Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 5/9
High Cost & Value Picks for all your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
May 8th, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – High Cost / Value Picks – 5/9/15
Please remember to check the line-ups prior to the game and the weather reports to ensure you have a full roster of active players.
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- High Cost – Clayton Kershaw – Los Angeles Dodgers
Clayton Kershaw is my “high cost” pick of the day as reigning NL Cy Young and NL MVP winner absolutely dominated Colorado in 2014 and was solid against the Rockies in his earlier matchup this season. In 2014, Kershaw had two starts at Coors Field in which he went 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA while striking out 17 batters in just 13.0 IP. Kershaw hasn’t been as dominant as he was in 2014 so far as he currently is just 1-2 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.14 WHIP, but he is still striking out a ton of batters as he currently has a 11.9 K/9 ratio which is actually better than where he finished last season (10.8 K/9). Kershaw has already faced the Rockies in 2015 and fared well as he was able to go 6.0 innings while allowing just 1 ER while striking out 12 batters.
- Value Pick – Carlos Martinez – St. Louis Cardinals
Carlos Martinez let me down in his last start against the Cubs as he didn’t have any control over his arsenal early the game and was only able to last 3.2 innings while giving up 7 runs on 9 hits and 4 BB’s. I’m sticking with Martinez as although he seemed mentally not there against the Cubs, Martinez has some of the best stuff of anyone in the Cardinals starting rotation and he has a favorable matchup against a Pittsburgh Pirates team that ranks 26th in both batting average and runs scored on the season. Even with the poor outing, Martinez numbers aren’t bad as he is 3-0 with a 3.64 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and has struck out 28 batters in 29.2 IP. Generally, it doesn’t take too long to figure out of Martinez has it or not on any given night, but if his stuff is on, he can easily got 7.0 IP while getting 6-8 K’s.
- High Cost – Russell Martin – Toronto Blue Jays
Russell Martin has been on fire as of late as the veteran catcher has hit .520 with 4 homeruns and 6 RBI’s over the past week. Martin has collect at least three hits in 3 of his last 5 games and with the recent hot streak has pushed his season average to .286 with 7 total homeruns and 18 RBI’s. Martin has a nice matchup against the struggling Joe Kelly of the Boston Red Sox as he has posted a career .500 average with a double, a homerun and 5 RBI’s. Martin has been great at the Rogers Center all season as he is hitting .351 at his home ballpark on the season.
- Value Pick – Alex Avila – Detroit Tigers
Alex Avila is only hitting .200 on the season, mainly due to a 1 for 19 slump at the end of April/beginning of May, however, is a decent value pick on Saturday as he has been seeing the ball better and has a good matchup against Jeremy Guthrie of the Kansas City Royals. Avila is hitting .333 over his past three games with a homerun and 4 RBI’s and has posted a career .313 (10-32) average with 3 doubles, 3 homeruns, and 13 RBI’s against Guthrie. Avila has fared better against right-handed pitching in 2015 hitting .244 comparted to .067 against lefties, and for the dirt cheap price Avila be listed, I think has some decent value on Saturday.
- High Cost – Anthony Rizzo – Chicago Cubs
Anthony Rizzo is slowly becoming one of the best first basemen in the major leagues as he has started the 2015 season hitting .323 with 5 homeruns, 15 RBI’s, 15 BB’s, and 7 SB’s. Rizzo had his 7 game hit streak snapped on Thursday, however, he still is hitting .333 over the past week. Rizzo will be squaring off against Kyle Lohse of the Milwaukee Brewers in which he has posted a career .476 (10-21) average with 2 doubles, a homerun and 2 RBI’s. Rizzo is hitting .429 against left-handed pitching in 2015 and hit .288 with 5 homeruns and 11 RBI’s in 52 AB’s against Milwaukee in 2014.
- Value Pick – Chris Davis – Baltimore Orioles
Chris Davis is only hitting .253 on the season as of Friday, however, the slugging first basemen is hitting for power as he has 6 homeruns and 18 RBI’s. Chris Davis has collected a hit in 4 of his last 5 games and although he has limited experience against Chase Whitley of the New York Yankees, Davis is 2 for 3 lifetime against the right-hander with a homerun and 2 RBI’s. Davis will be playing at Yankee Stadium on Saturday and I like the powerful slugger hitting towards the short-porch in right. Over the past 3 seasons, Davis has average a homerun in every 12.9 AB’s against right-handed pitching.
- High Cost – Howie Kendrick – Los Angeles Dodgers
Howie Kendrick has struggled as the season has progressed, however, he still is batting a respectable .280 while hitting 3 homeruns and collecting 15 RBI’s. Kendrick’s average away from home hasn’t been great (.180) however, the last time he was at Coors field in 2012, he hit .462 against the Rockies. Kendrick will be going against Jorge De La Rosa in which he has posted a career .500 (3-6) average with a double and a RBI. Over the past three seasons Kendrick is hitting .312 against left-hand pitching and for the fact that De La Rosa has really struggled so far in 2015, make Kendrick worth spending the money for on Saturday.
