Daily Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet For Week 9
Daily Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Week 9 DFS Tips for games on 11/6/16
November 6, 2016
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Here is my NFL lineup for week 9. We are officially at the midway point of the season, let’s see if we can’t put out another winning lineup as we head towards the second half of the season.
Quarterback: Drew Brees, NO
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Opponent: @ SF
Analysis: To get what I feel is the best quarterback option on the board at the 2nd highest price, is a Christmas gift in November. The 49ers defense is downright awful, as it’s been a key part as to why the Niners have lost 6 straight games. San Fran is dead last allowing 31.3 points per game this season and that won’t help against the league’s 2nd highest scoring offense which is led by Brees, averaging over 28 points per game. This could get ugly, so getting Brees at this price is an absolute steal.
Running Back #1: Ezekiel Elliott, DAL
Opponent: @ CLE
Analysis: I’ll spend up to get Elliott as I simply can’t afford to not have him in my lineup over the last few weeks. Elliott just missed his 5th straight 100-yard rushing game, falling just 4 yards short, However I think Elliott can make it 5 of 6 against the Browns who are allowing the 5th most points to opposing running backs this season. Cleveland’s winless start is no accident as the defense has barely been able to keep them in it most weeks, and I think the trends continue against Dallas.
Running Back #2: Jay Ajayi, MIA
Opponent: vs. NYJ
Analysis: Remember Jay Ajayi? The Dolphins running back who tallied 418 yards on 53 carries with 3 touchdowns the last two weeks? Yeah. Him. I’m going to back Ajayi knowing full well we almost for sure won’t get the same production as the Dolphins face a stingy run defense in the Jets. However, Ajayi is running as well as any running back in the league right now, and he very well could get 25 carries or more. I don’t think a 100-yard game is out of the question, and I think he may be a sneaky pickup as most owners will be worried that he is a two-week wonder and will waste a spot on him.
Wide Receiver #1: Davante Adams, GB
Opponent: vs. IND
Analysis: Adams was always going to be my WR1 this week, it was just a matter of how much I had to pay. Not going to lie, I thought I was going to have to spend at least $7k, so to get him at just under $6k is a blessing. Adams has 25 catches for 206 yards and 2 touchdowns in the last 2 games, totaling a combined 60.6 fantasy points in the process. Now Indy’s defense against the pass is decent, as they are allowing the 9th fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. However this is a Colts defense that just got lit up by the less explosive Chiefs offense who had to resort to their backup QB, and against an elite option like Rodgers, it might not look too promising for the Colts against Rodgers and Adams.
Wide Receiver #2: Michael Thomas, NO
Opponent: @ SF
Analysis: Pairing Thomas with Brees in my lineup just makes sense. Thomas has been Brees’ most productive receiver over the last 5 weeks. To put it into perspective, Thomas has more targets, red-zone targers, receptions and yards than fellow Saint Brandin Cooks, who is over $2k more expensive than Thomas. Granted, Cooks always has big-play potential, but I think the ceiling is higher for Thomas against a downright awful Niners defense.
Wide Receiver #3: Kenny Britt, LA
Opponent: vs. CAR
Analysis: It makes me absolutely queasy to try to rely on the Rams offense considering they have Case Keenum at starting QB who tossed 4 picks in their last game across the pond, not to mention one of them wasn’t even close to his receiver as you’ve probably seen in the highlights. However there’s value here with Britt, who is a big-play threat with 16.2 yards per reception and he is a better outside receiver option than Tavon Austin in my opinion as Britt has 3 fewer receptions, but 236 more receiving yards and the same number of touchdowns as Austin. It’s a risky move, but considering how Keenum and the Rams performed last game, I don’t think many people will lean towards Britt making him a potential sneaky value play.
Tight End: Kyle Rudolph, MIN
Opponent: vs. DET
Analysis: Rudolph has been quiet as of late, putting up just 18.6 fantasy points in his last 2 games, far removed from the tight end who logged double-digit fantasy outings in each of the first 4 games this season. However Rudolph has the high possibility of rebounding against a Lions defense that is allowing the most points to opposing tight ends this season, giving up an average of 6.3 receptions, 64.6 yards and a total of 8 touchdowns to this point in the season.
Flex: Demaryius Thomas, DEN
Opponent: @ OAK
Analysis: Thomas only needs 2 receptions to be the 4th Bronco in team history with 500 receptions, and I think he gets that and more here. Alright, I love the Raiders this year, but outside of last week, their defense had been porous for most of the season as they kept getting lit up and had to rely on their high-powered offense to win games. Denver’s defense is no joke, and if they can force Oakland to give the ball up, Denver may be able to turn it into some big plays behind Thomas.
Defense/Special Teams: Miami Dolphins
Opponent: vs. NYJ
Analysis: Normally I wouldn’t feel too comfortable backing a defense of a team with a 3-4 record. However I’m projecting this to be a low-scoring game with the Dolphins doing the bulk of the scoring. New York is giving up the most fantasy points to opposing defenses this year as going against Ryan Fitzpatrick is a turnover machine. Against a stout Dolphins pass rush, I like Miami’s chances to force Fitz into more mistakes in a downright awful season for the Jets QB.
Salary remaining (Out of a $50,000 budget): $0