DFS - Fantasy Basketball - NBA FanDuel Lineup, Picks & Advice - 10/17/18
NBA - Main Slate (7:00 PM) - FanDuel Lineup for 10/17/18
NBA – Fantasy Basketball – FanDuel Lineup, Picks & Advice – 10/17/18
Update (6:14 PM) - Made some changes to get Harden and the Greek Freak in the lineup! Len has been upgraded to probable so I'm going to roll with him with Atlanta missing a few players in their frontcourt. Good Luck!
It was a decent start to our NBA season last night as although we didn’t hit in the GPP’s, our 281.1-point performance was good enough to barley take down the 50/50’s I entered.
We’ll have to adjust our strategy a bit going forward now that FanDuel doesn’t include your lowest scoring player. In my view, basically the strategy is to find the position that you don’t want to spend up on and then just take a chance with a minimum price player so you can spend your budget elsewhere.
As you know, the NBA is a bit harder to update prior to the games as many of the starting lineups/final injury reports aren’t made available until minutes before tip-off (i.e. Stephen Adams from last night) so I’ll do my best to provide updates. The best way to receive any updates is following me on my twitter handle (@BrettCU05) or following the Sports Chat Place Facebook page and Fantasy Group page.
Let’s take a look at who we have going on the 11-game slate tonight!
Trey Burke (NY) - $4,900 – Burke has some of the best value on the slate tonight as New York comes into this game without Emmanuel Mudiay & Kristaps Porzingis and most likely Courtney Lee who is doubtful. Burke hasn’t been outstanding during the preseason, but with everyone out for the Knicks including the fact that no longer have Beasley on the roster, the Knicks will be relying on Burke to be a major part of the offense tonight against an Atlanta Hawks team that rated just 24th in defensively last season. Burke was outstanding towards the end of last season when he was playing 30+ minutes a game as he scored in double-digits in 10 of his last 11 games which included a monster 42-point, 12-assist performance against Charlotte. Burke has much upside as anyone on the slate and should have plenty of opportunity to put up a solid line tonight.
Dennis Smith Jr. (Dal) - $6,600 – Dennis Smith Jr. is coming into this 2nd year in the NBA and we can only expect that the talented young point guard will continue to improve on his 15.2 ppg, 5.2 apg, 3.8 rpg, 1.0 spg state line he put up in his rookie season last year. Smith has been outstanding in the pre-season as shot 47.8% from the field and comes in with one of the better match-ups of the night against the Phoenix Suns. Phoenix ranked dead last in team defense last season as they are generally more focused on their fast break than their defense and as I just don’t see how Isaiah Canaan being able to remotely slow down Smith Jr., I think Smith Jr. will easily hit value tonight.
Jrue Holiday (NO) - $8,300 – The NO/HOU match-up has the highest over/under on the slate, currently set at 229 points, and I’m going to get some exposure in it with Jrue Holiday. I was initially going to spend up for Davis, however, I think Holiday is going to be the better value tonight just as he’ll most likely be matched up with James Harden who we all know, doesn’t care too much about his performance on the defensive end. Holiday had a solid season last year as he averaged 19.0 ppg, 6.0 apg, 4.5 rpg, & 1.5 spg and put up solid numbers agianst the Rockets (21.8 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 6.0 apg, 2.5 spg). Holiday will need to have a big game for the Pelicans to have a chance and with the extra attention Davis will receive, I think he certainly has the potential for a 50-point night.
Donovan Mitchell (UTA) - $8,000 – Donovan Mitchell stormed onto the season last season for the Jazz and there is no doubt that the is the number one option offensively for the Jazz this season. Mitchell is just a great scorer of the basketball and finished last season, averaging 20.5 ppg, 3.7 apg, 3.7 rpg, & 1.5 spg. Mitchell looked ready to go in his last two preseason games as he averaged 17 points and shot 60.0% (6-10) from beyond the arc in about 20 minutes of action. Mitchell should have no problem creating opportunities from himself against a Sacramento Kings defense that ranked just 27th in team defense last season. Mitchell should only improve in his 2nd season in the NBA and certainly has 50-point potential tonight in this match-up.
