In this article, we will formulate a Virginia vs Florida State Prediction for this College Football Week 5 matchup on Saturday, October 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Florida State Seminoles Preview
Florida State has a 2-2 record and are coming off a 34-7 home win against Central Arkansas. They will face Louisville and Miami next. Offensively, Florida State averages 32 points per game, ranking 64th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.2 points per game, which is 91st. Florida State averages 407.8 total yards per game (235.5 passing and 172.3 rushing), while allowing 429.8 total yards per game (139.8 rushing and 290 passing).
Ashton Daniels leads Florida State with 928 passing yards with 59.8% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Ousmane Kromah leads the team in rushing yards with 397, while Duce Robinson has a team-high 13 receptions for 262 receiving yards. Defensively, CJ Richard Jr. has a team-high 29 total tackles (17 of them solo), while Ryan Kennedy leads the team with 2 sacks.
Virginia Cavaliers Preview
Virginia has a 3-1 record and are coming off a 42-3 home win against Delaware. They will face Syracuse and SMU next. Offensively, Virginia averages 40.5 points per game, ranking 21st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 13 points per game, which is 17th. Virginia averages 447.3 total yards per game (254.5 passing and 192.8 rushing), while allowing 247 total yards per game (116.8 rushing and 130.3 passing).
Beau Pribula leads Virginia with 793 passing yards with 76.7% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Jekail Middlebrook leads the team in rushing yards with 177, while Kameron Courtney has a team-high 15 receptions for 166 receiving yards. Defensively, Jacobie Henderson has a team-high 25 total tackles (11 of them solo), while Matthew Fobbs-White leads the team with 2 sacks.
Virginia Cavaliers @ Florida State Seminoles Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Florida State Seminoles will win
- The home team has won nine of Florida State’s last 10 games.
- Virginia has lost eight of its last 10 games in Florida.
- The underdog has covered the spread in five of Florida State’s last six games.
- Virginia has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three October games as a favorite.
- Florida State has won the first quarter in five of its last six October home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida State has won the first half in each of its last seven home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win
- Florida State has lost each of its last six games in October.
- Virginia has won each of its last four road games against conference opponents.
- Virginia has covered the spread in each of its last six games against teams from Florida.
- Florida State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Virginia has won the first quarter in nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida State has lost the first half in 12 of its last 13 games as an underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida State’s last six games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Virginia’s last six October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Florida State Seminoles Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Ousmane Kromah ranks T12th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (5) this season.
Virginia Cavaliers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Brandyn Hillman ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for interceptions (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Florida State ranks 135th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (290.0).
- Virginia has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- Virginia has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
Virginia vs Florida State Prediction
In this Virginia vs Florida State Prediction, Virginia is coming as -2.5 road favorites. Virginia has a better record and is better both on the offensive and the defensive end, almost cracking the top-20 of the entire country in both categories for a dominating +27.5 point differential. On the flip side, Florida State is 1-3 both straight up and against the spread this season and has been dominated by Virginia in recent years, having won only once in their last four head-to-head meetings and is 0-3-1 against the spread. Virginia has allowed 14 points combined in three of its last four games and I expect them to win this one. Take Virginia by -2.5.