Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet For 9/26/16
Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet: September 26, 2016 DFS Tips for games on 9/26/16
September 26, 2016
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Here is my daily Fantasy Baseball lineup for September 26th, 2016.
We embark on our final week of the season, and there are still some tense races going on, not to mention there will be a couple of teams who have an opportunity to punch their ticket to the postseason on Monday. Here's my lineup for today.
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Pitcher #1: Collin McHugh, HOU
Analysis: McHugh is another one of those guys that probably deserves my trust once in a while, it’s just whenever I’ve backed him in the past it’s bit me in the butt, now it’s gotten to the point where I fade him and he performs well so I figured I’ll give him another shot. Now granted the Mariners are red-hot right now, and in the thick of the wild-card race and the Astros barely avoided a sweep at the hands of the Angels., however both teams are still in the playoff hunt. The Astros send McHugh to the mound to kick off a three-game set against the Mariners. In his career against the Mariners, McHugh is 9-3 with a 3.96 ERA in 12 starts, including 7 innings of 2-hit ball in his last start against these game Mariners on September 16th. Against the current Mariners lineup, McHugh has held them to a combined .202 batting average over 188 at-bats with 50 strikeouts. Add in the fact that McHugh is 5-0 in his last 7 starts since mid-August, and I feel confident backing him here.
Pitcher #2: J.A. Happ, TOR
Analysis: The Jays have owned the Yankees this series and for much of this year. The Blue Jays are 8-1 against the Yankees in Toronto this season, including 2-0 in Happ’s starts against the Yankees at Rogers Centre, and 4-0 in Happ’s starts against the Yanks overall this season. Happ is also 6-2 in 13 career starts vs. New York, so I am pretty comfortable backing him here, as Toronto should get plenty of run support for Happ against Yankees starter Luis Severino, who has been awful for a good chunk of this season.
Catcher: Stephen Vogt, OAK
Analysis: The Athletics and Los Angeles Angels are just playing out the string, and playing for bragging rights at this point, and Monday should be an entertaining affair as both offenses have caught fire as of late. Vogt and the A’s take on Angels starter Jered Weaver on Monday, and in his career against Weaver, Vogt is 10-for-33 with 4 extra base hits including 2 homers and 4 RBI while striking out only 3 times. Look for some value with Vogt as a sneaky option behind the plate.
1st Base: Miguel Cabrera, DET
Analysis: Ok hold on. I know I’ve said that Cabrera isn’t his old AL MVP self of years past, but to get him under $4,000 is a steal, even if it is against Indians starting pitcher Corey Kluber. But the funny thing is, Cabrera has had good numbers against Kluber in his career, going 21-of-45 with 7 extra base hits including 5 home runs and 10 RBI. Cleveland is jockeying for playoff position and is trying to clinch the AL Central with a win, but Detroit is trying to fight a more important fight in trying to avoid missing the playoffs altogether, which is why I’ll back Cabrera and the Tigers here.
2nd Base: Jose Altuve, HOU
Analysis: If McHugh is going to get the win for us on Monday, he’ll need some run support, which is why I’m backing Altuve here. I’m guessing Altuve is due, mainly because he hasn’t registered double-digit fantasy points in 8 of his last 9 games heading into action Sunday. However against Seattle starter Hisashi Iwakuma, Altuve is 15-for-35 with 7 extra base hits including a home run and 7 RBI while only striking out twice. Iwakuma has a sub-.500 record and a .318 batting average against the current Astros lineup, so I feel somewhat safe thinking the Astros could push a few runs across on Monday.
3rd Base: Adrian Beltre, TEX
Analysis: This is a risky pick, as Texas has clinched the AL West, but is still jockeying for playoff position as they are tied for the best record in the American League heading into Monday’s action. If Texas decides to put out a lot of their regular starters, I like Beltre to have a good night. The Rangers start an interleague series with the Milwaukee Brewers and starter Matt Garza on Monday. In his career against Garza, Beltre has 11 hits in 26 at-bats, including 4 for extra bases, 3 of which ended up being home runs and 9 RBI with only 2 strikeouts against Garza. This all really boils down to how badly the Rangers want home field throughout the playoffs, and if they want it, I think they’ll start Beltre and give us a good night at third base.
Shortstop: Alexei Ramirez, TB
Analysis: Another series in which both teams are just playing out the string involves the Tampa Bay Rays and Chicago White Sox in the series opener on Monday. The White Sox send James Shields to the mound, who just wants 2016 to end and to put it in the back of his mind. Shields is 5-18 with a 5.98 ERA this season, and even though he is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA against his former team, I think the Rays will do some serious damage, which is where Ramirez comes into play. Ramirez has found himself as an everyday player in the Rays rotation, even though he is mired in a 0-fer slump over his last 4 games. However I look for that to change Monday against Shields, who is a human torch, getting lit up with regularity. In his career against Shields, Ramirez is 23-of-58 with 4 extra base hits, including 2 home runs and 6 RBI with only 5 strikeouts over the 58 at-bats. Ramirez will be an interesting option if he gets the start, and the high upside and high potential makes this value pick one worth a look at.
Outfielder #1: Giancarlo Stanton, MIA
Analysis: I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention the tragic passing of Marlins’ pitcher Jose Fernandez. 24 is way too young to lose any life, and it makes it even harder when you had the positive impact on and off the field that Fernandez did. However the cruel truth is that life goes on and a new day dawns, which is the scenario that the Marlins face on Monday as they open a series with the Mets. New York sends Bartolo Colon to the mound to oppose the Fish in what is sure to be an emotional series opener. In his career against Colon, Stanton is 5-for-13 with 3 extra base hits, including 2 home runs and 5 RBI, while Colon has managed to only strike Stanton out once. I think Miami plays this one for their fallen teammate, which is why I am backing Stanton and Miami on Monday.
Outfielder #2: Ichiro Suzuki, MIA
Analysis: Ichiro is another Marlin who has had to have had a rough 24 hours after the passing of Jose Fernandez, however we still have a game to play on Monday and we get another matchup of the ageless wonders in Colon and Suzuki. In his career against Colon, Suzuki has 26 hits in 101 at-bats including 6 extra base hits, 3 home runs and 8 RBI while only striking out 6 times in those 101 at-bats. Again, I think Miami rallies around each other to play Monday’s game for Fernandez, and I can only assume it’s what he would’ve wanted.
Outfielder #3: Jose Bautista, TOR
Analysis: The reason I’m backing Bautista is the same reason I picked Happ earlier. The Jays have owned this series against New York, including Bautista who has had 59 points over the first 3 games, along with a duplicate 23-points performance on Sunday. Now Bautista gets Luis Severino on Monday, who has been awful this season, going 0-8 with an ERA north of 8 as a starter. Bautista may be only 1-for-7 against Severino, but Severino is not the pitcher I’d want to rely on in a high-leverage situation like this one, which is why I’ll back Bautista here.
Salary Remaining (out of $50,000 budget): $200