Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 7/22/15 (Late Games)
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
July 22nd, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – 7/22/15 (Late Games)
Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
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Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!
Pitcher – Lance Lynn – St. Louis Cardinals
Lance Lynn is having another great season with the Cardinals as the fastball throwing right-hander currently is posting a .279 ERA and 1.24 WHIP on the season. Outside of a shaky start against Pittsburgh prior to the All-Star break, Lynn has been absolutely dominant and has allowed 2 ER’s or less in six of his last 7 starts. Lynn throws his fastball as much as any other pitcher in MLB and currently has a solid 9.7 K/9 ratio and strikeout rate of 25.69% (ranked 12th among MLB starters). Lynn will be up against the Chicago White Sox tonight who ranked in the middle of the road when it comes to K’s vs. RHP. The White Sox are currently hitting just .246 (ranked 22nd in MLB) against RHP and Lynn has held the current White Sox roster to .216 (11-51) average. Lynn faced the White Sox recently on June 20th and although the Cardinals lost 2-1 (Lynn was going against Chris Sale), Lynn still pitched well and went 6 innings while giving up just 1 run while striking out 6. Lynn labored a bit through in his first matchup against the White Sox as he threw 117 pitches, however I think he’ll be better tonight and get us at least 7 innings and 7-9 K’s.
Catcher – Matt Wieters – Baltimore Orioles
I actually had to take some time to find my catcher today as the Cubs and Kyle Schwarber isn’t available in the late games and decided to go with the Orioles Matt Waiters as he has a solid matchup at Yankee Stadium against Ian Nova on Wednesday night. Wieters missed the beginning of the season while recovering from Tommy John Surgery and has been average since returning posting a .260 average with 3 homeruns and 12 RBI’s. I like Wieters tonight as he has fared great against the right-handed Ian Nova and in his career has posted a .355 (11-31) average with 3 doubles and 4 homeruns. Wieters has been much better hitting from the left-side of the plate on the season as he currently has a .292 average as a LHB and I do like he will be hitting towards the short porch in right-field at Yankee Stadium. Over the past three seasons Wieters is hitting .324 with 4 homeruns at Yankee Stadium and as his price tag is affordable at just $2600, I think he is good play tonight.
First Base – Chris Davis – Baltimore Orioles
I’m going to stay with the Orioles and go with Chris Davis as my first baseman today, as similar to Wieters, I like that fact he is hitting towards that short right field fence at Yankee Stadium and also has had some success of the right-handed Ian Nova. Davis is currently hitting just .238 on the season but has collected 19 homeruns and 53 RBI’s. Davis has been better as of late as he comes into this matchup with a 4 game hitting streak and has hit .294 over his past week. In his career against Nova, Davis has posted a .333 (8-24) average with 3 homeruns and 10 RBI’s. Nova has struggled against LHB’s in his limited action this season as he is currently allowing LHB’s to have a .333 (16-48) average against him. Davis has hit 15 of his 19 homeruns against RHP and with his past success against Nova, I don’t see any reason why Davis can’t get to 20 homeruns on the season tonight.
Second Base – Ian Kinsler – Detroit Tigers
Similar to Robinson Cano, Ian Kinsler really was struggling for the first three months of the season however has finally come alive in the month of July. Kinsler has posted just a .277 average with 5 homeruns and 42 RBI’s on the season but in the month of July alone, he is posting a .343 average with 3 homeruns and 11 RBI’s. Kinsler will be up against the left-handed Mike Montgomery of the Seattle Mainers in which he hasn’t faced in his career. Over the past three seasons, Kinsler has fared well against LHP as he has posted a .311 average and .846 OPS against lefties. Kinsler has been great so far in his current series against Seattle as Kinsler has posted a .444 (4-9) average with a double, 2 homeruns and 3 RBI’s. Montgomery has pitched great for Seattle but has run into a bit of trouble as of late as in his last three games he has gone 16.2 Inning while giving up 9 runs (4 homeruns). I think Montgomery certainly has talent but I think the Tigers will be able to get to the rookie tonight and I’m hoping that Kinsler can remain hot and continue to damage against Seattle.
