In this article, we will formulate a Wisconsin vs Penn State Prediction for this College Football Week 4 matchup on Saturday, September 26th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Penn State Nittany Lions Preview
Penn State has a 3-0 record and are coming off a 55-13 home win against Buffalo. They will face Northwestern and USC next. Offensively, Penn State averages 42.3 points per game, ranking 22nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 7.3 points per game, which is 3rd. Penn State averages 492 total yards per game (287 passing and 205 rushing), while allowing 201 total yards per game (111 rushing and 90 passing).
Rocco Becht leads Penn State with 751 passing yards with 70.3% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Carson Hansen leads the team in rushing yards with 169, while Koby Howard has a team-high 12 receptions for 344 receiving yards. Defensively, Tony Rojas has a team-high 16 total tackles (12 of them solo), also adding a team-high one sack.
Wisconsin Badgers Preview
Wisconsin has a 2-1 record and are coming off a 54-10 home win against Eastern Michigan. They will face Michigan State and UCLA next. Offensively, Wisconsin averages 34.3 points per game, ranking 58th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20 points per game, which is 60th. Wisconsin averages 389.7 total yards per game (250.7 passing and 139 rushing), while allowing 289.3 total yards per game (109 rushing and 180.3 passing).
Colton Joseph leads Wisconsin with 752 passing yards with 63.5% completed passes and 5 touchdowns. Abu Sama III leads the team in rushing yards with 156, while Tyrell Henry has a team-high 22 receptions for 293 receiving yards. Defensively, Cooper Catalano has a team-high 26 total tackles (10 of them solo), while Sebastian Cheeks leads the team with 2 sacks.
Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win
- Penn State has won each of its last 30 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Wisconsin has lost each of its last 11 games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
- Wisconsin has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven September games against AP-ranked teams.
- Penn State has covered the spread in each of its last six games against Wisconsin.
- Penn State has won the first quarter in 14 of its last 15 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Penn State has won the first half in each of its last 11 home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Wisconsin Badgers will win
- Penn State has lost three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- Penn State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
- Wisconsin has covered the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Wisconsin’s last 10 games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last three games between Wisconsin and Penn State have gone UNDER the total points line.
Penn State Nittany Lions Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Koby Howard ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (28.7) this season.
Wisconsin Badgers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Gavin Lahm ranks T3rd amongst FBS players for made field goals (7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Penn State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Penn State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (90.0).
- Wisconsin ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Wisconsin ranks T9th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (2.0).
Wisconsin vs Penn State Prediction
In this Wisconsin vs Penn State Prediction, Penn State is coming as -10.5 home favorites. Penn State has been undefeated this season and has elite numbers so far, ranking 22nd in points scored and having the third-best defense in the entire country, for a +35 point differential. On the flip side, Wisconsin has failed to cover the spread in two of its three games played and their only defeat this season has been on the road by 28 points in Notre Dame. Take Penn State to win and cover the -10.5 at home in this one.