Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 5/23
High Cost & Value Picks for all your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
May 23rd, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – High Cost / Value Picks – 5/23/15
Please remember to check the line-ups prior to the game and the weather reports to ensure you have a full roster of active players.
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- High Cost – Matt Harvey – New York Mets
There is nothing not to like about Matt Harvey and his matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday. Harvey comes into this match up with a 5-1 record with a 1.98 ERA and 0.91 WHIP while striking out 56 batters in 54.2 IP. Harvey has been unstoppable recently as over his last two outings he has going 15.0 innings giving up no runs while striking out 18. Harvey has posted a 9.2 K/9 in 2015 and has held the current Pirates lineup to a .130 average. Pittsburgh is ranked in the bottom 3rd of the league in batting average (.242) and is ranked 12th in total strikeouts. Harvey has a dominant arsenal and as he is playing in a pitchers park on Saturday, I can easily see him going 8.0 IP getting around 10 K’s in this one.
- Value Pick – C.J. Wilson – Los Angeles Angels
I keep waiting for the Red Sox offensive to come alive, but as the Sox are hitting just .233 on the season (ranked 27th in MLB) and have struggled against left-handed pitching on the season, I think C.J. Wilson has some good value on Saturday. Wilson is having a solid season posting a 2-2 record with 3.06 ERA and 1.13 WHIP while striking out 36 batters in 53.0 IP. Wilson was good in his only start against the Red Sox in 2014 picking up the win after going 5.1 innings giving up just 1 run while strikeout 5. The Red Sox rank dead last in MLB with a .198 average against left-handed pitching in 2015 and although Wilson has just a 6.1 K/9 in 2015 I think he could put together a solid start going about 7 innings getting 5-7 K’s.
- High Cost – Stephen Vogt – Oakland Athletics
Vogt was struggling a bit going into his game Friday but broke out of his mini-slump with a 2-4 performance with a solo homerun. Vogt has been great all season as going as he currently has a .311 average with 10 homeruns and 31 RBI’s. Vogt hasn’t faced Nathan Karns in his career, however has destroyed right-handed pitching on the season hitting .316 with 9 homeruns and 23 RBI’s. Vogt has done most of his damage with the long ball on the road on the season as 8 of his 10 homeruns have come away from the Coliseum and although he has struggled at Tropicana Field in the past, I’m hoping that he can follow up his strong Friday game with another one on Saturday.
- Value Pick – Carlos Ruiz – Philadelphia Phillies
Carlos Ruiz has some decent value on Saturday as the veteran catcher is hitting .375 over the past week and has a decent matchup against Stephen Strasburg of the Washington Nationals on Friday. Ruiz is only hitting .252 with 8 RBI’s on the season but has collected at least one hit in 8 of his last 9 games and has posted a career .333 average with a homerun against Strasburg. Ruiz is hitting .298 in May and as Strasburg has given up 3 homeruns in his last 8.1 IP, I’m hoping Ruiz can connect on one of his fastballs for his first homerun of the season on Saturday.
- High Cost – Jose Abreu – Chicago White Sox
I’m going with Jose Abreu on Saturday as the slugging first baseman is hitting .291 with 6 homeruns and 22 RBI’s on the season and has a good matchup against Trevor May of the Minnesota Twins. Abreu is hitting .308 over the past week and .319 at U.S. Cellular Field on the season. In his career, Abreu has hit .444 against Trevor May and .391 against the Minnesota Twins. Abreu hasn’t hit a homerun since May 9th but I wouldn’t be surprised if he is able to get a homerun off May in this one.
- Value Pick – Chris Carter – Tampa Bay Rays
Chris Carter is always a risky pick as basically he will strikeout or hit the ball real hard. Carter is hitting just .157 on the season but does have 7 homeruns and 20 RBI’s on the season. Carter has yet to face Kyle Lobstein of the Detroit Tigers but has fared better against left-handed pitching over the past two seasons. Obviously this is a boom or bust pick, but Carter does have 2 homeruns over the past week and has Lobstein has given up 3 homeruns in his last two outings, I’m hoping for a Carter bomb on Saturday.
- High Cost – Jose Altuve – Houston Astros
I’m going to stay with the Astros and go with Jose Altuve as my high cost second baseman on Saturday as basically Altuve is save bet against any left-hander in the league. Altuve has struggled a bit as of late, but is still hitting .299 with 5 homeruns, 24 RBI’s and 14 SB’s. Similar to Chris Carter, Altuve has yet to face Kyle Lobstein in his career however, is hitting .396 and slugging .521 against left-handed pitching on the season. Altuve is hitting .346 on the on the road on the season and .333 against the Tigers over the last three seasons.
