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Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet For 9/28/16

Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet: September 28, 2016 DFS Tips for games on 9/28/16

September 28, 2016

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Here is my daily Fantasy Baseball lineup for September 28th, 2016.

Halfway through the last week of the regular season, the wild-card races are tightening up and division winners are jockeying for position, so there’s plenty left to fight for. Here's my lineup for today.

Daily Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet For 9/28/16


Pitcher #1: Michael Fulmer, DET

Salary: $8,600

Analysis: There was not a whole lot for me to like about the pitching matchups on Wednesday, but I would like to think I found some potential with Fulmer. Believe it or not, I think Fulmer will win AL Rookie of the Year instead of Yankees catcher Gary Sanchez. Now I’m not saying what Sanchez has done is anything short of amazing. I’m just saying we have a full season sample size for Fulmer, and he has done more for his team who are still in the wild-card race which is more than we can say for the Yankees. Now Fulmer may have gotten rocked by these same Indians on September 16th, however Fulmer gets a chance at redemption as we head for October, when his team needs him the most. Even though Fulmer is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in 3 starts against the Tribe, Detroit is 18-7 in Fulmer starts this year, and Detroit wouldn’t give him a start in a high-leverage situation like this if they didn’t think he could get it done.

Pitcher #2: Francisco Liriano, TOR

Salary: $8,400

Analysis: A good chunk of my lineup will consist of Toronto Blue Jays, considering their three-game set with Baltimore to close out their home season is the most important to date. Toronto could clinch a wild-card spot for sure with a sweep, or could fall out completely if Baltimore pulls out the brooms. What gives me confidence in Liriano is that he is coming off his best start as a Blue Jay, pitching 6 innings of 3-hit, shutout baseball en route to a 9-0 Toronto victory over the Yankees last Friday. In Liriano’s 4 appearances against AL East teams as a Jay, Liriano has not allowed more than 2 earned runs (now take that with a grain of salt, as two appearances were relief appearances).I think Liriano’s confidence will carry over to a must-win for the Jays on Wednesday.

Catcher: Brian McCann, NYY

Salary: $4,000

Analysis: New York may be out of the playoff picture officially, but a rivalry is still a rivalry, and the Red Sox and Yankees are in the midst of their final series of the 2016 season. I’m sure the Yankees would love nothing more than to play spoiler in affecting their division rival’s playoff positioning, which is where McCann comes into play. The Red Sox counter with Clay Buchholz on Wednesday, and while he may have had a couple decent starts as of late, I’m not sure he has figured everything out and has looked flat out awful at times this season. McCann is a lifetime 4-for-11 with 2 extra base hits and an RBI against Buchholz in his career, and if the Yankees give McCann the start behind the plate or at DH, we can expect something from him on Wednesday. At least I hope so.

1st Base: Edwin Encarnacion, TOR

Salary: $4,600

Analysis: I’m back on the Encarnacion train. He has a hit in 10 of his last 11 games heading into Tuesday as the Jays start their final 2016 regular season home series against the Baltimore Orioles and starter Chris Tillman. Now although Tillman has emerged as Baltimore’s ace this season, it’s no secret that he has had struggles against the Blue Jays in his career, with a 5-10 record and a 5.61 ERA. Tillman has also allowed Jays batters to hit .297 off of him in 293 combined at-bats against the current Toronto lineup, which surely hasn’t been helped by Encarnacion. Edwin has a .304 lifetime batting average against Tillman in 56 at-bats with 6 extra base hits, including 3 homers and 4 RBI. I expect Encarnacion to further cement his name in the AL MVP conversation with a monster game here.

2nd Base: Robinson Cano, SEA

Salary: $5,300

Analysis: Cano and the Mariners have an important date with the Astros on Wednesday afternoon, to finish off a crucial series for both teams playoff hopes. Houston sends Doug Fister to oppose the Mariners, and quite simply, Fister has looked awful in his last 6 starts, going 0-4 while allowing 25 earned runs over that span, covering 26 innings. Yikes, almost a run per inning. Fister had been consistent in his first 3 starts against Seattle, posting 3 earned runs in each of those starts, before getting shelled last Sunday for 7 runs. Now although Cano went 0-4 in that game, he does have 6 hits including 2 doubles and an RBI with only 2 strikeouts in 23 career at-bats against Fister, so I think Cano and the Mariners stick a fork in the Astros and Fister on Wednesday with a big outing.

3rd Base: Kyle Seager, SEA

Salary: $4,500

Analysis: Another Mariner, same prediction. I have zero faith in Houston starting pitcher Doug Fister considering how he has pitched over the last month or so. Going 0-4 in 6 starts won’t help you anywhere, especially when your next start is against a division rival who is ahead of you in the wild-card hunt and is hungry for a playoff spot. Seager is a lifetime 7-for-19 against Fister with 4 extra base hits including a home run and 3 RBI with only 1 strikeout. This could get messy early for Fister if he comes out sluggish, and Seager and the M’s will be quick to pounce all over it if he does.

Shortstop: Adeiny Hechavarria, NYM

Salary: $2,700

Analysis: If you couldn’t guess, Hechavarria was my last pick, but I think there’s a little bit of value here. Hechavarria went 1-for-2 in Lugo’s only matchup with the Marlins this season, one that saw the Mets came out on top. However, this Mets lineup is banged up badly and even though Lugo is 4-0 in his last 6 starts, the last 2 have been no-decisions and Lugo will be facing a Marlins team that will be playing with tons of emotion, wanting to finish strong for Jose Fernandez and his memory.

Outfielder #1: Jose Bautista, TOR

Salary: $4,700

Analysis: Just a forewarning, my whole outfield will be consisting of Blue Jays, so you can’t say I didn’t tell you ahead of time. First is Jose Bautista. We’ve established that Baltimore is sending Chris Tillman to the mound to oppose Toronto on Wednesday and I’m favorable of Bautista’s chances. Bautista is a lifetime 12-for-44 with 7 extra base hits including 3 home runs and 7 RBI in his career against Tillman. Bautista always seems to play with a chip on his shoulder against Baltimore, and I think it’ll pay some dividends for him here, as the Jays look to hold on to the possibility of a wild-card home game.

Outfielder #2: Michael Saunders, TOR

Salary: $3,300

Analysis: Great value on Saunders here, as he is another Toronto bat who has had success against Chris Tillman. Saunders has 5 hits in 19 career at-bats against Tillman, with 3 extra base hits including 2 home runs and 3 RBI. Saunders also has a hit in 4 of his last 5 heading into action on Tuesday.

Outfielder #3: Kevin Pillar, TOR

Salary: $3,200

Analysis: Pillar is an exceptional value, not only for his bat, but also with his speed on the base paths, he’s always a likely candidate for a stolen base or a couple of runs if he manages to get on base. With hits in 9 of his last 14 games, Pillar looks to remain consistent in the Jays push for a second consecutive playoff berth, and against Baltimore’s Chris Tillman, there’s a good chance Pillar will contribute. Pillar is a career 8-for-22 with 4 extra base hits including 3 home runs and 5 RBI against Tillman. Pretty good matchup numbers for a player who hasn’t necessarily always been known for his power.

Salary Remaining (out of $50,000 budget): $700

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