Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 5/16
High Cost & Value Picks for all your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
May 16th, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – High Cost / Value Picks – 5/16/15
Please remember to check the line-ups prior to the game and the weather reports to ensure you have a full roster of active players.
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- High Cost – Gerrit Cole – Pittsburgh Pirates
I’m going with Gerrit Cole of the Pittsburgh Pirates as the former 1st round pick is having a great season posting a 5-1 record with a 2.32 ERA and 1.13 WHIP with 45 K’s in 42.2 IP. Cole has a great fastball/slider combination that can really overwhelm hitters and has posted a 9.5 K/9 in 2015. The Cubs are a dangerous offensive team as they showed yesterday, however, they are also leading MLB in strikeouts with 344 K’s on the season. Cole hasn’t given up more than three ER’s in any of his 7 starts in 2015 and was impressive against the Cubs in late April as Cole was able to go 6.0 inning giving up no ER’s while striking out 8. Cole won’t be cheap to get on Saturday, however, he also won’t the most experience “ace” and I like his chances against the Cubs on Saturday.
- Value Pick – Danny Salazar – Cleveland Indians
Danny Salazar isn’t going to be the cheapest option however, I still feel his price is low enough that he has great value on Saturday. Salazar has been impressive on the season as he has posted a 3.27 ERA with a 0.88 WHIP and a whopping 48 K’s in just 33.0 IP. Salazar has had an up and down career as at times he has shown a dominant arsenal and at other times has lacked proper command which has sent him down to Triple AAA. Salazar looked great in his last start as after giving up a leadoff homerun, he retired 21 straight batters while striking out 11. Texas is ranked 7th in MLB in total strikeouts with 290 on the season, and with how Salazar is pitching, I certainly don’t think another 7 inning, 10 strikeout performance is out of the question.
- High Cost – Buster Posey – San Francisco Giants
I’m going with Buster Posey for the second straight day as although he was only 1 for 5 in last night’s contest, the one hit was a 2 run home-run. Posey is hitting .286 with 6 homeruns and 17 RBI’s on the season however, as hit .357 over his past three games with 2 homeruns and 6 RBI’s. Posey will be facing Mike Leake of the Cincinnati Reds in which Posey has posted a .385 average with a homerun and 3 RBI’s. Buster Posey is hitting .296 against right-handed pitching and .290 away for AT&T Park on the season.
- Value Pick – Tyler Flowers – Chicago White Sox
I’m going with Tyler Flowers of the Chicago White Sox on Saturday as although Flowers is only hitting .227 on the season with a homerun and 7 RBI’s, he is hitting .385 with 2 doubles and a RBI over the last week. Flowers has limited experience against Jessie Chavez of the Oakland Athletics but he is 1 for 2 lifetime with a homerun. Flowers is hitting a bit better against right-handed pitching on the season and is hitting .281 away from his home ball park. Flowers hit 15 homeruns in 2014 so he certainly has the pop for low price to get a homerun today.
- High Cost – Freddie Freeman – Atlanta Braves
Freddie Freeman is hitting .319 on the season with 5 homeruns and 18 RBI’s and has a great matchup on Saturday afternoon to have a big day. Freeman is hitting .292 in the past week and will be facing Mat Latos of the Miami Marlins in which he has posted a career .556 average with 4 doubles and 7 RBI’s. Freeman is hitting .320 on the season against right-handed pitching and .342 in day games in 2015.
- Value Pick – Logan Morrison – Seattle Mariners
Logan Morrison is hitting just .231 on the season but does have 6 homeruns and 11 RBI’s and has always fared well against the Red Sox. Over the past three seasons, Morrison is hitting .432 against the Red Sox and is 3 for 4 lifetime against the Red Sox’s Rich Porcello. Morrison has collected all 6 of his homeruns against right-handed pitchers and is hitting .289 in the month of May so far. Morrison certainly has the power to get us a homerun and although he hasn’t got a hit yet in the current series, based on history, he should have a decent day today.
- High Cost – Robinson Cano – Seattle Mariners
Robinson Cano is having a down year so far as he is hitting just .268 with a homerun and 11 RBI’s, however the superstar second baseman has been picking it up as of late as he is hitting .292 over the past week and .294 in the month of May. Cano will be facing Rick Porcello of the Red Sox on Saturday in which he has posted a career .429 average with a homerun and 4 RBI’s. Cano is hitting .302 against right-handed pitching and has fared well at his home ballpark as he is hitting .320 at Safeco Field on the season.
- Value Pick – DJ LeMahieu - Colorado Rockies
DJ LeMahieu has been struggling a bit as of late, as LeMahieu’s price tag has dropped to the mid-$2000 range, I think he has some decent value on Saturday. LeMahieu has struggled a bit over the past week however he still is hitting .324 with a homerun and 15 RBI’s on the season. LeMahieu has some experience against Zack Greinke and although his average isn’t outstanding, he does have a double and homerun against the right-hander. LeMahieu is hitting .363 against right-handed pitching on the season and .322 away from Coors Field and if you’re looking to save some money tonight, LeMahieu is a decent option.
