Week 4: Texas State vs Houston Baptist 9/24/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Texas State Bobcats and Houston Baptist Huskies clash Saturday afternoon in week 4 college football action at Bobcat Stadium. The Houston Baptist Huskies look to get a game above a .500 record. The Texas State Bobcats look to get back to a .500 record. 

The Houston Baptist Huskies have lost 6 of their last 7 road games. Justin Fomby is completing 53.3 percent of his passes for 635 yards, 6 touchdowns and 1 interception. Karl Reynolds and Ismail Mahdi have combined for 389 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Vernon Harrell has 4 receptions. The Houston Baptist Huskies ground game is averaging 128.5 yards per contest, and Mahdi leads the way with 263 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Houston Baptist is allowing 27.5 points and 451 yards per game. Isaiah Cash leads the Houston Baptist Huskies with 22 tackles, Jalyx Hunt has 2.5 sacks and Coi Miller has 1 interception.

The Texas State Bobcats have lost 4 of their last 7 home games. Layne Hatcher is completing 61.9 percent of his passes for 705 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Ashtyn Hawkins and Charles Brown have combined for 370 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Julian Ortega-Jones has 10 receptions. The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 32 yards per contest, and Calvin Hill leads the way with 246 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 30.7 points and 362.7 yards per game. Sione Tupou leads the Texas State Bobcats with 23 tackles, Levi Bell has 1.5 sacks and Kordell Rodgers has 2 interceptions.

The Huskies are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The over is 7-3 in Huskies last 10 road games. The under is 4-1 in Bobcats last 5 games overall.

The Texas State Bobcats should be big favorites here at home, as they have a clear edge in terms of talent. However, let’s not act like Texas State is a world beater and its offense has been on the struggle bus through 3 games. The Houston Baptist Huskies will certainly be the more motivated team, and they’ve had an extra week to prepare. All that has to count for something. I’ll take a shot with the road dog, grabbing the points with the Huskies.

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