Fantasy Football Updates: 2013 NFL Week 8 Stock Watch Decreasing Values
Jason's Fantasy Football Analysis: Stock Watch Week 8 Bear Market
October 24, 2013
Stock Watch Week 8: Bear Market
1. All Vikings (even AP) - The Vikings looked absolutely horrendous on Monday night against the winless New York Giants. Thanks to the Vikings terrible football display, the Giants are no longer winless, and the entire Vikings team lost a lot of fantasy value. Yes, that includes Adrian Peterson. Adrian Peterson had one of the worst games of his career on Monday, and there are serious concerns about the Vikings ability to turn things around. The Fantasy Football World keeps saying AP has more yards now then he did at this time last year, and while that may be the case, the Vikings as a whole are heading in a much different direction this year then they were last year. In 2012, the Vikings were sitting at 4-2 after their first six games and they had their eyes on the playoffs with no QB controversy. In 2013, the Vikings are 1-5 after their first six games and they not only have no hope of making the playoffs but they just embarrassed their new QB, Josh Freeman, on national television (in front of all his peers) after he was fired from his former team just weeks ago. The Vikings as a whole are heading in the wrong direction, and while Adrian Peterson should still be a viable fantasy option for the rest of the season, it would take a football miracle for him to repeat last year's second half numbers.
2. Alfred Morris - Alfred Morris is a very interesting candidate to buy low on right now because his running back partner, Roy Helu, just stole three touchdowns from Morris on Sunday. Morris has been very productive this season as he is averaging 5.2 yards per carry and it seems weird that a starting running back, who was a 1st round fantasy draft pick, would be a buy low option with such productive numbers. The reason for a decrease in Morris's value is the Redskins head coach and his running back usage, which is now called Shanahanigans. MIke Shanahan has been a nightmare for fantasy footballers for years, and his shenanigans ended last year when he let Morris run wild. But after Sunday's contest where Roy Helu took all the touchdowns, fantasy owners that invested in Morris may be getting nervous and that is why Morris is a possible buy low candidate. Morris's value is in flux at the moment and fantasy owners have to decide if he is worth the Shanahanigans headache.
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3. Lamar Miller - The Fantasy Football World has been waiting and waiting and waiting for Lamar Miller to live up to hype he was given over the preseason. Frank Gore compared Miller to Clinton Portis, but Miller has not come close to delivering on such a comparison. Miller had a decent stretch of games over weeks 2-4 where he rushed for over 60 yards in each game and he also scored two touchdowns during that stretch. However, Miller has been terrible since week 4, and now fantasy owners have to decide what to do with him. Miller is not a good buy low candidate right now because the Miami coaching staff is still not impressed with him, and Daniel Thomas is still taking a nice share of the carries. The Dolphins are also a team heading in the wrong direction as they are currently on a three game losing streak and their remaining schedule no longer looks as easy as it did before the season started. Miller is close to being droppable depending on the size of your league and who is on the waiver wire.
4. Tom Brady - Tom Terrific has not been very terrific as of late, and he had another poor performance on Sunday against the Jets. There are many reasons that Brady has been below average this season. Teams are getting more pressure on him, the Patriots rookie receivers keep dropping passes, and Brady has missed his best target, Gronkowski. But before you right Brady off, remember he is Tom Brady, and he has made stars out of lots of no-name players in the past. Brady just got Gronk back and it will take them a few weeks to knock the rust off, but when they do it should be awesome. Shane Vereen is getting close to coming back and Austin Collie will be getting more familiar with the Patriots offense as well. With all the injuries to the Patriots defense, it seems likely that the Patriots will need to score more points to win games and that means more passes for Tom Brady. It is a good time to buy low on Brady.
5. Defenses on the decline: The Bears, Texans, and Broncos were all drafted as high end fantasy defenses, but they have not played like top defenses this year. All three of them, Texans, Bears, and Broncos, are giving up nearly four touchdowns a game and they all have suffered major injuries. The Texans have lost Brian Cushing for the year, the Broncos can't keep Champ Bailey healthy, and the Bears lost Lance Briggs for at least 6 weeks, D.J. Williams is out for the season, and Charles Tillman can't stay healthy either. Its time to sell these defenses because their fantasy stock will only get lower as the season progresses.
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