
- Louisiana has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of Louisiana’s last 11 road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Louisiana-Monroe’s last five games against teams from Louisiana have gone OVER the total points line.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Aidan Armenta leads Louisiana-Monroe for touchdowns (4) this season.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, JJ Garner leads the Sun Belt Conference for yards per carry (7.2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Louisiana-Monroe is one of only three FBS teams winless in home games this season (0-4).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks T135th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-5.9).
- Louisiana has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
- Louisiana has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
Positive Trends
After reviewing the trends, I still like ULM to cover here. Louisiana has seen the home team win each of their last five games and they are also just 1-3 against the spread in their last four games as a favorite. I have highlighted Louisiana’s issues on the road, but ULM has yet to win a home game this season. Even with that in mind, I think they can keep this game close, which is why I’m taking the points.