- High Cost – Marcus Semien – Oakland Athletics
With Troy Tulowitzki leaving last night’s game early with a hamstring injury, Semien really is the only shortstop that has a high price-tag that is worth spending money on at the moment. Semien is hitting .303 on the season with 6 homeruns, 15 RBI’s and 6 SB’s. Semien hasn’t faced John Danks of the Chicago White Sox however, he is hitting .379 against left-handed pitching on the season. Semien is hitting .300 at home on the season and is hitting .423 with 3 homeruns and 3 RBI’s over the past week.
- Value Pick – Freddy Galvis – Philadelphia Phillies
If it’s not broke don’t fix it, and with the way Freddy Galvis is playing there is no reason not to continue to roll with him at his current price tag. Galvis came through for us last night as he went 1 for 2 with a walk, 2 R, and 2 RBI’s. Galvis is hitting .355 on the season with a homerun and 11 RBI’s and is hitting .375 over the past week. Galvis is hitting .316 as a left-handed batter on the season and as his price tag is still in the mid-$2000 range, I’m going to continue to roll with Galvis until he disappoints.
- High Cost – Todd Frazier – Cincinnati Reds
Todd Frazier hasn’t never been able to hit for a decent average as he is a career .257 hitter, however his value has always come from his tremendous power he has at the plate. On the season, Frazier is hitting just .250 but has an impressive 12 homeruns and 23 RBI’s. Frazier will be going against Ryan Vogelsong of the San Francisco Giants in which in his career he has posted a .500 average with 2 homeruns and 3 RBI’s. Frazier is hitting .286 at home on the season and has killed San Francisco pitching over the past three seasons as he is hitting .412 (28-68) with 4 homeruns and 15 RBI’s.
- Value Pick – Mike Moustakas – Kansas City Royals
Although Mike Moustakas will be facing a left-hander on Saturday, Moustakas has been on fire as of late including a 4 for 5 performance last night with 2 doubles, a triple and a RBI. Moustakas is hitting .333 on the season with 4 homeruns and 12 RBI’s while hitting .364 over the past week. Moustakas will be facing CC Sabathia of the New York Yankees on Sunday and although he is only 1 for 4 lifetime against the veteran lefty, Moustakas is hitting .310 with 2 homeruns and 7 RBI’s against left-handed pitching in 2015.
- High Cost – Adam Jones – Baltimore Orioles
Adam Jones has struggled a bit as of late as he had tough series (1-11, 1 BB) against Toronto recently, however, the slugging center fielder is still hitting .341 with 6 homeruns and 23 RBI’s on the season. Jones will be facing Matt Shoemaker on Saturday in which in his career he is 2 for 3 against with both hits being homeruns. Jones is hitting .324 against right-handed pitching on the season and has hit an impressive .385 at Camden Yards on the season. Jones only hit .269 (7-26) against the Angels in 2014 however, 4 of those 7 hits were for homeruns.
- High Cost – Michael Brantley – Cleveland Indians
Michael Brantley is hitting .349 on the season with 4 homeruns and 20 RBI’s and has been doing well as of late as he is hitting .391 including an impressive 3 for 3 performance last night with 2 BB, 2 Doubles, 2 Runs, and 2 RBI’s. Brantley will be facing Colby Lewis of the Texas Rangers on Saturday in which he has posted a career .333 average with a triple, homerun and 2 RBI’s. Brantley is hitting .319 against right-handed pitching on the season and .380 on the road this season. Brantley has always fared well against the Rangers and has posted a .338 average against Texas over the past three seasons.
- High Value – Alejandro De Aza – Baltimore Orioles
Alejandro De Aza has been struggling as of late and is only hitting .217 with 3 homeruns and 7 RBI’s on the season, however, I like his matchup against the Rangers today and as he does have some power in his bat has good value for his low price on Saturday. De Aza has faced Matt Shoemaker only twice in his career however is 2 for 2 with two doubles and RBI’s against the right-hander. De Aza should be in the lineup today and as all his success in 2015 has come against right-handed pitching, I’m willing to take a chance on the veteran left-fielder on Saturday.
- Value Pick – Will Venable – San Diego Padres
Similar to De Aza, Will Venable has struggled in 2015 as he is only hitting .240 with 3 homeruns and 6 RBI’s. Venable price tag should be dirt cheap on Saturday as he is going against Max Scherzer, however Venable has had some success against Scherzer as he has posted a career .444 (4-9) average with 3 doubles and 4 RBI’s. Venable is longshot but if you only have a couple of thousand left in your budget, he isn’t a bad choice for Saturday.