Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 8/3/15
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
August, 3rd, 2015
Daily Fantasy Baseball – 8/3/15
Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
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Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!
Pitcher – Francisco Liriano – Pittsburgh Pirates
I’m going with Francisco Liriano of the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday as the left-hander is having a great season with the Pirates posting a 2.92 ERA and 1.06 WHIP while striking out 140 batters in 126.1 IP. Liriano gets a solid matchup against the Chicago Cubs in which in he is holding the current Cubs roster to a .143 average with 31 strikeouts in 84 total AB’s. Liriano comes in this matchup posting a 10.0 K/9 ratio and a strikeout rate of 27.83% which ranked 6th among qualifying starters in MLB. The Cubs lead all of baseball in total strikeouts and current ranked 18th in baseball with a .248 batting average against LHP. Liriano is currently holding opposing batters to just a .201 average on the season and over the past three seasons has a 2.30 ERA in 9 games started against the Cubs. Liriano has been lights out this year and although he is facing a solid pitcher in Jon Lester, I think he has too much upside with a possible 10+ K game against the free-swinging cubs to pass up.
Catcher – Jason Castro – Houston Astros
Jason Castro is hitting just .221 on the season but does have 9 homeruns and 25 RBI’s and has been hot as of late hitting .333 over the past week with 2 homeruns and 6 RBI’s. Castro will be going against the right-handed Colby Lewis of the Texas Rangers who comes into this matchup with a 4.42 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Castro hasn’t had much success against Lewis in his career collecting just 1 hit against him in 14 AB’s, however, Castro is currently riding a hot streak having collected at least one hit in each of his last 6 games including a huge game winning homerun against the Angels last Thursday. Lewis has been solid since he got rocked in early July against the Angels (4.0 IP, 12 H, 10 ER), however, he has given up at least one homerun in each of his last 6 starts. Castro actually is hitting for a better average against LHP on the season, however as 8 of his 9 homeruns have come against RHP, I think he is good value play tonight at a great hitters park.
First Base – Freddie Freeman – Atlanta Braves
Freddie Freeman is hitting .286 on the season with 14 homeruns and 45 RBI’s and although I believe he is still shaking up the rust a bit after missing about of month of action due to a wrist injury, he started to look like he was regaining his form after two multi-hit games and a homerun in his recent series against Philadelphia. Freeman will be up against the right-handed Matt Cain tonight of the San Francisco Giants. Freeman has been held hitless in his 6 AB’s against Cain in his career, but this doesn’t scare me off as I don’t feel that Cain in nearly the pitcher he once was since returning from his injury. Cain comes into this contest with a 4.50 ERA and 1.32 WHIP and is allowing LHB’s to post a .279 average and .882 OPS against him on the season. Freeman has been great against RHP’s on the season as has posted a .298 average and .909 OPS. Freeman has hit 13 of his 14 homeruns against RHP on the season. Freeman is hitting .306 at home this season and I think he continue this success against the Giants on Monday.
Second Base – Dee Gordon – Miami Marlins
I’m going with the speedy Dee Gordon of the Miami Marlins as I really like his matchup against the Mets Bartolo Colon. Gordon is having a great first season with the Marlins as the second baseman is hitting .330 with 34 SB’s. Gordon has been great against the right-handed Colon as in his career he has posted a .417 (5-12) average. Colon comes into this matchup really struggling as the veteran right-hander has lost 6 of his last 7 games he has started and has seen his ERA climb to 4.96 on the season. Colon has really struggled against LHB’s on the season allowing them to post a .316 average against him. Colon has been worse on the road this season posting a 5.57 ERA and has not fared well against the Marlins in the past as he is allowing the current Marlins roster to hit .294 against him in his career. Gordon is hitting .319 with 25 SB’s against RHP and I feel if he is able to get on base, he will have no trouble swiping some bases against Colon.
