Free Horse Racing Picks and Analysis - Kevin's Best Bets
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 23:00:00
The Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf is tentatively scheduled to be run on the second day of the World Championships, Saturday, November 2. Even when pre-entries are released on Monday, the picture figures to remain slightly muddled as several cross entries are expected. Regardless, a deep field should be expected.
One horse almost certain to be cross entered, if entered into this race at all, is the third-place finisher of last year’s edition, The Fugue. Understandably, her connections feel she’d probably prefer the added distance of the Turf despite the fact that it will be run in open company. While she is expected to opt out of this, she would likely be a heavy favorite if she ends up here. Assuming she does go elsewhere, favoritism could very well go through Dank who invaded North America in Arlington’s G1 Beverly D. Stakes only to set a new stakes record while stretching out to the longest distance of her career. She’ll tack on an extra half-panel here and face a serious challenge from a strong American contingent.
The top American based contender figures to be either Tiz Flirtatious or Marketing Mix. The pair have squared off twice this year in Grade 1 races. Marketing Mix won the G1 Gamely at Hollywood and Tiz Flirtatious won the G1 Rodeo Drive at Santa Anita. The other rival finished a very close second in each, but the fact that Tiz Flirtatious’ victory came more recently, and over the exact trip this race will be won at, could give her the edge. Keep in mind though, Marketing Mix was a strong second in last year’s BC F&M Turf.
Not to be forgotten is Laughing, who is 4-for-4 on the year – all graded stakes. She’s proved all year that if she is allowed a front end trip, she will not quit. Her most recent win in the G1 Flower Bowl at Belmont answered a legitimate distance question.
Flotilla, winner of last year’s BC Juvenile Fillies Turf here at Santa Anita and Kitten’s Dumplings, a member of the ruthless Ramseys Stable are a pair of interesting 3-year-olds being strongly considered for the race.
More possibilities include Winsili, Lady of Shamrock, Emollient, and Vionnet. Hopefully pre-entries will help sort this thing out.
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