2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open: PGA Tour Golf Picks, Odds, Longshot Picks, Predictions 2/4/21

2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open: PGA Tour Golf Picks, Odds, Longshot Picks, Predictions 2/4/21 Photo by Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

Waste Management Phoenix Open

Thursday, February 4, 2021 at 6:00 AM (TPC Scottsdale)

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This Thursday, the PGA Tour’s 2021 Waste Management Open will begin!

Before I discuss my longshot/sleepers golf wagers, let’s take a look at the betting odds of past champions of this event to see if we can find any historical trends.

Here is a list of the last six winners of the Waste Management Phoenix Open and that golfer’s opening odds the week they won the event:

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2020 Webb Simpson +1400

2019 Rickie Fowler +2200

2018 Gary Woodland +5000

2017 Hideki Matsuyama +1100

2016 Hideki Matsuyama +2800

2015 Brooks Koepka +4000

Upon reviewing the data noted above I observe a few trends that I think are important for golf bettors to consider prior to placing any longshot wagers this week. First of all, based on the opening odds of the last six winners of this tournament, I just don’t see the eventual champion of this year’s Waste Management Phoenix Open having astronomically high odds to win. Additionally, the historical data noted above tells me that the six previous winners of this event are all outstanding ball strikers.

Now that we have discussed relevant data related to the last six winners of this week’s PGA Tour event, let’s shift our focus to my favorite longshot bets for the 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open!

Here are three golfers to consider to placing on your card to finish in the top 20 at higher odds.

Bo Hoag +500 - The 32 year old American arrives at this week's Waste Management Phoenix Open on the heels of two consecutive top 18 finishes on the PGA Tour, including a 16th place result at the American Express two weeks ago. 

Nick Hardy +700 - The talented young American had to make it through Monday qualifying just to be in the field for this week's PGA Tour event. I watched his final few holes in the Monday qualifier and an interview Hardy had with the media after his round. Based on what I saw, it is obvious to me that the 25 year old from Illinois is highly motivated to succeed. Additionally, I like the fact that he recently performed at a high level on the PGA Tour. More specifically, Hardy finished 14th at the Sony Open last month.  

Sam Ryder +750 - Ryder fired a third round 67 at last week's Farmers Insurance Open en route to an eventual tenth place finish. In relation to this week’s current listed 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open field, in the last eight rounds played on the PGA Tour, Ryder ranks 10th in strokes gained ball striking, fifth in strokes gained approach, and first in GIR (greens in regulation).   


See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Hans’s Pick See Above

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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