Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 5/22
High Cost & Value Picks for all your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
May 22nd, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – High Cost / Value Picks – 5/22/15
Please remember to check the line-ups prior to the game and the weather reports to ensure you have a full roster of active players.
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- High Cost – Michael Pineda – New York Yankees
There are a lot of got pitchers on the mound on Friday and although I obviously like Max Scherzer in his spot against Philadelphia, I think the best high cost pitcher on Friday is Michael Pineda of the New York Yankees. Pineda was roughed up a bit against a tough Kansas City Royals offensive in his last start, however, still sports a 5-1 record with a 3.31 ERA and 1.10 WHIP while striking out 55 batters in 51.2 IP. Pineda has recorded at least 5 strikeouts in 7 of his 8 starts on the season including a 16 strikeout performance against Baltimore in early May. As of Friday, Texas ranks 7th in MLB in total strikeouts and I think Pineda will have a strong day going about 7 innings while getting us 6-10 K’s.
- Value Pick – Noah Syndergaard – New York Mets
I’m going with the rookie Noah Syndergaard on Friday as although he is going against Gerrit Cole, he is pitching in a very friendly pitchers park and has the ability to get some strikeouts for us at a cheap price. Syndergaard wasn’t outstanding in his MLB debut, however looked strong in his recent outing against the Brewers going 6 innings, giving up just 1 run on 3 hits while striking out 5. Syndergaard has a fastball that can reach the upper 90’s and a devastating 12-6 curve ball and had a 9.8 K/9 ratio down at triple-AAA in 2014. Pittsburgh ranks 10th in MLB in total strikeouts and although it might be hard to get a win on Friday, I think Syndergaard can go 6 to 7 innings getting us 6-9 K’s.
- High Cost – Buster Posey – San Francisco Giants
Buster Posey is the clear-cut option as my “high cost” catcher on Friday as not only is Posey hitting the cover off the ball as of late, he also has a favorable pitching matchup and playing at Coors Field. Posey comes into Friday’s contest with a 9 game hitting streak and is hitting .306 on the season with 7 homeruns and 21 RBI’s. Posey will be facing Kyle Kendrick of the Colorado Rockies in which he has posted a career .500 (5-10) average off the righty. Posey is hitting .346 with 2 homeruns and 7 RBI’s over the past week and is hitting .318 against right-handed pitching on the season.
- Value Pick – Yadier Molina – St. Louis Cardinals
Yadier Molina got a day off on Thursday but I’m going back with him as my value pick as the veteran catcher has really found his offensive swing in May. Molina is hitting .294 on the season with 15 RBI’s, however is hitting .338 in May and .393 over the past week. Molina will be facing Chris Young of the Kansas City Royals in which he has a career .300 average against. Molina certainly doesn’t have the power that he showed in his prime a few years ago, but is due for a homerun soon as he has yet to hit one so far this season. Molina is hitting .311 against right-handed pitching on the season and has a .341 (15-44) against the Kansas city Royals over his past three seasons.
- High Cost – Adrian Gonzalez – Los Angeles Dodgers
I told myself I was going to stay away from Adrian Gonzalez today as both Freddie Freeman and Jose Abreu are solid options on Friday, however, I had to come back to Gonzalez due to the power numbers he has put up against Andrew Cashner of the San Diego Padres. Gonzalez is hitting just .235 over the past week but is hitting .345 on the season with 9 homeruns and 32 RBI’s. Against Cashner, Gonzalez has posted a .357 average (.821 slugging %) with 4 homeruns and 6 RBI’s in his career. Gonzalez is hitting .348 against right-handed pitching and .373 at Dodgers Stadium so far in 2015.
- Value Pick – Mike Napoli – Boston Red Sox
Mike Napoli has already shaved his beard twice on the season to try and change his luck as the first baseman is off to an awful start to the 2015 season hitting just .178 with 4 homeruns and 13 RBI’s. Napoli has always been known as a streaky hitter and I’m hoping as he has two multi-hit games in his recent three game series against Texas that his bat is just warming up. Napoli has a ton of power and has fared well against Garrett Richards in his career as has posted a .571 (4-7) average with a double and homerun. Napoli has a .299 average with 8 homeruns and 19 RBI’s against the Angels over the past three seasons and I hope his power will be able to hit us a homerun on Friday.
- High Cost – Jason Kipnis – Cleveland Indians
Jason Kipnis is hitting .327 on the season with 4 homeruns and 17 RBI’s on the season and has been crushing the ball as of late hitting .414 with 2 doubles, a triple, and a homerun over the past week. Kipnis hasn’t had much success against Mike Leake of the Cincinnati Reds however as Kipnis is hitting .411 against right-handed pitching on the season, it’s hard to not justify spending your money on Kipnis at 2nd base if you can afford him. Kipnis has the complete package at the plate as he has enough power and speed to get us both a homerun and SB in the game and as he is hitting .384 at home on the season, I’m ok with spending the money to get him on my team on Friday.
- Value Pick – Howie Kendrick - Los Angeles Dodgers
Howie Kendrick is hitting .309 on the season with 4 homeruns and 17 RBI’s on the season and although he hasn’t hit more much power as of late he is hitting .292 over the past week. Kendrick has a decent matchup against Andrew Cashner of the San Diego Padres on Friday as he is hitting .444 (4-9) against the right-hander in his career. Kendrick has been great at Dodgers Stadium all season hitting .372 with 3 homeruns and 17 RBI’s and is hitting .318 against the Padres so far in 2015.
