Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 9/16/2015
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
September 16th, 2015
Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!
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Pitcher – Dallas Keuchel – Houston Astros
Dallas Keuchel is having a monster season for the Houston Astros as the left-hander is currently posting a 2.22 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP while striking out 192 batters in 206.2 IP. Keuchel has been on point as of late as over his past 4 games he has only allowed 4 ER’s and has struck out 36 batters in 28.0 IP. Keuchel has a great matchup against the Texas Rangers who come into this contest leading MLB in strikeouts against LHP and are hitting just .244 against lefties on the season. In his three starts against the Rangers this season, Keuchel is posting a 1.23 ERA while striking out 24 batters in 22.0 IP. Keuchel is holding opponents to a .212 average on these season and holding LHB’s to just a .163 average. There are a lot of good pitchers on the mound on Wednesday but as Keuchel has the best matchup with a heavy left-handed hitting lineup in the Texas Rangers, I think he is the best option to go with.
Catcher – Evan Gattis – Houston Astros
Evan Gattis is having a decent first season with the Houston Astros as although the designated hitter is hitting just .237 on the season, he still is displaying his raw power as he has collected 23 HR’s and 75 RBI’s on the season. Gattis price has dropped to a very reasonable level at $2900 as he is hitting just .195 with 1 HR but I like him on Wednesday with his matchup against the left-handed Martin Perez of the Texas Rangers. Perez comes into this matchup with a 5.43 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Perez has struggled against RHB’s this season as he is allowing RHB’s to post a .323 average and .847 OPS on the season. In his one start against Houston this season, Perez allowed 3 runs on 9 hits in just 5.0 IP. In his career against Perez, Gattis is hitting .666 (2-3) with a triple. Perez is allowing the current Astros lineup to hit .307 against him and as Gattis always has the potential to have a big game at the plate with his power, has good value on Wednesday.
First Base – Eric Hosmer – Kansas City Royals
Eric Hosmer is having a solid season with the Royals as the 4 year veteran is currently hitting .303 with 14 HR’s and 82 RBI’s on the season. Hosmer is in the midst of a slump as he is only hitting .091 (2 for 22) over the past week but has a decent matchup against the right-handed Danny Salazar of the Cleveland Indians on Wednesday. Salazar comes into the matchup with a 3.57 ERA and 1.13 WHIP but has really struggled against the Royals this season as in his two starts, he has posted a 5.54 ERA. Salazar has posted an 8.10 ERA so far in the month of September and is allowing LHB’s to post a .720 OPS against him. In his career against Salazar, Hosmer has posted a .467 (7-15) average and 1.533 OPS (3 doubles, 2 HR’s). Hosmer is posting a .404 (21-52) with 5 HR’s and 19 RBI’s on the season and I think he’ll be able to break out of his recent slump against Salazar and the Indians on Wednesday.
Second Base – Dustin Pedroia – Boston Red Sox
Dustin Pedroia returned to action last week after missing about a month of play due to a hamstring injury and has looked good since his return as over the past week the scrappy second baseman from Boston is hitting .316 (6-19) with 2 doubles and a homerun. On the season, Pedroia is hitting .290 with 10 HR’s and 37 RBI’s and I’m going with him tonight as I like his matchup against the right-handed Mike Wright of the Baltimore Orioles. Wright comes into the game with a 5.45 ERA and 1.41WHIP and has given up 7 HR’s in just 39.2 IP this season. Wright is allowing opposing hitters to post a .271 ERA and .824 OPS against him on the season. Pedroia has fared better against RHP’s this season as he is posting a .295 average and .759 OPS against righties on the season. Pedroia has had two straight multi-hit games and as he has collected at least one hit in the each of the five games since his return from the DL, is a good play for just $3000 on Wednesday.