- Value Pick – Dustin Pedroia - Boston Red Sox
I’m going go with Dustin Pedroia as my high value 2B as I think at the price in which he is going at, he is solid option for Saturday. Pedroia is hitting .282 so far on the season and has re-found some of his lost power as he has belted 5 homeruns and driven in 12 RBI’s. Pedroia will be squaring off against Drew Hutchison of the Toronto Blue Jays in which he has posted a career .300 average. The Red Sox as a team have had success against Hutchison as the current roster is hitting .338 (49-145) against the right-hander. I think the Red Sox offensive is due to have a big day and as Pedroia does such a great job of turning on fastballs high or inside, I can see getting a hold of one from Hutchison on Saturday.
- High Cost – Marcus Semien – Oakland Athletics
Marcus Semien is having a great first season with the Oakland Athletics as he is hitting .281 (slugging .430) with 3 homeruns and 12 RBI’s. Semien is only hitting .269 over the past week however he has collect 2 homeruns and 3 RBI’s in that span. Semien will be facing the lefty J.A. Happ of the Seattle Mariners in which he has posted a career .667 average with a homerun and 3 RBI’s. Semien has done well against left-handed pitching on the season hitting .316 (6-19) and is hitting .286 against Seattle so far in 2015.
- Value Pick – Xavier Bogaerts – Boston Red Sox
As I mentioned with Dustin Pedroia, the Red Sox have fared well against Drew Hutchison of the Toronto Blue Jays, and as Bogaerts cost has gone down to the mid-2000 range, he has some good value on Saturday. Bogaerts is only hitting .260 on the season with just 1 homerun and 11 RBI’s, but the shortstop does have some power in his bat that can hit for extra bases and homeruns. Bogaerts has posted a lifetime .500 average with a double against Hutchison and did hit .320 (8-25) at the Rogers Centre in 2014.
- High Cost – Todd Frazier – Cincinnati Reds
I’m going to go with Todd Frazier of the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday as he seems to have his homerun swing going so far in 2015 as he hit 10 homeruns and driven 19 RBI’s. Cincinnati’s game against the White Sox was postponed on Friday and it has yet to be released if they will play two games tomorrow and who the starters will be, however, Frazier is hitting .454 over his last 3 games and has 5 homeruns in his last 9 games.
- Value Pick – David Freese – Los Angeles Angels
I’ve gone with David Freese a couple of times this season and he has paid off and as he has had great success off Dallas Keuchel in his career, I’m going with the veteran third basemen once again. Freese is only hitting .213 on the season but he has collect 5 homeruns and driven in 19 RBI’s. Freese is hitting .571 (8-14) with a double, homerun and 6 RBI’s against Keuchel and hit .353 against the Astros in 2014.
- High Cost – Bryce Harper – Washington Nationals
If you have paid any attention to baseball over the last two days, you probably are fully aware that Bryce Harper in his past two games has gone 6 for 8 with 5 homeruns and 10 RBI’s. Harper is the hottest power hitter in baseball right now and with his recent surge, he now is hitting .284 on the season with 10 homeruns and 25 RBI’s. Harper has a good matchup against Julio Teheran of the Atlanta Braves as he has a career .421 average with 3 doubles, 2 homeruns and 4 RBI’s. If you can afford him on Saturday, I would roll with Harper.
- High Cost – Giancarlo Stanton – Miami Marlins
At first glance, I was expecting to stay away from any Marlins hitters as they are going against Madison Bumgarner on Saturday, but seeing what Stanton has done against Bumgarner, I’m comfortable in spending the money to get Stanton on my team for Saturday. Stanton has a career .615 average (8-13) with 5 doubles, a homerun and 4 RBI’s against Bumgarner and has average a homerun in every 12.7 AB’s against left-handed pitching over the past three years. Stanton is only hitting .266 on the season as of Friday, however he does have 7 homeruns and 29 RBI’s in 2015.
- Value Pick – Denard Span – Washington Nationals
Denard Span missed the first two weeks of the season due to injury but has played well since returning as he has posted a .286 average with 2 homeruns and 7 RBI’s so far in 2015. Span has a good matchup against Julio Teheran of the Atlanta Braves as he has posted a .400 (12-30) average with 2 doubles, 2 triples, a home run and 2 RBI’s. Span is hitting especially well against right-handed pitching on the season as he has a .370 (17-46) average.
- Value Pick – Nick Markakis – Atlanta Braves
Nick Markakis is still searching for that first homerun in a Atlanta uniform and although he hasn’t shown much power (slugging just .336) he is hitting for average as he is hitting .299 so far on the season. Markakis is showing good value on Saturday as he has a favorable matchup against Doug Fister of the Washington Nationals as he has posted a career .333 average with a homerun and 8 RBI’s against the righty. The Braves as a team are hitting .314 against Fister so Markakis should have some runners on base when he steps up to the plate.