Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 5/3
High Cost & Value Picks for all your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
May 3rd, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – High Cost / Value Picks – 5/3/15
Please remember to check the line-ups prior to the game and the weather reports to ensure you have a full roster of active players.
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- High Cost – Sonny Gray – Oakland Athletics
Similar to 2014, Sonny Gray has gotten off to a solid start posting a 3-0 record with a 1.98 ERA and 0.88 WHIP while striking out 25 batters in 36.1 IP. Gray is holding the current Ranger lineup to a .184 average and although his K/9 dropped to 7.5 from 9.4 in 2014, he has still recorded at least 5 strikeouts in his last 3 outings. Gray has had success against Texas as in 6 games started in 2014, he posted a 2.06 ERA with 35 stakeouts in 43.2 IP. Gray has really developed a solid slider which I’m hoping will be on point on Sunday to get a few extra strikeouts.
- Value Pick – Julio Teheran – Atlanta Braves
I’m going to go with Julio Teheran as my value pick on Sunday as I expect that his cost will be a bit down on Sunday due to his slow start and for the fact he is going against Johnny Cueto. Teheran has struggled in his past three outings and has posted a 4.67 ERA and 1.56 WHIP so far in 2015, but this is a pitcher that had a 7.6 K/9 in 2014. Teheran has held the current Cincinnati Reds roster to a .157 batting average and dominated the Reds in 2014 going 14.0 IP while giving up no runs and striking out 8.
- High Cost – Steven Vogt – Oakland Athletics
Steven Vogt has slowed down a bit for his hot start in 2015 but still is batting an incredible .348 with 4 homeruns and 16 RBI’s in 2015. Vogt will be facing off against Yovani Gallardo of the Texas Rangers, in which he is 1 for 2 lifetime with a double. Vogt has collected at least one base hit in the last 8 games he has started and is hitting .367 off right-handed pitching so far this season. Vogt has hit all his homeruns off right-handed pitching in 2015 and as his last home run was on April 20th, I feel that Vogt has a good matchup to get number 5 on Sunday.
- Value Pick – Yasmani Grandal – Los Angeles Dodgers
Yasmani Grandal is worth a look on Sunday solely on his success alone off Arizona’s Chase Anderson. Grandal has posted a lifetime .375 (3-8) average of Anderson with all three hits being homeruns. Grandal is only batting .179 on the season and just .118 over the last week, but does have good pop in his bat to be able to get an extra base hit or a homerun (15 HR’s in 2014). As his price will be near the bottom in most fantasy leagues, I think he shows good value on Sunday.
- High Cost – Adrian Gonzalez – Los Angeles Dodgers
Adrian Gonzalez has had a great start to 2015 as he currently hitting .376 with 8 homeruns and 19 RBI’s. Gonzalez is hitting .304 over the past week and has collected 2 homeruns in that time period. Gonzalez has posted a .429 career average with a homerun and 3 RBI’s against Chase Anderson of the Diamondbacks and is hitting .380 and collected all 8 of his homeruns this season of right-handed pitching. Gonzalez tore up Diamondbacks pitching in 2014 posting a .413 average with 7 homeruns in 63 AB’s.
- Value Pick – Adam LaRoche – Chicago White Sox
Adam LaRoche is only hitting .208 on the season for the White Sox but does have a favorable matchup against Minnesota’s Mike Pelfrey this Sunday. LaRoche has posted a career .667 (10-15) average with 4 BB’s, a homerun and 7 RBI’s off the veteran righty. LaRoche is hitting .294 against Minnesota with 2 of his 3 homeruns in 2015. The White Sox as a team have had some success of Pelfrey as the current lineup is hitting .353 and feel that LaRoche will have some chances with runners on base in this one.
- High Cost – Ian Kinsler – Detroit Tigers
As of Saturday, Ian Kinsler has yet to record a hit in their current series against the Royals, however, I feel that Kinsler will have some more success on Sunday facing a familiar foe in the Royals Jason Vargas. Kinsler has posted a .322 (19-59) with 7 doubles and 2 homeruns against Vargas in his career. Kinsler has actually struggled a bit against left-handed pitching this year (hitting .185) however has posted a .311 average against left-handed pitching over the past three seasons and feel that he is going to get back on track this Sunday against Vargas.
