DFS - Fantasy Basketball - NBA FanDuel Lineup, Picks & Advice - 11/1/18
NBA - Main Slate (7:00 PM) - FanDuel Lineup - 11/1/18 - INITIAL THOUGHTS
NBA – Fantasy Basketball – Fanduel Lineup, Picks, & Advice – 11/1/18
We have a 6-game slate for Thursday, November 1st and let’s take a look at the games, key injuries, and our initial FanDuel lineup.
This is just my initial lineup based on the information we have available in the morning. Injuries play a huge roll in our DFS lineups so please come back later! If it’s a real last-minute update in which I don’t have time to update the website, I’ll post it on my Twitter (@BrettCU05) so make sure you hit that “follow” button!
Games/Lines (As of 11:29 AM)
7:00pm – Oklahoma City at Charlotte (Spread: CHA -1.5; O/U 228)
7:00pm – LA Clippers at Philadelphia (Spread: PHI -5.5; O/U 230)
7:00pm – Denver at Cleveland (Spread: DEN -5.5; O/U 219)
7:30pm – Sacramento at Atlanta (Spread: SAC -2; O/U 232)
8:00pm – Milwaukee vs. Boston (Spread: BOS -3; O/U 220)
10:30pm – New Orleans at Portland (Spread: POR -4.5; O/U 232.5)
Key Injuries/Inactive Players
Kevin Love (Toe) – Out; Elfrid Payton (Ankle) – GTD; Julius Randle (Foot) – GTD; Will Barton (Groin) – Out; John Collins (Ankle) – Out; Bogdan Bogdanovic (Knee) – Out; Isaiah Thomas (Hip) – Out; Jaylen Brown (Foot) – GTD; Donte DiVincenzo (Quadriceps) – GTD
PG – Trae Young (ATL) - $7,300
PG – Collin Sexton (CLE) - $5,000
SG – Buddy Hield (SAC) - $8,000
SG – Kent Bazemore (ATL) - $6,900
SF – Sam Dekker (CLE) - $4,500 – Low scoring play in case last game with a fluke.
SF – Nemanja Bjelica (MIN) - $7,200
PF – Marcus Morris (BOS) - $4,700
PF – Marvin Bagley III (SAC) - $5,500
C – Joel Embiid (PHI) - $10,900
We’re coming off a solid night with our FanDuel lineups as we luckily avoided the Tyus Jones landmine that took out a lot of people last night and cashed in both our GPP’s & 50/50’s. We had a solid 324.5-point performance led by Nikola Jokic (58.9 points), Stephen Curry (53.9 points), Jrue Holiday (47.1 points), and Draymond Green (45.8 points).
I’m going to start off with Trae Young tonight as the SAC/ATL matchup is going to be one of the best games to target tonight. Atlanta has one of the higher implied totals tonight (114.8) and plays a very fast pace. Young has had a solid start to his NBA career as he comes into this game averaging 19.1 ppg, 6.6 apg, & 2.9 rpg and you have to love the fact that he is getting attempting on average, 15.0 shots per game. Sacramento ranks 26th against the PG position and although there is some risk with Young, he has tremendous upside if his shot is falling. The CLE/DEN game has the lowest O/U on the slate, but I like some of the value we have with Cleveland tonight and going with their rookie PG, Collin Sexton. Sexton comes into this matchup averaging 12.0 ppg, 2.3 apg, & 2.7 rpg in 24.1 mpg. Sexton has scored in double-digits in each of his last 4 games and you have to be encouraged that he saw 28 minutes while posting 17 points, 8 rebounds, 3 assists & a block in Cleveland’s first game with Larry Drew at the helm. Sexton has a great motor and with Denver being on the 2nd half of a back-to-back in which their starters saw major minutes last night in an OT win at Chicago, I think Sexton can easily hit value at this price.
Buddy Hield is playing like the guy we used to watch at Oklahoma and with Bogdanovic still out for the Kings, Hield is taking major advantage with the extra minutes as he has played an average of 38 minutes in each of his last 4 games. Atlanta is ranked just 26th agianst the SG position and which could mean a big night for Hield who comes into this game averaging 18.9 ppg, 2.4 apg, & 6.1 rpg. Hield put up a double-double (25 points, 11 rebound) in his most recent outing against the Magic and I expect a similar performance with the Kings implied total set at 116.3 right now. I’m staying with this matchup and taking a roll of the dice with Atlanta’s Kent Bazemore. Bazemore is a tough DFS guy to roster as you just never know what you’re going to get from him. Bazemore is as inconsistent as they come as we’ve already seen this year as he put up a monster 55.1 FanDuel point performance against Dallas, then followed that with a disappointing 7.9 FanDuel point performance against Dallas. Bazemore has potential and the biggest reason why I like him tonight is that that Kings are rank just 19th against the SG position and I think Bazemore can do some damage on the offensive end tonight as he should have Buddy Hield on him, who is not known for his defense.
I wanted to get DeAndre’ Bembry in my lineup but I was $400 short, so I decided to roll with Sam Dekker who exploded on the scene in his last game agianst Atlanta as he posted a stat line of 12 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, & 3 steals in 28 minutes. The encouraging part of Dekker’s performance is that he saw 28 minutes which is the most he saw all season and we can hope that he will see around 25 minutes while Larry Drew is at the helm. Dekker has always flashed some decent potential in his days with Houston and the Clippers and as the Nuggets rank just 28th against the SF position, I think he can hit value tonight. I’m hoping on the Nemanja Bjelica train as the 3-year veteran out of Yugoslavia is really coming into his own in his first season with the Sacramento Kings. On the season, Bjelica is averaging 15.1 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.0 bpg & 1.3 spg and has seen 30+ minutes of action in each of the Kings last 4 games. Bjelica has the ability to stretch the floor and hit the three but also has been a monster on the boards as of late as in his last 4 games, he is averaging 9.0 RPG. The Hawks rank just 25th vs. the PF position as we do expect a good amount of points in this one, I expect Bjelica to continue to produce.
I never though it would be the day in which I would roster three Sacramento Kings player, but here we are. I’m going with Marvin Bagley III as he is one of the most talented offensive rookies in the NBA. Bagley is really only seeing about 22 mpg as of late however, he doesn’t need much time to put up some big stats as in his last game agianst the Magic, Baglet had a 26.8 FanDuel point night with a stat line of 10 points, 9 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 block, and a steal. I might make an adjustment later with either Bagley III or Bjelica as they are pretty much tied to the same position as we’ve yet to see a game in which they both went off for a big number (Bjelica’s two worst outings of the season came when Bagley had 40+ FanDuel points) but as for right now, he fits the lineup well in a good matchup. At the other PF spot, I’m going with Marcus Morris of the Celtics. Morris has been the most consistent Celtics player early this season as he is averaging 14.4 ppg & 7.4 rpg in about 25.4 mpg. Morris has anchored the 2nd unit and has gotten up at least 10 shots in each of his last 4 games. I think this going to be a close game and as Morris will be used late in the 4th if the game is close (31 minutes this past Tuesday vs. Detroit), I think he’ll get us 25-30 FanDuel points.
Rounding out the roster, we’re spending up for Joel Embiid of the 76ers. Philadelphia has the highest implied total tonight, set at 116.8, and I think Embiid has an opportunity to be a big part of it. Embiid disappointed us the other night against Atlanta, however, I’m not too worried about that tonight against a Clippers team that ranks 28th against the position. Embiid is averaging 27.0 ppg, 11.8 rpg, 4.1 apg & 2.1 bpg on the season and there is no reason to think he is not going to have a big night tonight.