Shortstop – Johnny Peralta – St. Louis Cardinals
Johnny Peralta continues to get it done for the St. Louis Cardinals as the 12 year veteran is currently hitting .299 with 14 homeruns and 48 RBI’s on the season. Peralta is currently hitting .306 in July and .333 over his past week. Peralta will enter tonight’s game riding a 7 game hitting streak (5 of those games he has collected 2+ hits) and has a good matchup against the left-handed John Danks of the Chicago White Sox. Peralta has had plenty of experience against Danks, and although he does only have a .224 average against the lefty, he does have 4 doubles and 2 homeruns against him. Outside of his last start, Danks hasn’t really been that great on the season, posting a 4.98 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Danks has struggled against RHB’s as he is allowing RHB’s to currently have a .315 average and .889 OPS against him. Peralta is hitting .317 on the road this season and as US Cellular Field is a great hitters park for RHB’s, I think Peralta is a good play tonight.
Third Base – Mike Moustakas – Kansas City Royals
Mike Moustakas price tag is once again at a mere $2600 which I don’t fully understand is having a solid season posting a .297 average with 9 homeruns and 36 RBI’s and has a good matchup against the right-handed Charlie Morton of the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday night. Moustakas is hitting just .208 so far in the month of July but has been better over the past week as he is hitting .300 with 2 homeruns and 5 RBI’s. Moustakas hasn’t faced the Charlie Morton yet in his career, but is hitting .328 with 6 homeruns against RHP on the season. Morton has been pretty average on the season, posting a 4.34 ERA and 1.31 WHIP and hasn’t fared well against LHB’s allowing them to have a .284 average and .806 OPS against him on the season. Moustakas has made great strides as a hitter this season, especially when it comes to lowering his strikeouts, and for the small price, Moustakas continue to be a great value play on a nightly basis against RHP.
Outfield – Brett Gardner – New York Yankees
I’m going to get one more LHB in my lineup tonight at Yankee Stadium and go with Brett Gardner who is having another great season as he is hitting .300 with 10 homeruns, 42 RBI’s and 15 SB. Gardner has collected at least one hit in 9 of his last 10 games and has a good matchup against the right-handed Kevin Gausman of the Baltimore Orioles. In his career against Gausman, Gardner has posted a .300 average with a homerun. Gausman really got knocked around in his last start at Minnesota and is currently posting a 5.00 ERA and 1.30 WHIP on the season. Gausman is allowing LHB’s to have an incredible .340 average and .882 OPS against him on the season and has really struggled away from home as he has posted a 6.62 ERA on the road this season. Gardner is hitting .306 with 8 of his 10 homeruns against RHP’s on the season and with his combination of power & speed, makes him a good option tonight.
Outfield – Matt Holliday – St. Louis Cardinals
I was very close going with Holliday yesterday and regret my decision as Holliday had a big game against the White Sox, going 2-4 with a 2 runs scored, a Home Run and 4 RBI’s. Holiday has recently returned after missing more than a month due to injury and although is currently hitting .302 on the season, he has only collected 4 homeruns and 30 RBI’s. Holiday will have a good matchup against John Danks of the White Sox on Wednesday, in which in his limited experience against Danks, has gone 2 for 3 with a double. As I mentioned above, Danks hasn’t fared well against RHB’s on the season and currently Holliday has a .289 average and .925 OPS against LHP’s. Over the past three seasons, Holliday has hit .319 in the month of July and is currently hitting .321 during night games this season. US Cellular Field is solid place for RHB’s to hit at and as this matchup looks good, I thin Holliday is a steal at price tag of just $3100 tonight.
Outfield – Colby Rasmus – Houston Astros
It’s looks as if the Red Sox are recalling Joe Kelly to pitch tonight against the Astros which means we must get at least one Houston LHB in our lineups tonight. With my limited budget remaining I’m going to go with Colby Rasmus who although is hitting just .233 on the season, has collected 12 homeruns and 31 RBI’s. Rasmus has yet to face the right-handed Joe Kelly in his career, however has displayed the majority of his power against RHP on the season, collecting 10 of his 12 homeruns against righties. Kelly has had an awful season to date posting a 5.67 ERA and 1.50 WHIP and is allowing opponents to hit .274 against him. Rasmus is a bit of a reach as we are mostly depending on a homerun with him, but I think the Astros will be able to get to Kelly in this one giving Rasmus at least a couple of chances to have some RISP when he comes up to the plate.