Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 4/27
2015-04-26 11:00:00 EDT
Daily Fantasy Baseball – High Cost / Value Picks – 4/27/15
Please remember to check the line-ups prior to the game and the weather reports to ensure you have a full roster of active players.
- High Cost – David Price – Detroit Tigers
David Price got knocked around by the New York Yankees in his last outing as he lasted only 2.1 innings giving up 8 runs on 10 hits. Price was dominant in his first three outings of the season going 22.1 IP giving up just 1 ER while striking out 20 and I expect him to bounce back nicely in this one as he was 2-0 in two starts against Cleveland last year while going 14.2 IP giving up just 2 runs whiles striking out 15.
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- Value Pick – Jimmy Nelson – Milwaukee Brewers
I went with Jimmy Nelson earlier this season as I think he has great value with his ability to be able to strike out batters. Nelson posted a respectable 7.0 K/9 and posted a 3.53 ERA in 32 games started in 2014. Nelson has held the current Cincinnati Reds lineup to a .200 average and picked up a no-decision against the Reds this past Wednesday going 8.0 IP, giving up 1 run and three hits while striking out 5.
- High Cost – Victor Martinez – Detroit Tigers
The high-value catchers market is a little thin on Monday but if I’m going to spend some money at the catcher’s position, I’m going with Victor Martinez. Victor Martinez has a lifetime average of .500 (4-8) with an RBI against Minnesota’s Tommy Milone. Detroit as a team is hitting .314 off Tommy Milone so Martinez should have the ability to get some runs and RBI’s in this one. Martinez is a switch-hitter and although he is only hitting .239 on the season, he is hitting .417 from the right side of the plate in 2015 which he should be with the lefty Milone on the mound.
- Value Pick – Jason Castro /Hank Conger – Houston Astros
There will be a lot of options to find a catcher for a low price on Monday and I’m going to go with whoever gets the start for the Houston Astros. Both Castro and Conger have had success off the righty James Shields as Castro is batting .300 (3-10) with a double and Conger is hitting .500 (3-6) with two doubles. Shields has been solid this season but does is allowing left-handed batters to hit .267 off hit with a .467 slugging percentage.
- High Cost – Miguel Cabrera – Detroit Tigers
Miguel Cabrera has been in a mini slump as of late as he has only hit .182 over the past 7 days, but had big day on Sunday going 3 for 4 with a homerun and 3 RBI’s. Cabrera is hitting an impressive .385 (5-13) with a double and 2 BB’s against Minnesota’s Tommy Milone in his lifetime. Over the last 3 seasons, Cabrera is hitting .333 with 12 homeruns against the Twins and .333 at Target field.
- Value Pick – Adam LaRoche – Chicago White Sox
Adam LaRoche will be my value pick at first-base on Monday as he has had some good success against Baltimore’s Ubaldo Jimenez and for the fact that all his power in 2015 has come against right-handed pitching. LaRoche has a lifetime .350 average with 5 BB’s, a homerun and 4 RBI’s against Jimenez. LaRoche is only batting .207 on the season, but is a bit better facing right-handed pitching as he is hitting .231 with 3 homeruns and 7 RBI’s.
- High Cost – Ian Kinsler – Detroit Tigers
I’m hoping for a big game by the Tigers offensive and going roll with another “high cost” Tiger, with picking Ian Kinsler at second base this Monday. Kinsler is hitting .308 over the last 7 days and has had three consecutive multi-hit games. Kinsler has a lifetime average of .313 with a homerun and 4 RBI’s off Minnesota’s Tommy Milone and has hit .311 against left-handed pitching over the past three seasons.
- Value Pick – Aaron Hill – Arizona Diamondbacks
Aaron Hill has a had a real difficult 2015 season so far as he is hitting just .156 while hitting just .091 over the last week. Hill is a great value pick on Monday as he has had some great success against the Rockies Kyle Kendrick, as Hill has posted a .667 (8-12) average with 4 doubles in his career. Hill does have a little pop in his bat as he hit double digits home runs in each of his last three seasons and I’m hoping that he picks up his first one on the season on Monday.
