Golf

U.S. Open Final Round: Matchup Bets, Predictions 6/20/21

2021 U.S. Open
June 20, 2021 9:30 am EDT

This Sunday morning, the PGA Tour will present the final round of the 2021 U.S. Open.

Before I dive into my favorite matchup bets for the final round of the 2021 U.S. Open let’s take a look at the current leaders in final round scoring average on the PGA Tour.

Here is a list of the top ten golfers with regard to final round scoring average on the PGA Tour that are in this week’s 2021 U.S. Open field with that player’s average final round score this season.

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  1.  Chris Baker 67.67
  2. Tyrrell Hatton 68.10
  3. Peter Malnati 69.00
  4. Si Woo Kim 69.21
  5. Abraham Ancer 69.29
  6. Jon Rahm 69.38
  7. Daniel Berger 69.39
  8. Webb Simpson 69.42
  9. Brooks Koepka 69.43
  10. Matt Jones 69.44

Now that we have determined who the top ten golfers with regard to final round scoring average are on the PGA Tour let’s shift our attention to my favorite matchup bets for the final round of the 2021 U.S. Open.

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Rory McIlroy -159 over Russell Henley

McIlroy has accumulated two top 18 finishes in his last three events played on the PGA Tour, including a win at the Wells Fargo Championship last month.

McIlroy also checks the box for me when it comes to key player statistics. To better shed light on my previous statement, let’s take a look at how Rory is doing from a statistical perspective relative to the field this week. Through three rounds of competitive play at the 2021 U.S. Open, in relation to the field, McIlroy ranks third in strokes gained tee to green, tenth in strokes gained off the tee, and sixth in strokes gained around the green.

I also like the fact that McIlroy’s opponent in this matchup has not been performing well on the PGA Tour recently. Russell Henley has missed the cut in two of his last four tournaments played on the PGA Tour. Additionally, in that four tournament stretch just mentioned, Henley’s best result was a 71st place result at the PGA Championship.

Jon Rahm -167 over Matthew Wolff

Jon Rahm has played 11 events on the PGA Tour since the beginning of January. In those 11 tournaments just mentioned, Rahm has seven top 13 finishes, including an eighth place result at the PGA Championship last month. It should also be noted that one of the tournaments in the 11 event stretch just noted was the Memorial Tournament. For those readers that are not aware, Rahm was on his way to what appeared to be an easy win at the Memorial before he was forced to withdraw after the completion of the third round due to testing positive for COVID-19.

Through three rounds of competitive play at the 2021 U.S. Open, in relation to the field, Rahm ranks fifth in strokes gained tee to green and 15th in strokes gained off the tee.

Rahm’s opponent in this matchup (Matthew Wolff) recently took a voluntary leave of absence from the PGA Tour to address a long stretch of poor play on the PGA Tour. I think it is admirable that Wolff has performed rather well through three rounds of play at this year’s U.S. Open. However, I don’t see Wolff having any chance of defeating Rahm in this final round matchup on Sunday.

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Hans Geevers

I have been an avid fan of golf since I was a kid. Additionally, I have been betting on golf for the better part of the last two decades! I have been married to my wife Dawn for over 19 years. I am also the proud father of Hannah! These ladies provide me the inspiration to live each day to it's fullest.

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