In this article we will formulate a UTSA vs South Florida prediction for this College Football game on Thursday, October 8th at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 6 matchup.
UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview
The UTSA Roadrunners are 4-1 (1-0) this season after they defeated Rice by a score of 16-14 last week. UTSA led 16-7 at halftime and they were able to get the win, but they were outscored 7-0 in the second half. The Roadrunners out gained Rice by a total of 314-232, went 6-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Owen McCown threw for 148 yards and one interception, while David Amador II caught seven passes for 48 yards. Will Henderson III rushed 18 times for 90 yards and one score in the game.
Prior to that win, UTSA defeated Colorado State by a score of 59-45, but lost to Texas by a score of 30-6 before that. The Roadrunners have scored 31.4 points per game with 210.8 passing yards and 173.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.2 points against per game this season. Owen McCown has thrown for 1,010 yards with seven touchdowns and two interceptions this season.
South Florida Bulls Betting Preview
The South Florida Bulls are 4-1 (1-1) this year after they lost to Temple by a score of 17-13 in their last game. South Florida trailed 10-3 at halftime, but they led 13-10 in the fourth, before allowing a touchdown with about three minutes left for the loss. The Bulls out gained Temple by a total of 319-274, went 7-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Michael Van Buren Jr threw for 205 yards, while Cameron Seldon caught three passes for 53 yards. DJ Crowther rushed 23 times for 68 yards and one touchdown in the loss.
Prior to that game, South Florida defeated Bowling Green by a score of 14-6 and Delaware State by a score of 59-17. The Bulls have scored 26.6 points per game with 183.4 passing yards and 160.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 14.6 points against per game this season. Michael Van Buren Jr has thrown for 896 yards with three touchdowns and zero interceptions this year.
Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win
- UTSA has won each of its last 10 home games in October.
- South Florida has lost 12 of its last 13 October games as an underdog.
- UTSA has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
- South Florida has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine games in Texas.
- UTSA has won the first quarter in each of its last seven games at Alamodome.
- UTSA has won the first half in 23 of its last 25 October games as a favorite.
Why the South Florida Bulls will win
- South Florida has won five of its last six games as an underdog.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of UTSA’s last four games.
- UTSA has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four October games as a favorite.
- South Florida has won the first quarter in four of its last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UTSA’s last 12 games at Alamodome have gone OVER the total points line.
- Fourteen of South Florida’s last 16 road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
UTSA Roadrunners Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Mekhi Anderson ranks 1st in the American Conference amongst qualified players for catch rate (90.9%) this season.
South Florida Bulls Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, D.J. Crowther ranks T9th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UTSA ranks 130th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (199.4).
- UTSA ranks 11th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (77.8).
- South Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- South Florida ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.6).
UTSA vs South Florida Prediction
UTSA comes into this matchup with a 4-1 record, but they barely got by Rice last week. The Roadrunners have a very experienced QB and they have scored 31+ in three of their five games. South Florida is also 4-1 on the season, but is coming off of a bad loss to Temple. The Bulls also have an experienced QB, but their defense has allowed 17 or fewer in four of five games. This is a great matchup in the American and I think either side could win, so I will take the points with South Florida.