Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet For 8/18/16
Daily Fantasy Cheat Sheet: August 18, 2016 DFS Tips for games on 8/18/16
August 18, 2016
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Here is my daily Fantasy Baseball lineup for August 18, 2016.
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Thursday brings us a smaller schedule of 11 games, while some teams have a day off, I’m sure they’d rather be playing to ensure that teams in action today aren’t able to gain any ground as the playoff races heat up. Here's my lineup for today.
Pitcher #1: Clay Buchholz, BOS
Analysis: When it comes to pitching on days like today, where we have a smaller schedule packed with aces pitching, the salaries are going to be high. So you either have to spend half your cap on pitchers and find value elsewhere, or vice versa, and find value on pitchers and stretch your money over the rest of the lineup. I’m going with the latter here, making Buchholz my first pitcher. Simply put, Buchholz this season has been terrible, and I’m not holding high expectations for him Thursday against Detroit. However the one thing Buchholz has going for him is that he has had some success against the Tigers, Buchholz is 2-1 with an ERA just over 3, and current Tigers hitters haven’t done much damage, only batting .190 off of Buchholz in 79 combined at-bats. I say we take a shot with Buchholz here, as Boston wouldn’t start Buchholz if they didn’t have confidence in him in the heat of the division race.
Pitcher #2: Jake Arrieta, CHIC
Analysis: I decided to pick my players in no specific order, and when all was said and done, the only spot left open was my second pitcher spot and I had well over $13k to play with. Why not take one of the best in the game in Arrieta? Sure, Arrieta isn’t the same guy that started the year with an ERA under or just around 1.00, but he sure is starting to look like him again. Arrieta has won his last 2 starts, and has only allowed more than 2 ER once in his last 5 games. Against a Milwaukee squad on a quick turnaround and possibly without Ryan Braun in the mix, Milwaukee could be in for a rough day at the office against Arrieta.
Catcher: Jason Castro, HOU
Analysis: There’s no real statistical reason for my picking Castro here, however what I do know, is when Houston takes on Baltimore on Thursday, the O’s will be sending Kevin Gausman to the bump, and since the beginning of the year I haven’t trusted Gausman as far as I can throw him. Houston knows they still have a shot at the postseason and will be sending all their horses out for this one, and if Castro gets the start behind the plate, I think he can do some damage to Gausman, en route to an Astros victory.
1st Base: Jose Abreu, CWS
Analysis: I had a choice between two first basemen in the same game, Abreu and Cleveland’s Carlos Santana, however I went with the more expensive option in Abreu. Santana was only $3,500, however the cheaper price tag comes with more inconsistency than Abreu. Santana may be on the better team in Cleveland, however Abreu has the better numbers against Cleveland’s starting pitcher on Wednesday, Danny Salazar. Abreu is a lifetime 6-for-16 against Salazar, with 3 homers and 4 RBI and 4 extra base hits to go along with a .412 OBP. With Salazar fresh off the DL, there’s a good chance for some rust and Abreu will be on it like a shark smelling blood in the water.
2nd Base: Brian Dozier, MIN
Analysis: I’m not huge on taking players on bad teams unless I see something I like and I kind of do here with Dozier. Minnesota’s offense exploded last night, granted it was against Atlanta, but sometimes these things carry over to the next game. Not to mention, Dozier has had success against Royals Thursday starter Dillon Gee. Although it’s been in limited at-bats, Dozier is still 4-for-11 against Gee with 2 solo homers for his efforts. Minny may not win the game but I like Dozier here to keep the bat hot.
3rd Base: Yunel Escobar, LAA
Analysis: Definitely the highest risk taken on today’s team, Escobar has been hit or miss for a Angels team that as a whole is hit or miss. Not much else to this pick except for Escobar’s career number against Seattle starter for Thursday, Hisashi Iwakuma. Against Iwakuma in his career, Escobar is batting .429 with only 2 strikeouts. This is a lottery ticket if I’ve ever seen one, so if you can find a better option, go ahead but I’ll take my chances here and hope that if this doesn’t pan out, another one of my value picks will.
Shortstop: Carlos Correa, HOU
Analysis: There weren’t any standout batter vs. pitcher matchups at shortstop, so I just went ahead and took Correa who I’m usually comfortable taking. I mean why wouldn’t you be? Since the start of August, there have been only two games where Correa didn’t register a hit, and one was last night. Not to mention the 3 homers and 15 RBI this month. Take Correa against my favorite Baltimore pitcher (as I roll my eyes in sarcasm) Kevin Gausman, and don’t think twice about it.
Outfielder #1: Jayson Werth, WAS
Analysis: Again, not much statistical backing here as Werth has over 470 at-bats against Atlanta in his career and most of that is due to Werth’s time spent in Philly before heading over to Washington. In those at-bats however, Werth is still an above average .264 hitter, and with the way Atlanta is getting torched on a nightly basis, any pick could be a fantasy gem on any given night when you pick a player batting against the Braves. I think with the way Atlanta got pounded against Minnesota at home, things don’t get much better for the Braves as Washington rolls here behind a big effort from the whole team including Jayson Werth.
Outfielder #2: Nelson Cruz, SEA
Analysis: Cruz is on a Seattle team that keeps knocking on the wild-card door before going on a minor slide and having that door slammed in their collective faces. However a series against the lowly Angels and Thursday starter Matt Shoemaker may just be what Seattle needs to finally get over the hump. Mariners like Cruz among other will need to step up against LA, but with Cruz’s numbers lifetime against Shoemaker, it shouldn’t be an issue. In 17 career at-bats against Shoemaker, Cruz is batting .353 with a home run, 2 extra base hits and 4 RBI to go along with a .588 slugging percentage and .941 OPS. If Seattle wants any hope of making it back into the playoff picture, Cruz needs to take control of the ship and I think he does just that against the Halos.
Outfielder #3: Leonys Martin, SEA
Analysis: One more value pick to finish it off. Like Cruz, Leonys Martin will face off against the Angels and Matt Shoemaker. And believe it or not, Martin has slightly better numbers against Shoemaker than Nelson Cruz. Martin is a lifetime .412 against Shoemaker, with a homer, 3 RBI and 3 extra base hits to go along with a .706 slugging percentage and a dazzling 1.095 OPS against Shoemaker. Take a flyer with Martin as I think this is that value pick that could pay off in a major way that I was mentioning earlier.
Salary Remaining (out of $50,000 budget): $500