In this article, we will formulate a UTEP vs New Mexico Prediction for this College Football Week 5 matchup on Saturday, October 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
New Mexico Lobos Preview
New Mexico has a 3-1 record and are coming off a 42-18 road win against New Mexico State. They will face Hawaii and North Dakota State next. Offensively, New Mexico averages 39 points per game, ranking 27th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 11.5 points per game, which is 8th. New Mexico averages 359.8 total yards per game (156.3 passing and 203.5 rushing), while allowing 252 total yards per game (83.8 rushing and 168.3 passing).
Toa Fa’avae leads New Mexico with 390 passing yards with 47.7% completed passes and 2 touchdowns. Scottre Humphrey leads the team in rushing yards with 285, while Cade Keith has a team-high 10 receptions for 169 receiving yards. Defensively, Jaxton Eck has a team-high 20 total tackles (10 of them solo), while Brett Karhu leads the team with 3 sacks.
UTEP Miners Preview
UTEP has a 1-3 record and are coming off a 7-33 home loss against Oregon State. They will face Nevada and San Jose State next. Offensively, UTEP averages 18.8 points per game, ranking 127th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 36.5 points per game, which is 134th. UTEP averages 265.3 total yards per game (137 passing and 128.3 rushing), while allowing 373.5 total yards per game (154.3 rushing and 219.3 passing).
EJ Colson leads UTEP with 496 passing yards with 66.2% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Tavorus Jones leads the team in rushing yards with 196, while Carver Cheeks has a team-high 10 receptions for 143 receiving yards. Defensively, Xavier Smith has a team-high 27 total tackles (13 of them solo), while Sterling Miles leads the team with one sack.
UTEP Miners @ New Mexico Lobos Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won each of its last nine home games.
- UTEP has lost each of its last 11 games as an underdog.
- UTEP has failed to cover the spread in each of its last nine games as an underdog.
- The favorite has covered the spread in 11 of UTEP’s last 12 games.
- New Mexico has won the first quarter in each of its last five home games in October.
- UTEP has lost the first half in each of its last 13 games as an underdog.
Why the UTEP Miners will win
- New Mexico has lost 24 of its last 30 games against conference opponents at University Stadium.
- New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite against teams from Texas.
- UTEP has covered the spread in 11 of its last 14 road games in October.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UTEP’s last six games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of New Mexico’s last four home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
New Mexico Lobos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Tavian Combs ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for interceptions (3) this season.
UTEP Miners Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Carver Cheeks ranks T1st in the Mountain West Conference for receiving touchdowns (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- New Mexico ranks 1st among FBS teams for interceptions this season (9).
- New Mexico ranks T4th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (+10.8).
- UTEP ranks 136th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (265.3).
- UTEP ranks 3rd among FBS teams for sacks this season (16.0).
UTEP vs New Mexico Prediction
In this UTEP vs New Mexico Prediction, New Mexico is coming as -23.5 home favorites. Both teams have opposite records so far this season and New Mexico has covered the spread in all of its four games. They are superior both offensively and defensively, having the 8th-best defense in the country for a +27.5 point differential. On the flip side, UTEP is sitting on the bottom-12 of the country both on offense and defense for a -17.7 point differential and has scored just 24 points in its three games played against FBS teams. I expect the hosts to dominate this game and win easily, so take New Mexico and lay the -23.5 points.