The Boise State Broncos and the Utah State Aggies meet in week 14 college football action from Maverik Stadium on Friday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies prediction.
Boise State Broncos Recap
The Boise State Broncos come into this game looking to add on to their 49-21 win over Colorado State last time out to sit at 7-4 this season.
Boise State Looking For Spot In Mountain West Title Game
Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,994 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 INTs on 59.6% passing while Max Cutforth has thrown for 516 yards, a touchdown and 2 INTs on 59.3% passing. Dylan Riley leads the Broncos on the ground with 896 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns while Sire Gaines has 700 rushing yards and 7 TDs and Malik Sherrod has 379 rushing yards with 4 TDs. Chris Marshall leads Boise State’s receiving group with 467 receiving yards and 2 TDs while Latrell Caples has 40 catches for 463 yards and 3 TDs and Ben Ford has 325 receiving yards with 5 TDs. Matt Lauter has 270 receiving yards and another five Broncos have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. As a team, Boise State is averaging Ty Benefield has a team-high 83 total tackles along with a pair of interceptions while A’Marion McCoy and Jeremiah Earby each have a team-high 4 interceptions and Braxton Fely has a team-high 5 sacks. As a unit, Boise State has combined for 19 sacks and 14 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last nine games against Utah State.
- Utah State has lost eight of its last nine games against teams from Idaho.
- Boise State has covered the spread in each of its last eight games against Utah State.
- Utah State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games against teams from Idaho.
Utah State Aggies Recap
The Utah State Aggies come into this game looking to add on to their 28-17 win over Fresno State last time out to sit at 6-5 this season.
Aggies Clinch Bowl Eligibility
Bryson Barnes has thrown for 2,502 yards, 18 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 62.2% passing while also rushing for 644 yards and 8 touchdowns so far this season. Miles Davis leads Utah State with 689 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns while Javen Jacobs has 313 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns so far this year. Braden Pegan has a team-high 898 receiving yards and 58 receptions with 5 TDs to lead Utah State’s receiving group while Brady Boyd has 40 grabs for 629 yards and 7 TDs. Three more Utah State receivers have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, John Miller leads Utah State with 95 total tackles along with 7.5 sacks while Noah Avinger has a team-high 3 interceptions. As a unit, Utah State has combined for 25 sacks and 10 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- The home team has won 14 of Utah State’s last 15 games.
- Utah State has covered the spread in each of its last seven home games.
- Boise State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of Utah State’s last 11 games as an underdog in Utah have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Boise State’s last six road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies Prediction
I’m on Boise State here. I know it’s win and you’re in for Boise State pretty much, but the thing is, and the reason why I’m laying the points, Utah State struggles to stop the run and has done so all season long, and the Broncos have a three-headed monster in their backfield with Riley, Gaines and Sherrod, that can pile up the yards and make you pay on the ground. I think this is just a spot where I’m backing the team with a sizeable matchup on the field, so give me Boise in this one.