Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 7/8/15 (Late Games)
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
July 8th, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – 7/8/15 (Late Games)
Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
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Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!
Pitcher – Trevor Bauer– Cleveland Indians
For the second straight day, I’m going to Cleveland to find my pitcher as I really like Trevor Bauer and his matchup against the Houston Astros this Wednesday. Bauer is having a fine season with the Indians as he is currently posting a 3.88 ERA and 1.25 WHIP while striking out 93 batters in 97.1 IP. Bauer is posting a solid 8.6 K/9 ratio and has a strikeout percentage of 22.85%. Bauer has a favorable matchup against the Houston Astros on Wednesday as the Astros currently lead MLB in total strikeouts with 806 (3rd in MLB vs. RHP) and Bauer is holding the current Houston roster to just a .067 (2-30) average with 17 K’s. Bauer pitched well in his only outing this year against Houston as he was able to go 6.0 innings giving up no runs or hits, while striking out 11. There are a lot of good pitchers on the mound today, but all the statistics are telling me that Bauer is the best option for the reasonable price tag of $8400.
Catcher – John Jaso – Tampa Bay Rays
John Jaso returned to action after basically missing the whole 2015 season up due to injury and looked awful good at the plate yesterday against the Royals. In their doubleheader yesterday, Jaso was had pinch hit in the first game and went 2 for 3 with a walk, double and homerun in the second game in which he got the start. Jaso should be able to help the Rays against RHP as the season continues and I think he’ll be put right back into the lineup tonight as he has a great matchup against Jeremy Guthrie of the Kansas City Royals. In his career against the right-handed Guthrie, Jaso has just a .250 (6-24) average however, two of his six hits have been for homeruns. Guthrie has struggled throughout the season and is currently posting a 5.42 ERA and has a strikeout percentage of just 11.36% which ranks 2nd to last for all qualifying starters. Guthrie is allowing LHB to have a .332 average and .939 OPS against him on the season and I feel that Jaso can take advantage of this matchup tonight if he gets the start.
First Base – Prince Fielder – Texas Rangers
I wanted to spend the money to stack the Toronto Blue Jays RHB against a good matchup against John Danks of the White Sox, however, I think Texas has just as good of a stack with their LHB against Jeremy Hellickson of the Arizona Diamondbacks and as I can stack these hitters for a more affordable price, I’m going with Prince Fielder tonight at first base. Fielder is basically the only LHB that hasn’t had success of the right-handed Hellickson (0-5 lifetime), however Fielder is having a tremendous season to date as the slugging first baseman is hitting .344 with 13 homeruns and 50 RBI’s. Fielder has been absolutely crushing RHP on the season to the tune of a .392 average and 1.022 OPS and as Hellickson is allowing LHB to have a .307 average against him, I think Fielder is going to solve Hellickson tonight.
Second Base – Ben Zobrist – Oakland Athletics
I’m going to go with Ben Zobrist tonight at second base as I like his matchup against C.C. Sabathia of the New York Yankees and for the fact that he is a switch-hitter which means if Oakland knocks Sabathia game early and they bring in a RHP, that Zobrist can hit from the left-side of the plate and take advantage of the short porch out in right field. Zobrist is hitting .261 on the season with 5 homeruns and 31 RBI’s and is hitting .286 so far in July. Zobrist has plenty experience against Sabathia when he was with the Rays and although he just a career average of .228 (18-79), many of the AB’s were at a time in which Sabathia was one of the more dominant pitchers in the AL. Sabathia has had a terrible season as he currently is posting a 5.59 ERA and 1.40 WHIP and has allowed 19 homeruns in 95.0 IP pitched in 2015. Sabathia is allowing RHB to have a .329 average and .937 OPS against him and as Zobrist is hitting better from the right-side of the plate so far (.288 average), I like his chances to have a good game tonight.