- High Cost – Ian Desmond – Washington Nationals
I’m going to go with Ian Desmond as my high cost shortstop as although Desmond is hitting just .244 on the season with 4 homeruns and 12 RBI’s, he is hitting .346 with a double, 2 homeruns and 5 RBI’s over the past week. Desmond has hit a homerun in each of his last two outings and has done well against the Philadelphia Phillies in 2015 hitting .345. Desmond has been much better at home hitting .319 on the season and although he is just 1-4 against Sean O’Sullivan in his career, Desmond has fared better against right-handed pitching so far in 2015 and has 6 homeruns and 26 RBI’s against the Phillies over his past three seasons.
- Value Pick – Xander Bogaerts – Boston Red Sox
Xander Bogaerts is slowly raising his average as of late and is currently hitting .271 average with 2 homeruns and 13 RBI’s. Bogaerts is hitting .300 with a double, triple and homerun over the past week and has now collected at least a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Garrett Richards is one of the better pitchers in the AL and although Bogaerts has struggled against the Angels in the past, for the low price-tag and the fact he is at home in Fenway Park give Bogaerts some good value on Friday.
- High Cost – Kris Bryant – Chicago Cubs
It took the rookie a few weeks to find his homerun swing in the majors, but since hitting his first homerun on May 9th, Kris Bryant hasn’t had any issues going yard as the rookie currently is hitting .289 with 5 homeruns and 27 RBI’s. Bryant is hitting .368 with 2 homeruns and 7 RBI’s over the past week and although he hasn’t faced Josh Collmenter in his career before, Bryant is hitting .301 against right-handed pitching on the season. Collmenter has struggled recently giving up 6 homeruns in his last 14.1 IP and as Bryant is hitting .373 during night games, I like this matchup tonight.
- Value Pick – Mike Moustakas – Kansas City Royals
I’m going back to the powerful left-handed hitting Mike Moustakas as not only has Moustakas been raking the baseball as of late but he also has a good history against Lance Lynn of the St. Louis Cardinals. Moustakas is hitting an impressive .342 with 4 homeruns and 15 RBI’s on the season and is hitting .526 (10-19) over the past week. In his career against Lynn, Moustakas has posted a .500 (3-6) average with 2 home runs. Moustakas is hitting .384 on the season against right-handed pitching and .364 during night games which makes him a great play for the price on Friday night.
- High Cost – Bryce Harper – Washington Nationals
Although Harper is going to cost you a good chunk of your payroll, there is no denying how Harper is just crushing MLB pitching as of late. On the season, Harper is hitting .333 with 15 homeruns and 38 RBI’s and over the past week he is hitting .563 with 3 homeruns and 7 RBI’s. Harper is facing Sean O’ Sullivan of the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday in which Harper as posted a career .400 (2-5) average with 2 homeruns and 4 RBI’s. Harper is hitting .353 and slugging a ridiculous .824 against right-handed on the pitching and as long as he doesn’t get ejected again from another game, he is a safe play on Friday.
- High Cost – Carlos Gomez – Milwaukee Brewers
I’m going to go with Carlos Gomez tonight as the veteran outfielder is hitting .360 with a homerun and 5 RBI’s over the past week and has started to pick it up in the month of May, hitting .302 and slugging .524 for the month. Gomez will be facing Alex Wood of the Atlanta Braves which although he has limited experience against (1-2 lifetime), the one hit was a solo homerun. Over the last three seasons, Gomez has done well at Turner Field hitting .310 (9-29) with 3 homeruns and 4 RBI’s and as the center fielder also has enough speed to possibility get a SB, he is a good option tonight.
- High Value – Jay Bruce – Cincinnati Reds
Jay Bruce is finally starting to hit the ball as although the outfielder is still just hitting .195 on the season, he is hitting .438 (7-16) over his past week and has 7 homeruns and 19 RBI’s on the season. Bruce’s struggles at the plate aren’t surprising as the veteran is just a .249 hitter, however, he will consistently see playing time as he is a powerful left-handed bat that does hit homeruns. Bruce will be up against Carlos Carrasco of the Cleveland Indians on Friday in which he has posted a career .400 (2-5) average with both hits being homeruns. Bruce is generally a boom or bust pick but as he seems to be seeing the ball good as of late and has had past success against Carrasco, he is solid value play tonight.
- Value Pick – Melky Cabrera – Chicago White Sox
Melky Cabrera has struggled a bit as of late and is just hitting .252 with a homerun and 14 RBI’s on the season, however, at a price below the Mid-$2000 range plus a good pitching matchup tonight, makes Cabrera a decent value pick if you need to save some money at the OF position. Cabrera will be going up against Phil Hughes of the Minnesota Twins in which Cabrera has posted a career .417 (5-12) average against. Hughes has struggled as of late giving up 4 homeruns over his last 19.1 IP and Cabrera has fared well against right-handed pitching on the season hitting .307. So far in 2015, Cabrera is hitting .321 against Minnesota and I’m hoping this trend continues tonight.