- Value Pick – Robinson Cano - Seattle Mariners
Robinson Cano’s is still having trouble finding hits that are not singles on the season and because, he price tag has never been more affordable in the daily fantasy leagues. Cano is hitting just .257 on the season with a homerun and 11 RBI’s, however, a trip against the Blue Jays might be exactly what Cano needs to get out of his funk. Cano will be going against Mark Buehrle in which he has posted a career .310 (9-29) average with 3 homeruns and 11 RBI’s. Cano has hit .348 and against the Blue Jays and .382 at the Rogers Centre over the past three seasons.
- High Cost – Marcus Semien – Oakland Athletics
Marcus Semien is hitting .300 on the season with 6 homeruns and 15 RBI’s and although he has slowed down a bit over the last week, hitting just .276, I like his matchup against Nathan Karns of the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday. Semien is hitting .284 and slugging .504 with 6 homeruns, 13 RBI’s, and 5 SB’s against right-handed pitching on the season. Over the past three seasons Semien is hitting .304 against the Rays with 3 doubles, a homerun, and 6 RBI’s. Semien value has gone done a bit over the past week but with ability to hit for power and get some SB’s, is a solid play on Saturday.
- Value Pick – Asdrubal Cabrera – Tampa Bay Rays
If you’re looking for a cheap option at SS on Saturday, Asdrubal Cabrera is a decent play largely as he has a good matchup against the left-handed Kendall Graveman of the Oakland Athletics. Cabrera is hitting just .211 on the season but does have 2 homeruns and 11 RBI’s on the season and although he is a switch hitter, he has historically been better hitting form the right side of the plate. Cabrera has enough power in his bat to do some damage and has Graveman has only lasted past the 5th inning once in his 4 starts on the season, I think Cabrera could have a nice day at cheap price on Saturday.
- High Cost – Josh Donaldson – Toronto Blue Jays
Josh Donaldson versus left-handed pitching in 2015 has equaled big fantasy days. Donaldson is hitting .304 on the season with 9 homeruns and 28 RBI’s and has absolutely crushed left-handed pitching on the season hitting .455 (15-33) with 3 homeruns and 8 RBI’s. Donaldson is just 1 for 6 lifetime against James Paxton of the Seattle Mariners but is hitting .373 and slugging .687 at the Rodgers Centre. As I’ve mentioned all season, having Bautista and Encarnacion behind him in the lineup will mean Donaldson will be seeing a lot of hittable pitches all season.
- Value Pick – Nick Castellanos – Detroit Tigers
Nick Castellanos is hitting just .240 on the season but does have 4 homeruns and 19 RBI’s on the season and still is at a very affordable price near the mid-$2000 range. Castellanos is hitting .333 over his last three games with a homerun and 6 RBI’s. Castellanos will be facing the Lance McCullers of the Houston Astros and although the rookie looked decent in his first start of his career against Oakland last Monday, I feel that he is going to have a bit more trouble against a potent Tigers offensive. Castellanos has done well against Houston in his career as he has a .308 average with a double, triple, and homerun over his past three seasons.
- High Cost – Alex Gordon– Kansas City Royals
Alex Gordon has struggled in the month of May hitting just .226, however and although the lefty slugger is hitting just .265 with 4 homeruns and 21 RBI’s he has fared well against John Lackey of the St. Louis Cardinals in his career. Gordon is hitting .299 and slugging .481 against right-handed pitching on the season and has posted a career .462 average with 2 doubles and 1 homerun against Lackey in his career. Gordon his hit .392 (20-51) against the Cardinals over his past three seasons and his hitting .287 during night games in 2015.
- High Cost – Jose Bautisia – Toronto Blue Jays
Jose Bautisia is only hitting .219 on the season but still is showing his power as he has collected 7 homeruns and 25 RBI’s so far on the season. Bautisia will be going against James Paxton of the Seattle Mariners in which he is a career 2 for 2 against and has fared better against left-handed pitching on the season hitting .241 while slugging .552. Bautisia has crushed Seattle pitching over the past three seasons as he is hitting .360 with 2 homeruns and 6 RBI’s.
- High Value – Brandon Moss – Cleveland Indians
The Cleveland Indians are loaded with left-handed bats and I like the value that Brandon Moss brings to the plate on Saturday. Moss is hitting just .233 on the season but does have 7 homeruns and 27 RBI’s including a 3 for 4 performance with a HR in last night’s game. Moss is the only member of the Indians that has experience against Anthony DeSclafani and has posted a career 2 for 2 agaisnt the right-hander. Moss has 5 homeruns and 15 RBI’s against right-handed pitching on the season and has hit .308 against the Reds over the past three seasons.
- Value Pick – Andre Ethier – Los Angeles Dodgers
Andre Ethier is having a solid 2015 campaign as the left-handed hitting outfielder is hitting .308 with 5 homeruns and 15 RBI’s on the season. Ethier has a lot of experience against Ian Kennedy of the San Diego Padres and has posted a career .361 average with 3 homeruns and 7 RBI’s. Either is hitting .322 at Dodgers Stadium on the season and is slugging .553 against right-handed pitching on the season. Ethier is hitting .325 during night games and .455 against the Padres so far in 2015.