The Auburn Tigers and Vanderbilt Commodores meet Saturday in college football action at FirstBank Stadium. Here’s a Vanderbilt vs Auburn Prediction. This article will include a Vanderbilt vs Auburn Pick.
Auburn Tigers Betting Preview
The Auburn Tigers lost to Kentucky, beat Arkansas, and they play Mercer next. Auburn has lost 5 of its last 6 games. Jackson Arnold is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 1,278 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Eric Singleton Jr. and Cam Coleman have combined for 853 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Malcolm Simmons has 15 receptions.
The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 164.8 yards per contest, and Jeremiah Cobb leads the way with 789 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 17.7 points and 309.8 yards per game. Xavier Atkins leads the Auburn Tigers with 69 tackles, Keyon Crawford has 5 sacks and Rayshawn Pleasant has 2 interceptions.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores beat Missouri, lost to Texas, and they play Kentucky next. The Vanderbilt Commodores have 8 of their last 10 games. Diego Pavia is completing 69.2 percent of his passes for 2,063 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Eli Stowers and Junior Sherrill have combined for 938 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Tre Richardson has 26 receptions.
The Vanderbilt Commodores ground game is averaging 187.2 yards per contest, and Diego Pavia leads the way with 501 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Vanderbilt is allowing 20.4 points and 334.3 yards per game. CJ Heard leads the Vanderbilt Commodores with 47 tackles, Miles Capers has 4.5 sacks and Martel Hight has 1 interception.
Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win
- Auburn has lost each of its last 10 road games against AP-ranked teams.
- Vanderbilt has won each of its last 11 games as a home favorite.
- Auburn has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six November road games against AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in six of Vanderbilt’s last seven games at FirstBank Stadium.
- Auburn has lost the first half in three of its last four road games against conference opponents.
Why the Auburn Tigers will win
- Vanderbilt has lost eight of its last nine games in November.
- The road team has won each of Auburn’s last four games.
- The road team has covered the spread in eight of Auburn’s last nine games.
- Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games in November.
- Auburn has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Vanderbilt has lost the first half in 19 of its last 24 home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Vanderbilt’s last seven November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of Auburn’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Vanderbilt Commodores Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Diego Pavia is one of only three players in the FBS to record 2,000 passing yards and 500 rushing yards this season.
Auburn Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Xavier Atkins is the only player in the FBS to record 7+ sacks and an interception this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Vanderbilt ranks 8th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (52.7).
- Vanderbilt ranks T9th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (18.8).
- Auburn ranks 6th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.1).
- Auburn ranks 9th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (83.6).
Vanderbilt vs Auburn Prediction
Vanderbilt has been flawless at home this season and despite recent losses is still 6-2-1 ATS on the season. Auburn doesn’t win, doesn’t cover numbers, and remains one of the worst offensive teams in the country. Auburn is 112th in total offense and 104th in scoring offense. Auburn has scored 17 or fewer points in 5 of its last 6 games. That’s just not going to get it done against this Vanderbilt squad. You can argue this line should be steeper. I’ll take Vanderbilt by a touchdown or two.