Shortstop – Brad Miller – Seattle Mariners
Brad Miller has made the cut on my team a few times over the past week and although I’m not able to go with many of the Mariners LHB’s in a great matchup at Coors Field, I’m able to afford Miller who is hitting .236 with 8 homeruns and 33 RBI’s on the season. Miller hasn’t faced the right-handed Eddie Butler of the Colorado Rockies in his career, however has basically done all of his damage on the year against right-handers as Miller has posted a .250 average with all 8 of his homeruns against righties. Butler comes into this matchup with a 4.82 ERA and 1.78 WHIP. Butler has really struggled at Coors Field on the season as he has posted a 5.96 ERA and allowing opposing hitters to have an incredible .352 average against him at home. On the season, Butler has struggled against LHB’s both home and away as he is allowing LHB’s to post a .333 average and .993 OPS against him. Miller is basically not playable when is going against a LHP, but as he is going against a very hittable RHP at Coors Field, he has great value at just a $3000 price tag on Monday.
Third Base – Yunel Escobar – Washington Nationals
Yunel Escobar is having a nice season with the Nationals as the veteran third baseman is currently hitting .314 with 6 homeruns and 32 RBI’s on the season. Escobar has hit above .300 in each month of the season outside of July and has a decent matchup against the rookie right-hander, Zack Godley of the Arizona Diamondbacks on Monday. Godley will be making his 3rd MLB start of his career, and although he was solid in his first start against the Brewers, he struggled a bit in his recent start against the Mariners giving up 3 runs on 7 hits (2 homeruns) and 3 BB’s in 6.0 IP. Godley has a small data sample to go by, however in his first two starts he has struggled more against RHB’s allowing them to post a .292 (7-24) average and .945 OPS. Escobar has been great against the Diamondbacks on the season as he is currently hitting .500 (7-14) against them and as he is hitting .331 at home on the season, I think he is a great play at a price tag of just $2300.
Outfield – Bryce Harper – Washington Nationals
I’m going with Bryce Harper to start off my outfield picks tonight as I love his matchup against the Zack Godley of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Harper is having a monster season as the slugging outfielder is hitting .331 on the season with 29 homeruns and 68 RBI’s. Harper is has been crushing RHP on the season as he is hitting .336 and is posting a remarkable 1.164 OPS. As I mentioned in Escobar’s write-up above, Godley is only making his 3rd career MLB start and as he gave up 2 homeruns in his recently outing against Seattle, I like the prospects that Harper will be able to hit one out tonight. Harper is hitting .333 at home with 16 of his 29 homeruns and as the he is hitting .348 with two homeruns over the past week, I think Harper is a safe pick tonight.
Outfield – Preston Tucker – Houston Astros
Similar to Brad Miller, Preston Tucker has been on my team a lot as of late and although he hasn’t completely come through, I’ll continue to go with him when he a reasonable price tag around the $3000 range and has a good matchup against a RHP. Tucker is hitting .265 with 10 homeruns and 28 RBI’s on the season but has been decent as of late, hitting .313 with a homerun over the past week. Tucker will be up against the right-handed Colby Lewis of the Texas Rangers on Monday and although he is 0-3 against Lewis in his lifetime, he is hitting .296 with all 10 of his homeruns against RHP on the season. Tucker is hitting .333 (3-9) with a homerun against the Rangers on the season and as I think Lewis can blow up at any moment, that Tucker and the other LHB’s of the Houston Astros are decent plays tonight.
Outfield – Avisail Garcia – Chicago White Sox
Avisail Garcia isn’t have the season the White Sox were hoping from their right-fielder but still is hitting .264 with 7 homeruns, 33 RBI’s and 5 SB on the season. Garcia has been decent as of late collecting at least one hit in 7 of his last 8 games and has a decent matchup against the right-handed Nathan Karns of the Tampa Bay Rays on Monday. Nathan Karns has pitched well for the Rays, posting a 3.37 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, however Garcia has had some success of the righty as he hitting .333 (2-6) against Karns with both hits being homeruns. The White Sox have been putting up a lot of runs as of late and although Karns did have success against the White Sox in his start against them earlier in the season, I think Garcia has great value hitting in the 6-hole for a lineup that his put up a lot of runs as of late.