- Value Pick – Jason Kipnis – Cleveland Indians
I’m going to go with Kipnis against for the second straight day as I feel that his price tag is still a bit too low and is bound to only go up as the season goes on. Kipnis is only hitting .231 off the season but was 2-4 with a BB and Homerun on Friday night. Kipnis is a great all-around 2B as he does have enough power to hit a homerun but also has enough speed to get some SB’s. Kipnis has limited exposure to Toronto’s Drew Hutchison, but is 2 for 3 in his career off the Blue Jays righty.
- High Cost – Ian Desmond – Washington Nationals
There are slumps and there are really bad slumps. Unfortunately for Ian Desmond, he is currently in the midst of a really bad slump going 0 for his last 27 with 4 BB’s. Desmond has never been a hitter that will post a high average but certainly has the power to be able to hit the long ball and get some RBI’s as over the past three seasons he has a total of 69 HR’s and 244 RBI’s. Desmond will try to break out of his slump against the Dillon Gee of the New York Mets in which he has posted just a career .268 average but does have three homeruns and 5 RBI’s against.
- Value Pick – Wilmer Flores – New York Mets
Wilmer Flores isn’t going to be the long-term answer at the shortstop position for the New York Mets, but he is a solid value pick as he does have enough power to be able to take one out of the ballpark. Flores is hitting just .240 so far in 2015 but does have 3 homeruns and 8 RBI’s. Flores has done well against Doug Fister of the Nationals as he has posted a career .556 (5 for 9) average with a homerun and 2 RBI’s against the righty.
- High Cost – Evan Longoria – Tampa Bay Rays
Evan Longoria has been crushing the cover off the baseball as of late as he is hitting .478 (11-23) with 2 doubles over the past week. The recent hot streak has raised Longoria’s batting average to .295 on the season, however, the powerful third basemen still only has 1 homerun and 5 RBI’s on the season. Longoria has posted a career .320 batting average against Wei-Yin Chen of the Baltimore Orioles and is hitting .563 against left-handed pitching so far in 2015.
- Value Pick – Juan Uribe – Los Angeles Dodgers
Juan Uribe is riding an 11 game hitting streak and hitting a solid .357 over the past week. Uribe’s price is still way down and a great option at 3B if you’re trying to save some money as the veteran third basemen still has enough pop in his bat to do some damage. Uribe will be facing Chase Anderson of the Arizona Diamondbacks in which he has posted a lifetime average of .333 (2-6) against. Over the past three years, the right-handed hitting Uribe has actually fared better against right-handed pitching as he has posted a .292 average compared to a .234 average against lefties.
- High Cost – Bryce Harper – Washington Nationals
Bryce Harper is hitting .333 (5-15) with 4 doubles in his last 4 games and although he is only hitting .275 on the season, he does have 5 homeruns and 15 RBI’s in 2015. Harper will face off against Dillon Gee of the New York Mets in which he has posted a career .368 (7-19) average with 2 homeruns and 4 RBI’s. Harper is hitting .286 against right-handed pitching and has hit all five of his homeruns against right-handed pitching in 2015. Over the last three seasons, Harper has hit more homeruns against the Mets (10 Homeruns) than any other team in he has faced and I’m hoping for another on this Sunday.
- High Cost – Giancarlo Stanton – Miami Marlins
I’m going to go with Giancarlo Stanton as my second “high cost” pick on Sunday as he slugging outfield is hitting .435 over the past week with 2 doubles, a triple, and 2 homeruns. Stanton has never seen Severino Gonzalez of the Phillies however, Gonzalez really struggled in his major league debut giving up 7 ER on 10 hits in just 2.2 IP. Stanton has hit 6 homeruns against right-handed pitching in 2015 and I expect another one this Sunday.
- Value Pick – Kevin Kiermaier – Tampa Bay Rays
Kevin Kiermaier has a great start to his second season with the Rays as he has posted a .292 average with a .538 slugging percentage so far in 2015. Kiermaier is hitting .333 over the past week and has shown some power on the season as out of his 19 hits, he has 6 doubles, 2 triples, and 2 homeruns. Kiermaier will be going against Wei-Yin Chen of the Baltimore Orioles in which he has posted a .429 (3-7) with a triple and homerun. Kiermaier has also hit an impressive .324 away from Tropicana Field in 2015.
- Value Pick – Daniel Nava – Boston Red Sox
I expect Dana Nava to get the start on Sunday Night Baseball as he has done very well against Adam Warren of the New York Yankees. Nava has posted a career .545 average with three doubles, a homerun and 7 RBI’s off the right-hander and has hit .281 with four homeruns against the Yankees over the past three seasons.