Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 9/28/2015
MLB Picks for your MLB Daily Fantasy Leagues
September 28th, 2015
Here is my lineup for tonight’s games. Please note that I’m using the salary cap based on FanDuel prices.
Also, as this is written the day before/morning of the games, please check the lineups and weather to ensure you have all active players going tonight and that any pitching matchups mentioned below haven’t changed. Good Luck everyone!
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Pitcher – Corey Kluber – Cleveland Indians
Corey Kluber comes into tonight’s matchup with a respectable 3.55 ERA and 1.05 WHIP on the season and although he has had a couple of rough outings over his past five starts, he is still is the best value today when it comes to pitchers as he has a favorable matchup against the Minnesota Twins. Although Kluber hasn’t been as sharp this season compared to this Cy-Young campaign last year, the right-hander is still making bats miss as he is currently posting a 10.0 K/9 ratio and has a strikeout percentage of 27.71%. Kluber has been solid against Minnesota this season as over four starts, Kluber has posted a 2.43 ERA with 31 K’s in 29.2 IP. Since the All-Star break, Kluber is holding opponents to a .214 average. Minnesota has struggled all season against RHP as they are currently hitting just .244 against RHP and as Kluber has the best strikeout potential among the pitching options today, he is worth the $9700 investment against the Twins.
Catcher – Victor Martinez – Detroit Tigers
Victor Martinez has had a down year this season as the veteran DH is currently hitting just .243 (career .302 average) with 11 HR’s and 64 RBI’s however, as he has had good career success against the right-handed Colby Lewis of the Texas Rangers, he is decent value pick today at the catchers position. Martinez has fared a bit better as of late as in the month of September he is hitting .260 with 2 HR’s and 11 RBI’s. Lewis comes into the game posting a 4.36 ERA and 1.20 WHIP and although he has pitched well over his past three starts (4 ER in 21IP), Lewis also has the potential to get hit hard as he has had three outings this season in which he has given up at least 7 ER’s. Lewis is currently allowing opposing hitters to post a .259 average and .725 OPS against him on the season. In his career against Lewis, Martinez has posted a .450 (9-20) average and 1.050 OPS. Martinez has hit 10 of his 11 HR’s as a LHB on the season and as Lewis certainly can give up HR’s, I’m hoping that Martinez will be able to go deep in Texas tonight.
First Base – David Ortiz – Boston Red Sox
David Ortiz once again has shown that he still can get it done at the plate as although the slugging DH is hitting just .268 on the season, he has collected 36 HR’s and 104 RBI’s on the season. Big Papi has been on fire since the All-Star break as he has posted a .317 average and 1.076 OPS. Ortiz has a great matchup against the right-handed Ivan Nova of the New York Yankees on Monday who comes into the game posting a 4.87 ERA and 1.38 WHIP on the season. Nova is currently allowing LHB’s to post a .304 average and .853 OPS and has really struggled at Yankee Stadium posting a 6.35 ERA on the season. Against RHP’s, Ortiz has posted a .289 average and .996 OPS. In his career against Nova, Ortiz is hitting .400 with three doubles and two HR’s. Ortiz is hitting .455 (5-11) over his past three games with 3 doubles and a HR and as he will be hitting towards the short porch in RF at Yankee Stadium, he is worth the cost of $4500 to have in your lineups tonight.
Second Base – Jason Kipnis – Cleveland Indians
Jason Kipnis is having a solid season with the Cleveland Indians as the second baseman on the season is hitting .302 with 9 HR’s, 51 RBI’s and 11 SB. Kipnis has had a rough month of September hitting just .220 for the month but has swing the bat better as of late hitting .292 with a HR over the past week. Kipnis has a solid matchup against the right-handed Phil Hughes of the Minnesota Twins on Monday who comes in with a 4.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP on the season. Hughes has struggled against the Indians this season as in four starts, he is currently posting a 6.43 ERA as he has given up 15 ER’s on 31 hits over just 21.0 IP. Kipnis has been great all season against RHP as he has posted a .331 average and a .901 OPS. In his career against Hughes, Kipnis is hitting .313 (5-16). Kipnis has collected at least one hit in 9 of his past 10 games, including five multi-hit games, and I can see this recent success continuing against Hughes and Minnesota on Monday.