Shortstop – Xander Bogaerts – Boston Red Sox
Xander Bogaerts has been on an absolute tear as of late as the Boston shortstop is hitting .462 (12-26) over the past week and is making a strong push to be the final All-Star selected for the AL squad with a huge 3 RBI single last night that helped Boston defeat the Marlins 4-3. On the season, Bogaerts is hitting .304 with 3 homeruns and 40 RBI’s and currently has a 6 game hitting streak. Bogaerts will be up against Tom Koehler of the Miami Marlins on Wednesday and although he hasn’t faced the right-hander in his career, Bogaerts is hitting .298 against RHP on the season. Koehler is having a decent season with the Marlins but has actually struggled more against RHB as he allowing them to hit .253 against compared to .233 vs. LHB. Koehler has also struggled away from home on the season as he has posted a 5.56 ERA in his 8 starts away from home. Bogaerts is hitting .336 at Fenway Park on the season and I think he will continue his recent hot streak and push to make the AL All-Star team on Wednesday.
Third Base – Josh Donaldson – Toronto Blue Jays
I did say I was going to stack Texas hitters instead of Blue Jays hitters, however, I need to have at least one of the Blue Jays in my lineup on Wednesday so I’m going to go with Josh Donaldson for the second straight day. Donaldson came through for my team last night as he went 1 for 3 with a walk and homerun and now is hitting .300 on the season with 21 homeruns and 58 RBI’s. Donaldson has absolutely thrived in his first year in Toronto and I continue to like him out of all the Blue Jays power hitters as he is protected by both Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion in the Toronto lineup. Donaldson has a great matchup against the left-handed John Danks on Wednesday in which in his career he is hitting .545 (6-11) and has an incredible 1.856 OPS against the lefty. Danks is allowing RHB to have a .313 average and .901 OPS against on the season. Donaldson is an obvious play tonight if you can find the money the spare to get him.
Outfield – Mitch Moreland – Texas Rangers
It took me a little bit to believe in Mitch Moreland but when he has faced average RHP’s on the season, he has been one of the best value picks all season. Moreland is hitting .291 with 14 homeruns and 44 RBI’s on the season with basically all his damage coming against RHP in which he has posted a .306 average with 12 homeruns. Moreland will be up against Jeremy Hellickson of the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday in which in his career he has posted a .600 (3-5) average with 3 walks and a homerun. Hellickson is allowing LHB to hit above .300 against him on the season and has allowed 13 homeruns in 90.2 IP on the season. Moreland has a monster June month hitting .323 with 9 homeruns and although his July has started a bit slow, it has allowed his price tag to become very affordable and with his matchup tonight, one of the better value plays on Wednesday.
Outfield – Michael Brantley – Cleveland Indians
Michael Brantley is having a decent season with the Indians although he is hitting .293 as of Wednesday, however, his power numbers have been a bit disappointing as he only has collected 5 homeruns on the season. Although Brantley has struggled a bit as of late, his price tag tonight is way too low against a great matchup against Houston’s Dan Straily. Straily has a career 4.60 ERA and 1.32 WHIP but was knocked around in his only start of the season against the Red Sox last Friday as he lasted on 4.2 innings giving up 4 ER’s on 6 hits and 3 BB’s. Brantley has limited experience against the right-hander Straily but in his career, is a perfect 2 for 2 with a walk and 2 doubles. Against RHP on the season, Brantley has a .298 average and .826 OPS and has also stolen 8 bases. Brantley is too talented of a player to cost only $3000 against a weak RHP and I’ll gladly pick him up before his price-tag starts to raise again.
Outfield – Josh Hamilton – Texas Rangers
As I mentioned before, I was going to stack Texas LHB’s today and I’m going for broke by taking a chance on Josh Hamilton tonight. Hamilton returned to the lineup last night after missing a game due to a groin injury and although he was 0-4 last night, I expect him to be in the lineup tonight as he has had some good success against Jeremy Hellickson of the Arizona Diamondbacks. In his career against Hellickson, Hamilton has posted a .333 (3-9) average with a double and 2 homeruns. In his limited action in 2015, Hamilton has a .320 (8-25) average and .986 OPS against RHP and as I mentioned in the Fielder and Moreland write-ups, Hellickson is allowing LHB’s to hit over .300 on the season. Hamilton is has always hit well at the Rangers Ballpark in Arlington (.298 average over his past three seasons) and as he always has the potential to have a multi-homerun night, I think he worth the roll of the dice on Wednesday.