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BMW Championship: PGA Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses - 9/14/17

The 2017 BMW Championship

BMW Championship: Thursday, September 14, 2017 at 1:00 pm (Conway Farms Golf Club) See the Latest Odds

TV: GOLF, NBC

We make our second and final trip to Illinois for the BMW Championship, an event that debuted in 2007 and will be held in Lake Forest at the Conway Farms Golf Club. This is the third time this will be the location of this event after being held in Indiana last year. The last two years have produced a margin of victory by at least three strokes, but let’s hope for some more competitive golf this time around.

You know the drill by now…           

BMW Championship: PGA Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses - 9/14/17

USA TODAY Sports

Here are five golfers to consider throwing on your card this week. 

Dustin Johnson - Dustin Johnson may be one of the favorites with odds of +700, but for good reason. Johnson has not only finished 18th or better in each of his last five events and won the Northern Trust, but he’s won the BMW Championship twice, including last season. Tiger Woods is the only other golfer to win this event more than once in its short history. His current form and the fact he’s proven to be successful here makes Johnson a solid play even if the odds aren’t as high as we usually like.

Paul Casey - Paul Casey has finished fifth or better in three of his last four events, which includes a fourth place finish in the Dell Tech Championship. Casey’s impressive stretch is even longer if you want to throw in his fifth place finish at the Travelers Championship. Simply put; Casey is playing some of his best and most consistent golf of the year and has also finished runner-up in this event twice, both times to Dustin Johnson. I like doubling down on these two golfers, especially with Casey and +1800 odds.

Jason Day - After a couple of missed cuts, Jason Day has finished 27th or better in his last five events, which includes top-10 finishes in the PGA Championship and Northern Trust. Day has a top-25 finish in six of the last seven times he’s made the cut. If that weren’t enough, Day won this event in 2015 when it was held at the Conway Farms Golf Club, and he’s tied with Tiger Woods with a score of 262 being the tournament record. There’s a lot to like with Day this week and odds of +1800.

Justin Thomas - I’m not sure anybody can put a card together without including Justin Thomas. The guy has won two of the last three events and has finished ninth or better in five of his last nine events overall. Thomas has a top-10 finish in five of the last six events in which he’s made the cut. Johnson also finished 13th in the 2015 BMW Championship, so there is some history and success on this course. There’s value with Thomas and +1100 odds given how dominant he’s been as of late.

Patrick Reed - Patrick Reed is still looking for his first victory of the season, but he’s come awfully close as of late, which includes a runner-up finish in the PGA Championship and sixth in the Dell Tech Championship. Overall, Reed has finished 20th or better in seven of his last nine events. Reed had a top-30 finish in 2015 at the Conway Farms Golf Club. Reed is that guy in the middle of the pack who is kind of due for a ball to bounce his way. Why not this week? I’ll take a stab with Reed and +2800 odds.

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