Shortstop – Carlos Correa – Houston Astros
Carlos Correa is having an outstanding rookie season as the prized prospect is currently hitting .282 on the season with 21 HR’s and 61 RBI’s in just 93 games played this season. Correa has been hot as of late as over the past week, he is hitting .400 (10-25) with 3 HR’s and 8 RBI’s. Correa has a decent matchup against the left-handed Roenis Elias of the Seattle Mariners who is currently posting a 3.94 ERA and 1.26 WHIP on the season. Elias has struggled against the Astros this season as over four starts Elias has posted a 6.65 ERA as he has given up 16 ER’s on 22 hits and 11 BB’s in 21.2 IP. Correa is currently hitting .296 and has a .962 OPS against LHP on the season. Correa currently is riding a six game hit streak and as every game is important right now for Houston, I think Correa and the Astros have a solid game against the Mariners on Monday.
Third Base – Mike Moustakas – Kansas City Royals
Mike Moustakas has had a great season with the Royals as the slugging third baseman is currently posting a .280 average with 21 HR’s and 77 RBI’s on the season. Moustakas has fared well as of late as he is hitting .294 over the past week and currently has 6 HR’s and 18 RBI’s in the month of September. Moustakas will be up against the right-handed Kyle Hendricks of the Chicago Cubs on Monday who enters the game with a 4.23 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Hendricks has struggled a bit since the All-Star break as he has posted a 5.22 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over 13 starts. Moustakas has been good against RHP’s this season as he has posted a .288 average and .823 OPS. Moustakas is having a career year at the plate this season and as he certainly has the power to hit HR’s, I’m hoping he can continue his strong season when he makes his first trip to Wrigley Field tonight.
Outfield – George Springer – Houston Astros
George Springer is currently hitting .260 with 14 HR’s, 37 RBI’s and 15 SB’s on the season and although he is hitting just .247 so far for the month of September, he does have three multi-hit games over his last 6 starts. Springer has a decent matchup against the left-handed Roenis Elias of the Seattle Mariners on Monday who currently is posting a 3.94 ERA and 1.26 WHIP on the season. As I mentioned under the Carlos Correa write-up, Elias has struggled against the Astros this season. Against RHB’s, Elias is currently allowing a .241 average and .723 OPS. Springer has fared better against LHP this season as he has posted a .268 average and .848 OPS. In his career against Elias, Springer has only collected one hit in six AB’s, however the one hit was a HR. Springer missed basically two months of the season due to a wrist injury, but as Springer has a good combination of power and speed, he is a great choice tonight for your outfield for a price tag of just $3200.
Outfield – Matt Holiday – St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Holiday has recently returned to the Cardinals starting lineup after missing about a month and a half due to a quad in jury and is currently hitting .286 with 4 HR’s and 34 RBI’s during the season. I’m going with Holiday tonight as he should get the start tonight after having a day off yesterday and for the fact that he has a solid matchup against the left-handed J.A. Happ of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Happ comes into the contest with a 3.88 ERA and 1.32 WHIP on the season. Happ is currently allowing opposing hitters to post a .268 average and .723 OPS against him on the season. In his career against Happ, Holliday has posted a .462 (6-13) average with a HR and 5 BB’s. Over the past three seasons, Holiday has posted a .306 average and .950 OPS against LHP. Holliday hasn’t had a normal year when it comes to his power numbers but as he is up against a hittable LHP tonight, he has good value at a cost of just $2800.
Outfield – Alex Gordon – Kansas City Royals
Alex Gordon is hitting .274 with 12 HR’s and 46 RBI’s on the season and although he has struggled a bit since returning from a knee injury that keep him out for pretty much all of July and August, the left-fielder is currently riding a four game hit streak and has a solid matchup against the right-handed Kyle Hendricks of the Chicago Cubs on Monday. As I mentioned in the Moustakas write-up, Kendrick has really struggled since the All-Star break as he has posted a 5.22 ERA. Hendricks is currently allowing LHB’s to post a .279 average and .826 OPS against him. In his last two starts, Hendricks has allowed 7 ERS on 10 hits (3 HR’s) in just 9 IP. Gordon has pretty even splits this season and is currently posting a .271 average and .811 OPS against RHP’s on the season. Gordon has hit 8 of his 12 HR’s on the road this season and I’m hoping that he can add another one to this total tonight against Hendricks and the Cubs.