Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet For 9/22/16
Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet: September 22, 2016 DFS Tips for games on 9/22/16
September 22, 2016
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Here is my daily Fantasy Baseball lineup for September 22nd, 2016.
Our second-last Thursday of the season brings us 10 games. While 10 teams get an off day, 6 teams fight for another day to keep their playoff hopes alive, 3 others try to take a step towards locking up their respective divisions. Here's my lineup for today.
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Pitcher #1: Chris Tillman, BAL
Analysis: Okay, so I get that Boston is starting David Price who has been hot, going 7-0 in his last 8 starts. But Tillman is no slouch, posting a 16-6 record for Baltimore this season, quietly becoming the ace of that rotation this season. The fact of the matter is that Baltimore needs this win to try to keep pace in the wild-card race, and they have a chance to do so with Tillman against these very same Red Sox. Baltimore won Tillman’s only start this season where he allowed only 1 run over 7 innings en route to a 3-2 Baltimore victory. Tillman is also holding the current Red Sox lineup to a combined .218 average over 188 combined at-bats with 37 strikeouts. That includes the likes of David Ortiz (7-for-36), Xander Bogaerts (2-for-20) and Mookie Betts (2-for-11). Tillman will either be a massive pickup, or will blow up my lineup completely and I’m hoping it’s the former.
Pitcher #2: Justin Verlander, DET
Analysis: This all boils down to Detroit chasing a playoff spot behind their ace, Justin Verlander, against a team in the Minnesota Twins that Verlander has owned in his career. Verlander has posted a career 16-8 record with a 3.06 ERA in 32 career starts against the Twins including 1-0 in 2 starts against Minnesota this season. The one no-decision came on July 20th, where Verlander still managed to go 8 strong innings, allowing only 1 run before Fernando Rodriguez let the game slip away with a 3-run top of the 9th. With what’s at stake in this game, I feel like the Tigers can take one from the Twins, who are barely motivated to even play spoiler anymore.
Catcher: Jason Castro, HOU
Analysis: I don’t really have much to offer in terms of statistics for this pick, as Castro only has 2 hits in his last 9 games. Even though Angels starter Ricky Nolasco has a 5-1 career record in 7 starts vs. Houston, he has not looked good going 2-6 in 9 starts since being traded to Los Angeles from the Minnesota Twins. I think Castro could prove to be a valuable pick on Thursday, especially with the way Houston needs to string some wins together if they want to have any chance of playing baseball in October.
1st Base: Mike Napoli, CLE
Analysis: I’m really hoping I get a start from Napoli here. Kansas City is fading in the wild-card race, 5 games back of the second spot with 11 games remaining heading into Wednesday. Now the Royals send out starter Jason Vargas, who is making only his second start since returning from Tommy John surgery. Although Vargas was a key part of the Royals rotation before his injury, he comes in cold against an Indians squad that is playoff-bound and one member of the Tribe that will be looking forward to facing Vargas will be Napoli, who owns a 12-for-32 record against Vargas in his career, with 6 extra base hits including 4 home runs and 6 RBI. Napoli may only get one shot at Vargas if he is on a pitch count, but I think Napoli will make the most of it on Thursday.
2nd Base: Logan Forsythe, TB
Analysis: I’ll be honest, my original pick at second was going to be Ian Kinsler until I found out he had suffered a concussion, which led me to Forsythe. The Rays continue their spoiler tour against the Yankees who are almost done in the wild-card race, and send rookie Luis Cessa to the mound to face off with the Rays for the third time this season. Cessa started off with a decent relief appearance against the Rays, but has gotten rocked in his last two outings against Tampa, giving up 9 earned runs in 8.2 innings. Add in the fact that Forsythe has homered twice against Cessa, once in each start, and I think Forsythe has the potential to make it 3 games in a row, considering how much Cessa has cooled off.
3rd Base: Manny Machado, BAL
Analysis: Again, I know David Price has been en fuego in his last 8 starts, going 7-0, but this is a great price we are getting on a .300 batter this season, who has had career success against one of Boston’s best pitchers. Machado is a lifetime 8-for-31 against Price, with 4 extra base hits including 3 home runs and 5 RBI. Including a home run in the last meeting between Price and Machado in a 12-2 Boston victory just over a week ago.
Shortstop: Jordy Mercer, PIT
Analysis: A lot of people forget that even though they took a major slide, Pittsburgh is still in the wild-card race, albeit 4.5 games back with 12 games to go heading into Wednesday, however a series finale against the Brewers may give Pittsburgh one more gasp in the wild-card fight. Milwaukee sends Chase Anderson to the mound to face the Pirates for the fifth time this season. Now although Milwaukee is 3-1 in those four previous matchups, Mercer is still one Pirate who has had some success against Anderson in the past. Mercer is 5-for-10 with an extra base hit and 2 RBI in his career against Anderson. Mercer may not be the most consistent Pittsburgh bat, but he still has hit in 4 of his last 6 games and double digit points in 3 of his last 6, so I expect at least a few points from Mercer on Thursday.
Outfielder #1: Charlie Blackmon, COL
Analysis: The Rockies may be out of the playoff race, but that’s not stopping them from trying to play spoiler, as we saw by virtue of their 11-1 romp over the Cardinals on Wednesday afternoon. Blackmon extended his hit streak to nine on Wednesday, with a home run on 1-for-3 batting. In that nine game hit streak, Blackmon has 4 homers, 3 doubles and 2 triples to push his season average to .320. Blackmon faces off against Dodgers starter Brett Anderson on Thursday, and in 10 career at-bats against Anderson, Blackmon has 4 hits and an RBI. Add in the fact that Anderson comes into Thursday’s start with a 24.75 ERA, and I think things could get really messy for Anderson.
Outfielder #2: Cameron Maybin, DET
Analysis: Maybin is a long way from the outfielder that was batting in the .600 area for a good part of the season early on, however he is still batting .316 and has put up 31 points in his last 2 games heading into action Wednesday. Detroit is pushing forward with their eyes o a playoff spot, and a date with the Twins and starter Ervin Santana may give the Tigers a step in that direction. Maybin may onle have 1 hit in 9 at-bats against Santana in his career, but the Tigers are laser focused right now and I think Maybin gets over the hump against Santana on Thursday.
Outfielder #3: Jay Bruce, NYM
Analysis: If you couldn’t guess, Bruce was my last pick, but there’s still something to like here. Bruce has a double in 4 at-bats against Phillies starter Adam Morgan, and this basically all comes down to the Mets needing wins down the stretch as they fight for a wild-card spot, against a pitcher that has had little to no career success, especially this season going 2-10 with a 5.57 ERA. If Bruce can connect on one here, the Mets may be able to chase Morgan early.
Salary Remaining (out of $50,000 budget): $0