Shortstop – Wilmer Flores – New York Mets
Wilmer Flores is having a nice season with the Mets as the shortstop is currently hitting .266 with 16 HR’s and 59 RBI’s on the season. Flores has been splitting time as of late with Ruben Tejada as of late but I expect him to be in the lineup against the left-handed Adam Conley on Wednesday as he was on the bench in Tuesday night’s contest. Conley comes into the contest with a 4.93 ERA and 1.55 WHIP on the season and has given up 6 HR’s in just 42.0 IP this season. Conley is allowing opposing hitters to post a .294 average and .835 OPS against him on the season. Flores is 1 for 1 with a double in his career against Conley and has been outstanding against LHP’s on the season, posting a .316 average, .621 slugging percentage, and a .984 OPS (7 HR’s in 95 AB’s). Flores is hitting .321 so far in the month of September and I don’t see any reason why this averages shouldn’t go up against Adam Conley on Wednesday.
Third Base – Matt Carpenter – St. Louis Cardinals
Carpenter has really struggled with his batting average this season as he is hitting just .259 (career .285) hitter but the third baseman for the Cardinals still has 21 HR’s and 73 RBI’s on the season and has a great matchup against the right-handed Wily Peralta of the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday. Peralta has pitched well as of late but still is posting a 4.14 ERA and 1.47 WHIP on the season including a 0-3 record in 3 starts against the Cardinals this season. Peralta is currently allowing LHB’s to post a .297 average, .515 slugging percentage and .854 OPS against him on the season. Carpenter has been much better against RHP’s this season posting a .277 average and .873 OPS. In his career against Peralta, Carpenter has posted a .433 (13-30) average with 2 HR’s and 4 RBI’s. Carpenter is hitting .280 over the past week and I’m hoping that his past success against Peralta continues on Wednesday night.
Outfield – Jason Heyward – St. Louis Cardinals
I’m going to stay with the Cardinals and go with right-fielder Jason Heyward who on the season is hitting .293 with 11 HR’s, 53 RBI’s and 21 SB. Heyward has been hot as of late as in the past week he is hitting .364 (8-22) and has collected three consecutive multi-hit games as of Tuesday night. Similar to Matt Carpenter, Heyward has had some good success of the right-handed Wily Peralta of the Milwaukee Brewers as he has posted a .353 (6-17) average with 2 doubles in his career. Against RHP’s on the season, Heyward has been impressive posting a .301 average and .826 OPS while 13 of his 21 SB’s have come against righties. Heyward has posted a .324 average since the All-Star break and as he is currently riding a hot hand, is a great value play for just $3200 on Wednesday night.
Outfield – Adam Jones – Baltimore Orioles
Adam Jones had some soreness in his shoulder last week that caused him to miss some games, but returned to the lineup this Friday and is hitting .353 since his return. Jones has one against put together an impressive season as the center-fielder is currently hitting .276 with 27 HR’s and 78 RBI’s on the season. Jones will be up against the left-handed rookie in Henry Owens of the Boston Red Sox who comes into this matchup with a 5.25 ERA and 1.47 ERA. Owens has really been hit or miss in his first seven starts of his career as he has only allowed 1 ER in 4 of this starts, but has also given up 7 ER’s in two of those starts. Owens is currently allowing opponents to post a .257 average and .796 OPS against him on the season. Jones is posting a .281 average and .817 OPS against LHP’s on the season and as he has a .376 average against the Red Sox this season, he is good pick at a price tag of just $2900.
Outfield – Josh Reddick – Oakland Athletics
Josh Reddick is hitting .277 on the season with 17 HR’s and 69 RBI’s but is worth a look on Wednesday as he will be going up a hittable right-hander in the White Sox’s Erik Johnson on Wednesday. Johnson comes into this matchup with a 3.27 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in his only two starts this season but has given up 4 HR’s in just 11.0 IP this season. Johnson is a fly ball pitcher that can have some control issues evident by allowing 5 BB’s in just 5.0 IP in his recent start against the Minnesota Twins last Friday. Johnson is allowing LHB’s to post a .545 slugging percentage and .837 OPS against him on the season. Reddick has been good as of late as he is hitting .304 with 2 HR’s over the past week. Reddick has been great against RHP’s on the season posting a .296 average and .828 OPS and as he is facing a RHP that gives up HR’s, is a great value play at just $2400 on Wednesday.