In this article we will formulate a UMass vs Bowling Green prediction for this College Football game on Tuesday, November 25th at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup.
UMass Minutemen Betting Preview
The UMass Minutemen are 0-11 (0-7) this season after they lost to Ohio by a score of 42-14 in their last game. UMass led 7-0 early in the first quarter, but they allowed 42 of the next 49 points for the blowout loss. The Minutemen were out gained by a total of 391-215, went 6-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Grant Jordan went 10-21 for 56 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Brandon Hood rushed 10 times for 39 yards. Jacquon Gibson led the receivers with five catches for 21 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, UMass lost to NIU by a score of 45-3 and Akron by a score of 44-10. The Minutemen have lost all 11 games to start the season and they are last in the MAC standings. UMass has scored 10.8 points per game with 159.8 passing yards and 83.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 38.0 points against per game this season. UMass is another team that is having trouble with their quarterback situation, while Jacquon Gibson has 53 catches for 478 yards this season.
Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview
The Bowling Green Falcons are 3-8 (1-6) this year after they lost to Akron by a score of 19-16 in their last game. Bowling Green was tied at six at the half and they led 13-9 in the third quarter, but came up just short in the fourth. The Falcons were out gained by a total of 319-272, went 6-18 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-2 in the game. Hunter Najm went 9-26 for 138 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Austyn Dendy rushed 27 times for 110 yards. Jyrin Johnson led the receivers with three catches for 63 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, Bowling Green lost to Eastern Michigan by a score of 27-21 and Buffalo by a score of 28-3. The Falcons have lost five games in a row and they are currently second to last in the MAC standings. Bowling Green has scored 18.3 points per game with 153.4 passing yards and 144.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.2 points against per game this season. Hunter Najm has thrown for 345 yards, two touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Jyrin Johnson has 35 receptions for 446 yards and two scores this year.
Why the Massachusetts Minutemen will win
- Bowling Green has lost each of its last four games as a favorite.
- The underdog has won five of Bowling Green’s last six games.
- Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games as a favorite.
- The underdog has covered the spread in 11 of Bowling Green’s last 13 games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Massachusetts’ last nine November games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Bowling Green’s last eight games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Massachusetts ranks 136th among FBS teams for points per game this season (10.8).
- Massachusetts is the only FBS team winless in home games this season (0-5).
- Bowling Green ranks 133rd among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (93.5).
- Bowling Green ranks 130th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (297.7).
UMass vs Bowling Green Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup really struggling right now, but UMass is still looking for their first win of the season. The Minutemen have allowed at least 38 points in four straight games, but they will face a Bowling Green offense that has scored 21 or fewer in five straight. Bowling Green has had major problems passing the ball this year and even against a bad UMass defense, I think those struggles will continue. I know it may sound crazy, but I think this is a spot that UMass can get their first win, as Bowling Green just tries to finish the season on the road. Take the Minutemen here.
David Racey is 140-118 (54%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!