Fantasy Football News and Updates 2013 NFL Week 5: Stock Watch, High Values to Sell
Jason's Fantasy Football Analysis: Stock Watch: High Values to Sell
October 3, 2013
Stock Watch - High Values to Sell
Trading is all about timing and selling players as their value peaks and not as it declines. Here are a few players that have high values now, but they will have to overcome some major obstacles in the near future to maintain their high values.
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Bilal Powell - Powell has gone from the waiver wire to being a must start option in a very short amount of time. His value has been greatly helped thanks to an injury to Chris Ivory and an extremely volatile fantasy football running back market. Powell is the lead dog for the Jets, but there are some concerns on the horizon. The inevitable returns of Chris Ivory and Mike Goodson may cause Powell to lose carries as the season goes along. The Jets schedule is not extremely difficult, but they are on a stretch where they are going to be playing against some big offenses, and it's hard to make an argument that they will be able to keep these games close. Also, Geno Smith is following in Mark Sanchez's footsteps and becoming a turnover machine. Competition for carries, playing from behind, and a turnover heavy QB will not allow Powell's fantasy value to stay as high as it is now.
The fantasy football running back market will most likely find some stability over the next few weeks and fantasy owners will start to consider the impact Ivory and Goodson will have on Powell's workload. It would be best to shop Powell now while his stock is so high and try to acquire one of the underperforming big name RBs since many fantasy owners are scrambling to find bell cow running backs.
Kenbrell Thompkins - Thompkins was a sleeper coming out of the preseason, and he has finally learned how to catch the ball during an NFL game. Thompkins is looking like Brady's favorite target at the moment, and that is why its time to sell high. The two reasons that Thompkins cannot maintain his high value are Gronkowski and Amendola. Its the threat of the looming competition for targets. Brady loves to spread the ball around, but right now he does now have many choices to throw too. But very soon, Brady will have two more very talented receivers on the field, and this will, without a doubt, cut into Thompkins targets.
Thompkins production will not sink into the cellar when Gronk and Amendola return, but he will not be the main man on the field like he is now. Upon their return, Thompkins' production will resemble Brandon Lloyd's from last year, and while that is not too bad, Thompkins could be traded now to acquire someone that will provide more consistent production as the season continues.
Cecil Shorts - Shorts has been a solid fantasy producer so far this season, and that is impressive considering how bad the Jaguars have been. But there is another way to spin his production. Shorts is tied with A.J. Green for the lead in targets this year with 51. Through the first quarter of the season, no one has had more passes thrown their way then Cecil Shorts, yet he is not even a top 20 scoring receiver. How many fantasy points would Shorts have if he was sharing those targets with another high profile receiver? Justin Blackmon will return to the field this week, and he will take targets away from Shorts. Unless the Jaguars change quarterbacks and find a winning attitude, its hard to argue that Shorts will remain a top 30 WR the rest of the season.
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