Kawhi Leonard (TOR) - $9,600 – Kawhi Leonard is finally healthy against and I’m expecting that the All-Star forward comes out of the gates strong tonight in his first game with the Toronto Raptors. Leonard is a great DFS player as he gets it done across the board and comes into his match-up against the Cavaliers with a career average of 16.3 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 2.3 apg, & 1.8 spg. With DeMar Deozan no longer with the Raptors, they’ll need Leonard to be an offensive force to help replace his 23.0 ppg from last season. I really like Leonard tonight as I think he’ll be able to give the Lebron-less Cavaliers a bunch of trouble on the defense end and we could easily see 4-6 steals tonight. Leonard is in a contract year and I think he’ll make this a statement game to show everyone in the league that he should be considered a top-10 player in the league.
Josh Richardson (MIA) - $6,300 – Miami is going to have some outstanding value tonight as they are going to be missing a bunch of regulars in Dion Waiters, Justice Winslow, Wayne Ellington, & James Johnson to go along with Goran Dragic not being at 100%. This opens the door for a ton of minutes and production for Josh Richardson who has a solid season last year, averaging 12.9 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.9 apg, & 1.5 spg. Richardson was outstanding in his last two preseason games, as he averaged 24.5 ppg on 57.1% shooting from the field (16-28 FG; 6-11 3PG) on 30.5 minutes per game. Richardson was great in the playoffs last season for the Heat, dropping a 50.5-point performance against the 76ers and as Richardson has the ability to pile up the steals, I think he is almost a must play for the number of minutes he’ll be on the floor tonight.
Aaron Gordon (ORL) - $7,300 – Aaron Gordon continues to improve each season and is coming off his best year last season as he finished averaging 17.6 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 2.3 apg, & 1.0 spg. Gordon looks like he’ll be able to stretch the floor a bit more this season with his three-point shooting and I like his match-up agianst the Heat tonight as he dominated Miami last season in their two games as he averaged 26.5 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 2.0 apg, & 2.0 bpg. I think Gordon is going to breakout this season to be a legitimate superstar in this league and as I think this will be a close game in which Gordon will see a ton of minutes, I expect him to easily hit value with a 40-point performance tonight.
Kelly Olynyk (MIA) - $5,400 – As I mentioned under Josh Richardson, Miami is going to be missing a ton of players tonight and as James Johnson is one of them, I expect Kelly Olynyk to have a big game for the Heat tonight. Olynyk is interesting DFS player as although he averaged just 11.5 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 2.7 apg last season, he seems to be able to fill out the stat sheet when he gets 30+ minutes of action. Olynyk was outstanding in the playoffs last season against the 76ers as he had 30+ FanDuel points in 4 of the 5 games, including a 47.6-point performance in game 5 (18 points, 8 rebounds, 6 assists, 3 steals, 1 block). I expect Olynyk to see plenty of action tonight which should bode well as he averaged 10.5 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 2.3 apg, & 1.0 spg in an average of just 22.5 minutes in his 4 games agianst Orlando last season.
Ed Davis (BKN) - $3,500 – I decided to “punt” or you my “low score doesn’t count” option at Center tonight with Brooklyn’s Ed Davis. Davis is in his first year with the Nets and although he is behind Jarett Allen on the depth chart, I still think he’ll see plenty of time, as Allen had a tendency last year to rack up fouls quickly. When given the opportunity last season, Davis was pretty solid as he averaged 5.3 ppg & 7.4 rpg as he can be an absolute monster on the boards. Davis played well when he saw 20+ minutes last season, including a 39 FanDuel point performance in early March and although I completely expect him to be my player that won’t count tonight, I do think he has the potential for a decent night if Allen gets in foul trouble.
Good Luck tonight!