- High Cost – Troy Tulowitzki – Colorado Rockies
I don’t really love any of the matchups for the “high cost” shortstops on Monday, but if I had to go with one, I would go with Tulowitzki. Tulowitzki is hitting a respectable .303 on the season and has seen Arizona’s Chase Anderson as he is 1 for 3 lifetime against him. Tulowitzki is actually hitting better away from Coors field posting a .324 average on the road and has a .455 average at Chase Field over his past three seasons.
- Value Pick – Wilmar Flores – New York Mets
Wilmar Flores will be the shortstop in my lineups on Monday night as he is hitting .291 on the season and .421 with a homerun over the last seven days. Flores is hitting .600 (3-5) against Miami’s Jarred Cosart with a double, homerun and 5 RBI’s. Flores has been good against right-handed pitching in 2015 as he is hitting .289 and has hit 3 homeruns. Flores is also hitting .286 at Marlins Park over his past three seasons.
- High Cost – Kris Bryant – Chicago Cubs
I’m going back to the talented rookie third basemen for the Cubs as my “high cost” pick on Friday. Bryant was held hitless on Sunday, but in each of the two games in his young career in which he has been hitless, he has bounced back with at least two hits. Bryant is hitting .440 over the last 7 days and hit .400 in his first series against the Pirates earlier in the season. Bryant is only 1-6 against lefties this season, but I think he could have some success against Pittsburgh’s Vance Worley.
- Value Pick – Aramis Ramirez – Milwaukee Brewers
Aramis Ramirez got the day off on Sunday but I expect him to be back in the lineup on Monday as he has a favorable matchup against Cincinnati’s Jason Marquis. Ramirez is hitting just .197 on the season, but is hitting .333 with a homerun over the past week. Ramirez has posted a career .370 (10-27) average with 2 homeruns and 9 RBI’s against Marquis. Ramirez was 3 for 4 with a double and 2 RBI’s on Saturday and hoping for another performance like this on Monday.
- High Cost – Nelson Cruz – Seattle Mariners
I picked Nelson Cruz in his last matchup against Yovani Gallardo of Texas and he responded well by going 3 for 3 against Gallardo. Gallardo has never been able to retire Cruz, and Cruz is a perfect 5 for 5 with 2 homeruns and 2 RBI’s against the Texas righty. Cruz has been crushing the ball all season as he leads all of baseball in 2015 with 9 homeruns. Cruz is hitting .310 on the season and has hit three homeruns while driving in 11 RBI’s in the past week.
- High Cost – Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers
I was spot on with picking Gerardo Parra as a value pick for the Brewers on Sunday, and I’m staying in Milwaukee to go with Ryan Braun on Monday. Braun has absolutely owned the Reds Jason Marquis as in his career, Bryan has posted a .536 average (15-28) with a 5 doubles, a homerun, and 7 RBI’s. Braun, along with the majority of the Brewers lineup, has struggled in 2015, but I just can’t ignore how well he has hit Marquis.
- Value Pick – Marcell Ozuna – Miami Marlins
Marcell Ozuna is hitting .409 over the past week and .288 on the season. Ozuna hasn’t registered a homerun on the season, but certainly has the power to take it yard as he hit 23 homeruns in 2014. Ozuna has done well against New York’s Dillon Gee as he has posted a .417 average (5-12) against the righty. I’m hoping the Ozuna can display the power he has on Monday night.
- Value Pick – Nick Markakis – Atlanta Braves
Nick Markakis, who the Braves signed as a free agent has gotten off to a great start to his Braves career as he is hitting .339 so far in 2015. Markakis is hitting .364 over the past week and has posted a .364 average with a homerun and 8 RBI’s against the Nationals Doug Fister. Markakis doesn’t have a homerun in 2015 as of yet, however, he has hit double-digit homeruns in in ever season of his 10 year career.